What is Malcolm Jefferson's strike rate?

Malcolm Jefferson has won 290 of 2,034 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Malcolm Jefferson do best at?

Sedgefield by strike rate: 42 wins from 193 runners (21.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Malcolm Jefferson?

Brian Hughes, with 727 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 140 (19.3%).

What is Malcolm Jefferson's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 2,033 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Malcolm Jefferson

2,034 runners in the lifetime window · 224 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2018 95% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

290–2,034

Wins / Runs

14.3%

Strike rate

n=2,034

740 (36%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=2,033 · 0.91 incl. margin

−306.84

£1 level stake

n=2,034 at SP · −15.1%

£2.88m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 180 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 21% (34 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,034 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Nov–Jan 34.8% when favourite Brian Hughes: 19.3% from 727 New recruits: 20% Headgear returns: 20.6% Sent off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Sedgefield (21.8%, n=193), clear of the yard's 14.3% baseline. It is weakest at Bangor-on-Dee (4.7% over 43 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 20.6% (n=34, Fair A/E 1.47), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 10.1% (n=577, Fair A/E 1.01). Brian Hughes rode 36% of the entries and beats the yard's average (19.3% vs 14.3%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well on Heavy going (22.6%, n=164). The record read poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 4.3% over 46 runners, 10pts below the baseline. 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfair 'Fixed Brush' Handicap Hurdle at Haydock (Nov 2008, £62,620). The stable star of the record was Schinken Otto (IRE) — 12 wins from 89 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Nov–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.8%−1.5

n=517 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −153.87

New recruits · first run for the yard

20%+5.7

n=50 · A/E 1.42 · £1 −3.98

Debutants · first career start

10.6%−3.7

n=142 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −61.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.9%−3.4

n=55 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −28.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

20.6%+6.3

n=34 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +12.68

When favourite

34.8%

n=270 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −20.56

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.1%−4.2

n=577 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −68.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.7%−0.6

n=95 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +18.55

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 24.7% vs 14.3% · n=287

On Heavy going 22.6% vs 14.3% · n=164

At Sedgefield 21.8% vs 14.3% · n=193

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 4.3% vs 14.3% · n=46

At Cheltenham 5.1% vs 14.3% · n=59

At Bangor-on-Dee 4.7% vs 14.3% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 886 113 12.8% −212.52

Chase 698 117 16.8% +40.52

NH Flat 341 49 14.4% −101.84

Flat 109 11 10.1% −33.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 765 95 12.4% −154.07

Good to Soft 493 72 14.6% −107.84

Soft 442 68 15.4% −44.91

Heavy 164 37 22.6% +42.44

Good to Firm 138 14 10.1% −34.96

Standard (AW) 32 4 12.5% −7.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Market Rasen 222 37 16.7% +20.73

Sedgefield 193 42 21.8% +28.18

Wetherby 156 21 13.5% −14.11

Kelso 133 25 18.8% −12.04

Hexham 123 22 17.9% −36.32

Newcastle 117 24 20.5% +38.61

Doncaster 115 11 9.6% −57.26

Carlisle 109 17 15.6% −18.46

Catterick 94 9 9.6% −44.65

Haydock 91 12 13.2% −24.60

Ayr 85 13 15.3% −16.70

Perth 84 14 16.7% +43.92

Southwell 74 6 8.1% −49.37

Uttoxeter 60 7 11.7% −16.38

Cheltenham 59 3 5.1% −15.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 817 119 14.6% −62.40

Class 3 375 66 17.6% −53.00

Class 6 300 49 16.3% −45.21

Class 5 240 21 8.8% −138.07

Class 1 153 18 11.8% +5.55

Class 2 148 17 11.5% −12.71

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 326 109 33.4% 1.06 −20.17

2nd–3rd fav 629 108 17.2% 0.99 −97.17

4th–6th fav 610 56 9.2% 1.14 −44.50

7th+ in betting 469 17 3.6% 0.99 −145.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88.2% completed · 1,584 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 698 83.5% 30 11 69 4 1

Hurdle 886 91.9% 21 6 42 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Schinken Otto (IRE) 56 7 16 7 Nov 13

Cape Tribulation (GB) 47 10 18 18 Apr 15

Sun Cloud (IRE)then Ruth Jefferson 44 8 13 11 Jan 18

The Panama Kid (IRE) 44 8 14 7 May 15

The Magic Bishop (GB) 41 4 13 23 Oct 14

McMurrough (IRE) 36 8 16 8 Nov 14

Attaglance (GB) 35 6 13 15 Apr 15

Overbranch (GB) 32 5 13 20 Oct 11

Nautical Twilight (GB)then Ruth Jefferson 30 3 10 28 Jan 18

According To Pete (GB) 30 6 14 14 Apr 12

King Of The Wolds (IRE)then Matt Sheppard 27 5 14 8 Apr 16

Stick Together (GB) 27 1 11 28 Apr 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 224 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mark Johnston (2); 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Ruth Jefferson (11) and Rebecca Menzies (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

18101512151419411141617

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBrian Hughes

36% of all rides
19.3% SR · A/E 1.05

RiderRWSR£1

Brian Hughes 727 140 19.3% −93.34

James Halliday 292 25 8.6% −94.00

Phil Kinsella 244 25 10.2% −91.92

Harry Haynes 188 23 12.2% +41.58

Jamie Hamilton 76 16 21.1% +16.05

Graham Lee 66 15 22.7% +17.84

Dougie Costello 66 12 18.2% −12.62

Fergus King 59 5 8.5% −36.50

Oliver Williams 41 3 7.3% −26.00

Denis O'Regan 37 6 16.2% +28.57

Miss R Jefferson 34 4 11.8% −9.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

375

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.49m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 45 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

According To Pete (GB) — Betfair 'Fixed Brush' Handicap Hurdle Haydock · Nov 2008 · Class 2

£62,620

Cape Tribulation (GB) — Argento Chase (Registered As The Cotswold Chase) (Grade 2) Cheltenham · Jan 2013 · Class 1

£57,955

Double W's (IRE) — Betway Red Rum Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2017 · Grade 3

£50,643

Notable horses

Schinken Otto (IRE) According To Pete (GB) Polar Gunner (GB) Cape Tribulation (GB) Brooklyn Brownie (IRE) The Panama Kid (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 17.9% · 35–196

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Kayf Tara (GB) 12.5% · 17–136

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,751 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Accordion (IRE) 14.1% · 9–64

Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,309 runs since 2008 (327 horses).

Revoque (IRE) 22.2% · 14–63

Progeny have won 8% of 1,805 runs since 2008 (202 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 265. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5% from 100.

Cloudings (IRE) 24.6% · 15–61

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,886 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.

Shinko Forest (IRE) 12.3% · 7–57

Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,059 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.1% from 255. Weakest on Good going: 5.5% from 253.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,700 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,700 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 28 January 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Jan 18 Sedgefield Nautical Twilight (GB)J: Brian Hughes Phoenix Security Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 10/1

27 Jan 18 Doncaster Branston Doyen (GB)J: Brian Hughes directlinegroupcareers.com British EBF Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 50/1

27 Jan 18 Doncaster Double W's (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Sky Bet Britain's Most Popular Online Bookmaker Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 16.5f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 10/1

27 Jan 18 Doncaster Princess Tara (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Grandnational.fans Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 14 ran F 20/1

26 Jan 18 Doncaster Mount Mews (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Sky Bet Top Price Promise Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 4 ran 2nd 5/4F

24 Jan 18 Catterick Kelka (GB)J: Brian Hughes Racing Again 2nd February Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 15.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 8/15F

14 Jan 18 Kelso Shepherd's Bight (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Persimmon Homes EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 22.5f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 16/1

13 Jan 18 Warwick Black Ivory (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton Pertemps Network Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 25f · Soft · 12 ran 1st 5/1

13 Jan 18 Kempton Waiting Patiently (IRE)J: Brian Hughes 32Red Casino Chase (Listed)Class 1 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 13/8F

12 Jan 18 Sedgefield Fencote Belle (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Betfred Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran PU 66/1

11 Jan 18 Newcastle (AW) Four Mile Beach (GB)J: Rachel Richardson Betway Casino HandicapClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 14/1

11 Jan 18 Catterick Sun Cloud (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Watt Fences North Yorkshire Grand National Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 30f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 4/1C

11 Jan 18 Catterick Ecole D'art (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Racinguk.com Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 11 ran UR 9/1

09 Jan 18 Doncaster Mount Mews (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Sky Bet Racing Cash Out Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 19f · Soft · 3 ran 1st 30/100F

01 Jan 18 Catterick Nautical Twilight (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton Buy Your 2018 Annual Badge Today Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 10/1

27 Dec 17 Wetherby Cyrus Darius (GB)J: Brian Hughes 188bet Castleford Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 15f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 2/1F

26 Dec 17 Sedgefield Sammamish (IRE)J: Mr Aiden Blakemore Le Raaj Sedgefield Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 20/1

26 Dec 17 Sedgefield Branston Doyen (GB)J: Tony Kelly Le Raaj Sedgefield Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 7/1

26 Dec 17 Wetherby Ryedale Racer (GB)J: Brian Hughes Premier League Betting At 188bet Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 21.5f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 4/1

26 Dec 17 Market Rasen Princess Tara (IRE)J: Callum Bewley Garthwest Chase (Novices' Limited Handicap)Class 3 · 21.5f · Soft · 10 ran PU 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Malcolm Jefferson's strike rate?: Malcolm Jefferson has won 290 of 2,034 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Malcolm Jefferson do best at?: Sedgefield by strike rate: 42 wins from 193 runners (21.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Malcolm Jefferson?: Brian Hughes, with 727 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 140 (19.3%).
What is Malcolm Jefferson's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 2,033 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.