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Trainer profile

Michael C Griffin

190 runners in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 12 days ago 95% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–190
Wins / Runs
5.3%
Strike rate
n=190
39 (21%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=190 · 0.71 incl. margin
−84.07
£1 level stake
n=190 at SP · −44.2%
£116k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 190 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −31.75 to a £1 stake over 110 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (9.6%, n=52). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 1.8% over 55 runners, 3.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.60 across 73 runners (2.7% strike, −19.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Bye Bye O Bye (IRE) — 5 wins from 42 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.4%−1.9
n=29 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
100%+94.7
n=1 · A/E 11.86 · £1 +8.00
Debutants · first career start
3.4%−1.9
n=29 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.3
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
44.4%
n=9 · A/E 1.68 · £1 +3.68
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.6%−1.7
n=110 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −31.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With horses switching code 0% vs 5.3% · n=42
Over 2m5f – 3m 9.6% vs 5.3% · n=52
Off a 15-30-day break 1.8% vs 5.3% · n=55
With a new jockey booking 2.6% vs 5.3% · n=114
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.7% vs 5.3% · n=73
Off a 8-14-day break 2.6% vs 5.3% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 147 8 5.4% −57.32
NH Flat 27 1 3.7% −23.75
Flat 9 1 11.1% +4.00
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 73 5 6.8% +12.33
Good 55 3 5.5% −39.75
Heavy 33 1 3% −29.75
Good to Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Good to Firm 13 1 7.7% −10.90
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 26 1 3.8% −13.00
Limerick 19 2 10.5% −12.75
Kilbeggan 16 2 12.5% −2.67
Listowel 13 0 0% −13.00
Ballinrobe 13 1 7.7% +8.00
Tramore 12 1 8.3% −9.90
Clonmel 8 0 0% −8.00
Gowran Park 8 0 0% −8.00
Tipperary 7 1 14.3% +34.00
Thurles 7 0 0% −7.00
Punchestown 7 1 14.3% −3.75
Galway 7 0 0% −7.00
Killarney 7 0 0% −7.00
Downpatrick 6 0 0% −6.00
Wexford 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 4 44.4% 1.68 +3.68
2nd–3rd fav 19 1 5.3% 0.38 −15.75
4th–6th fav 49 3 6.1% 0.99 −21.00
7th+ in betting 113 2 1.8% 0.69 −51.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.6% completed · 154 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 7 85.7% 0 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 147 89.8% 2 2 11 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bye Bye O Bye (IRE)from Muredach Kelly · then Muredach Kelly 42 5 16 25 Sep 20
Whatyouwant (IRE)then Gerard Kyne 11 1 1 22 Nov 24
Milajess (IRE)then Micky Hammond 11 0 1 21 Jun 23
Golan Road (IRE) 11 1 4 5 Apr 15
Cailin Ceol (IRE)then Liam Corcoran 10 0 0 25 Jun 12
Parvos (IRE)then Sandy Thomson 9 0 3 15 May 23
Ljubljana (IRE) 9 0 3 20 Jun 10
Haondotri (IRE)then Muredach Kelly 8 0 0 5 Aug 20
Boondooma (IRE)then Dr Richard Newland 8 1 4 4 Jan 14
Klipper Breeze (IRE)then Evan Williams 8 0 1 9 Jul 10
Laligurash (IRE) 7 0 2 26 Oct 26
Present Road (IRE) 7 1 1 26 Dec 21
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Muredach Kelly (2); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1700191001200008
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Davy Russell 18 6 33.3% +9.68
Darragh O'Keeffe 10 0 0% −10.00
Kieran Callaghan 9 1 11.1% +12.00
Paul Townend 9 0 0% −9.00
Conor McNamara 6 1 16.7% +35.00
M P Butler 6 0 0% −6.00
B J Cooper 6 0 0% −6.00
Ryan Treacy 6 0 0% −6.00
Kevin Coleman 6 0 0% −6.00
Patrick Mangan 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr D M Spillane 5 0 0% −5.00
Shane Fitzgerald 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
11
Archived wins
£131k
Prize money
2016
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bye Bye O Bye (IRE) — Book Online At www.limerickraces.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Limerick · Jul 2019
£7,388
Golan Road (IRE) — 2015 Leopardstown Membership Mares Maiden Hurdle Leopardstown · Jan 2015
£6,900
Bye Bye O Bye (IRE) — Best Dressed Lady Competition At Kilbeggan Races Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Kilbeggan · Jul 2019
£6,501
Notable horses
Bye Bye O Bye (IRE) Whatyouwant (IRE) Golan Road (IRE) Boondooma (IRE) Present Road (IRE) Oscar Road (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kadeed (IRE) 11.9% · 5–42
Progeny have won 6.5% of 245 runs since 2008 (24 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.6% from 114.
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,308 runs since 2017 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Flemensfirth (USA) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Golan (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Ocovango (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,013 runs since 2019 (308 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.
Westerner (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,859 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 239 · newest first

The latest 50 of 239 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 January 2005 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Laligurash (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 19 ran 3rd 7/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Laligurash (IRE)J: Sean Cleary-Farrell Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 8th 5/1
22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Laligurash (IRE)J: Sean Cleary-Farrell Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 25/1
24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Laligurash (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (Div II)19f · Good · 16 ran 10th 40/1
05 Jun 26 Clonmel Laligurash (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Bulmers Original Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 17 ran 8th 80/1
26 May 26 Ballinrobe Laligurash (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Sheridan Electric Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16f · Good · 15 ran 7th 150/1
10 May 26 Cork Laligurash (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 14 ran 12th 50/1
08 Jun 25 Punchestown Iceteem Flechois (FR)J: Richard Condon John Dowling Memorial Maiden Hurdle23.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 9th 125/1
31 May 25 Listowel Iceteem Flechois (FR)J: Mr D M Fitzgerald Join The Listowel Races Supporters Club Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 100/1
22 Nov 24 Tipperary Whatyouwant (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Junction Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24.5f · Soft · 18 ran 17th 50/1
09 Nov 24 Gowran Park Whatyouwant (IRE)J: Carl Millar Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)20f · Yielding · 15 ran 10th 10/1
25 Oct 24 Sligo Whatyouwant (IRE)J: Carl Millar Callan Tansey Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-102)18f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 9/1
26 Sep 24 Listowel Little Lark (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 125/1
06 Sep 24 Kilbeggan Little Lark (IRE)J: Kieran Callaghan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding · 16 ran 12th 100/1
28 Aug 24 Bellewstown Whatyouwant (IRE)J: Kieran Callaghan Reddans Of Bettystown Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20.5f · Good · 16 ran PU 22/1
16 Jun 24 Downpatrick Whatyouwant (IRE)J: Alex Harvey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle19f · Good · 10 ran 6th 12/1
28 May 24 Ballinrobe Whatyouwant (IRE)J: Kieran Callaghan FBD Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)22.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 10th 7/1
16 May 24 Clonmel Whatyouwant (IRE)J: Kieran Callaghan Download The New Tote App Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)19f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 5/1
07 May 24 Ballinrobe Whatyouwant (IRE)J: Kieran Callaghan Burke's Clonbur Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)21.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 1st 20/1
16 Mar 24 Thurles Whatyouwant (IRE)J: Kieran Callaghan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran 7th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael C Griffin's strike rate?
Michael C Griffin has won 10 of 190 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Michael C Griffin in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Michael C Griffin's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 190 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).