What is Michael Mulvany's strike rate?

Michael Mulvany has won 199 of 2,899 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Mulvany do best at?

Sligo by strike rate: 14 wins from 104 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Michael Mulvany?

G. F. Carroll, with 805 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 64 (8%).

Is Michael Mulvany in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Michael Mulvany's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 2,897 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Mulvany

2,899 runners in the lifetime window · 208 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 6.8% of 280 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 4 Nov 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

199–2,899

Wins / Runs

6.9%

Strike rate

n=2,899

670 (23%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=2,897 · 0.80 incl. margin

−960.01

£1 level stake

n=2,899 at SP · −33.1%

£3.29m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 10% (40 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,899 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 22.6% when favourite G. F. Carroll: 8% from 805 Headgear returns: 10% Claiming riders: 7.2% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (16.4%, n=55) and Sligo (13.5%, n=104) — all clear of the yard's 6.9% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 10% (n=40, Fair A/E 1.59), but debutants struggle at 1.1% (n=177, Fair A/E 0.37). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 1.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.41 and −93.50 to a £1 stake over 103 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. G. F. Carroll rides 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (12.2%, n=434). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 1.9% over 103 runners, 5pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tote Irish Lincolnshire at Naas (Mar 2018, £59,000). The stable star of the record: On The Go Again (IRE) — 8 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.8%−2.1

n=292 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −120.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.7%−0.2

n=30 · A/E 1.59 · £1 −10.50

Debutants · first career start

1.1%−5.8

n=177 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −123.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.5%+1.6

n=82 · A/E 1.89 · £1 −11.17

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10%+3.1

n=40 · A/E 1.59 · £1 −8.50

When favourite

22.6%

n=106 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −14.12

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.2%+0.3

n=1,298 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −366.49

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

1.9%−5.0

n=103 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −93.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ballinrobe 16.4% vs 6.9% · n=55

On last-time-out winners 13.1% vs 6.9% · n=191

On Heavy going 12.2% vs 6.9% · n=434

At Sligo 13.5% vs 6.9% · n=104

With debutants 1.1% vs 6.9% · n=177

In Class 1 1.9% vs 6.9% · n=103

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,561 178 7% −910.59

Hurdle 249 17 6.8% −22.42

NH Flat 52 1 1.9% −47.50

Chase 37 3 8.1% +20.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 888 49 5.5% −360.92

Good 727 48 6.6% −263.06

Heavy 434 53 12.2% −2.86

Standard (AW) 339 15 4.4% −161.75

Good to Firm 272 20 7.4% −73.25

Good to Soft 225 14 6.2% −84.17

Firm 14 0 0% −14.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Navan 335 18 5.4% −142.50

Dundalk (AW) 324 15 4.6% −146.75

Curragh 290 18 6.2% −80.00

Naas 222 13 5.9% −80.50

Gowran Park 207 14 6.8% −49.84

Galway 196 12 6.1% −12.17

Leopardstown 184 11 6% −92.25

Bellewstown 150 17 11.3% −21.60

Fairyhouse 142 5 3.5% −89.75

Down Royal 122 8 6.6% −51.25

Sligo 104 14 13.5% −28.59

Roscommon 93 6 6.5% −59.25

Tipperary 89 8 9% −31.00

Cork 81 5 6.2% −50.68

Listowel 76 8 10.5% −4.62

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 103 2 1.9% −93.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 153 27 17.6% 0.85 −46.29

2nd–3rd fav 420 78 18.6% 1.32 +20.28

4th–6th fav 859 53 6.2% 0.84 −301.50

7th+ in betting 1,467 41 2.8% 0.88 −632.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,024 66 6.4% −412.72

1m – 1m1f 687 62 9% −40.43

Under 6f 384 27 7% −172.27

1m2f – 1m4f 376 22 5.9% −198.17

1m5f – 2m 299 12 4% −172.92

2m1f – 2m4f 110 8 7.3% +21.50

2m5f – 3m 19 2 10.5% +15.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 36 1 2.8% −21.00

2009 76 5 6.6% −2.50

2010 118 7 5.9% −50.67

2011 134 7 5.2% −41.00

2012 155 6 3.9% −107.00

2013 149 7 4.7% −86.50

2014 135 3 2.2% −110.50

2015 114 9 7.9% +6.00

2016 99 7 7.1% −48.00

2017 92 8 8.7% −21.75

2018 135 16 11.9% −7.50

2019 164 15 9.1% −44.50

2020 172 13 7.6% −78.52

2021 245 15 6.1% −48.17

2022 186 10 5.4% −41.50

2023 192 20 10.4% −72.01

2024 201 8 4% −109.50

2025 257 24 9.3% −6.50

2026 239 18 7.5% −68.89

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,898 154 8.1% −416.62

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 836 51 6.1% −203.26

11-13 runners 728 51 7% −274.46

8-10 runners 584 42 7.2% −274.67

17+ runners 469 27 5.8% −129.17

5-7 runners 266 23 8.6% −104.45

2-4 runners 16 5 31.3% +26.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jembatt (IRE)from Edward Lynam 75 6 17 13 Sep 16

Battleroftheboyne (IRE)then Eamonn O'Connell 67 5 19 24 Sep 15

Take My Hand (IRE) 63 4 19 28 Aug 24

In From The Cold (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 59 6 18 18 Oct 22

One Of Three (IRE) 59 3 15 11 Apr 13

Ideal Pal (IRE)then Cian Collins 58 7 17 15 Aug 22

Prove The Point (IRE) 58 3 15 29 Oct 18

Tom Dooley (IRE)then John James Feane 56 3 12 30 Oct 15

Early Call (IRE) 51 3 13 31 Mar 21

Duke Of Leggagh (IRE) 50 6 16 30 Sep 26

Stormy Tale (IRE) 47 5 16 26 Dec 19

Talking Tough (IRE)then S M Duffy 46 2 9 1 Jul 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 208 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Gordon Elliott (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

4586551187760

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderG. F. Carroll

28% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

G. F. Carroll 805 64 8% −287.27

Wesley Joyce 589 46 7.8% −64.06

Chris Hayes 114 9 7.9% −35.75

Declan McDonogh 101 9 8.9% −9.00

Ben Coen 95 7 7.4% −44.34

Terry Casey 77 6 7.8% −35.50

W J Lee 61 4 6.6% −37.50

Sean Bird 60 1 1.7% −34.00

Leigh Roche 58 3 5.2% −27.50

Conor Hoban 41 2 4.9% −34.50

Tim Carroll 39 3 7.7% +13.50

Nathan Crosse 33 3 9.1% −11.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

201

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.33m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 24 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

On The Go Again (IRE) — Tote Irish Lincolnshire (Premier Handicap) Naas · Mar 2018

£59,000

Genesis (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Rockingham Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Jun 2026

£58,900

Ribee (IRE) — Nua Healthcare Irish Lincolnshire (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Mar 2026

£58,900

Notable horses

On The Go Again (IRE) Ideal Pal (IRE) Jembatt (IRE) In From The Cold (IRE) Duke Of Leggagh (IRE) Red Heel (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Tough As Nails (IRE) 8.1% · 34–418

Progeny have won 7.4% of 733 runs since 2017 (40 horses).

Alhebayeb (IRE) 7.1% · 10–141

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,637 runs since 2018 (160 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11.5% from 253.

Buratino (IRE) 6.1% · 8–131

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,884 runs since 2020 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 119.

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 9.7% · 9–93

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Arakan (USA) 12.5% · 11–88

Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2009 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.

Captain Rio (GB) 7.7% · 6–78

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,989 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,989 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 December 2005 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Ribee (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 5th 20/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Rough And Tough (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Isuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 13th 50/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Arizona Star (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce See You At The GR1 Double Header – 21 & 22 November Handicap (Div II)7f · Yielding · 11 ran 4th 4/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Jp's Express (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 13th 10/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Hansel The Purse (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle18f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 8/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Bell's Soldier (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Navan Racing Festival Advanced Price Tickets On Sale Now Maiden5f · Yielding · 9 ran 9th 80/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Royal Sovereign (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding · 10 ran 6th 40/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Sevengrandchildren (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 14 ran 14th 100/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Rough And Tough (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 15th 66/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Cause I Like You (IRE)J: Terry Casey Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 4th 10/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Arizona Star (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 4/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Nephin Mountain (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Dine At Gowran Park Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 4th 10/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Rathbran Lady (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Golf At Gowran Park Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 12 ran 10th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Banks Of The Boyne (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap8.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 10/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Arizona Raider (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Mongey Communications Eyrefield Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 9f · Good · 6 ran 6th 100/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Jp's Express (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 3rd 22/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Storzando (IRE)J: Colin Keane DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 2nd 12/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Hansel The Purse (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle19f · Good · 6 ran 4th 10/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Jp's Express (IRE)J: Terry Casey TRM Calphormin - Strong Foundation, Strong Future Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 8/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) The Scallionator (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final7f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 5/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 25 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Michael Mulvany's strike rate?: Michael Mulvany has won 199 of 2,899 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Mulvany do best at?: Sligo by strike rate: 14 wins from 104 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Mulvany?: G. F. Carroll, with 805 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 64 (8%).
Is Michael Mulvany in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Michael Mulvany's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 2,897 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.