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Trainer profile

Michael Murphy

66 runners in the lifetime window · 14 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2014
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–66
Wins / Runs
7.6%
Strike rate
n=66
15 (23%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=66 · 0.81 incl. margin
−44.51
£1 level stake
n=66 at SP · −67.4%
£19,743
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.6
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+12.4
n=5 · A/E 2.55 · £1 −1.88
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +0.37
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4%−3.6
n=25 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −16.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going 13.5% vs 7.6% · n=37
With a new jockey booking 4.5% vs 7.6% · n=44
In Flat races 9.6% vs 7.6% · n=52
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 52 5 9.6% −30.51
NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 37 5 13.5% −15.51
Good 14 0 0% −14.00
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 12 2 16.7% −4.38
Kempton (AW) 9 1 11.1% −5.25
Wolverhampton (AW) 9 2 22.2% +1.12
Lingfield (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Yarmouth 6 0 0% −6.00
Huntingdon 5 0 0% −5.00
Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00
Southwell 2 0 0% −2.00
Towcester 2 0 0% −2.00
Newmarket 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield 2 0 0% −2.00
Market Rasen 2 0 0% −2.00
Salisbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Brighton 1 0 0% −1.00
Ffos Las 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 37 3 8.1% −27.76
Class 5 19 1 5.3% −10.50
Class 4 8 1 12.5% −4.25
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 2 40% 1.23 +0.37
2nd–3rd fav 12 2 16.7% 0.97 −4.38
4th–6th fav 14 1 7.1% 1.32 −5.50
7th+ in betting 35 0 0% 0.00 −35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rock of Ages (GB)then Neil King 15 1 4 19 Jun 14
Noguchi (IRE)from Jeremy Noseda · then George Margarson 10 2 6 16 Jun 13
Celtic Legacy (GB) 9 0 1 21 Apr 14
Jack Firefly (GB) 8 0 0 16 Jul 14
Yanbu (USA)from Tobias B P Coles 4 0 0 7 Oct 12
Risk 'n' Reward (IRE)from Amy Weaver · then Martin Smith 3 0 1 4 Aug 14
Les Andelys (GB)from Terry Clement 3 0 0 8 Apr 14
Bourbondi (GB)then Conrad Allen 3 0 0 27 Dec 13
Enthusiastic (GB)from Luca Cumani · then George Margarson 3 2 3 26 Sep 12
Law Hill (GB) 2 0 0 29 Dec 13
Edin Burgher (FR)from Terry Clement 2 0 0 5 Aug 13
Impress Me (GB) 2 0 0 5 Aug 12
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Terry Clement (2); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for George Margarson (2) and Martin Smith (2); 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0002200011330011
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Liam Jones 7 1 14.3% −2.50
Neil Callan 6 3 50% +2.49
Trevor Whelan 6 0 0% −6.00
Tom McLaughlin 5 0 0% −5.00
Kieren Fallon 3 0 0% −3.00
Toby Atkinson 3 0 0% −3.00
Liam Treadwell 3 0 0% −3.00
Tom Scudamore 2 0 0% −2.00
Pat Cosgrave 2 0 0% −2.00
Adam Kirby 2 0 0% −2.00
Shane Kelly 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Michael J Murphy 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
5
Archived wins
£19,743
Prize money
2013
Best season · 3 wins
Enthusiastic (GB) — Martin Collins Enterprises Handicap Kempton (AW) · Sep 2012 · Class 4
£4,075
Enthusiastic (GB) — 32Red Casino Maiden Stakes Wolverhampton (AW) · Aug 2012 · Class 5
£2,264
Rock of Ages (GB) — 32Red.com Handicap Southwell (AW) · Dec 2013 · Class 6
£1,941
Notable horses
Noguchi (IRE) Enthusiastic (GB) Rock of Ages (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pivotal (GB) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,787 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Where Or When (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,578 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.1% from 217. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.6% from 151.
Echo Of Light (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,633 runs since 2008 (126 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.6% from 373. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 160.
Swain (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.4% of 552 runs since 2008 (40 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.1% from 135.
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,927 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Galileo (IRE) 66.7% · 2–3
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,192 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 66 · newest first

The latest 50 of 66 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 July 2012 to 4 August 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Aug 14 Kempton (AW) Risk 'n' Reward (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Gerry Kerr Happy Retirement Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 9/2
28 Jul 14 Lingfield (AW) Risk 'n' Reward (IRE)J: Kieren Fallon 32Red Casino Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 3/1F
19 Jul 14 Newmarket Dame Lucy (IRE)J: Kieren Fallon Newsells Park Stud Stakes (Registered As The Aphrodite Stakes) (Fillies' Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th 33/1
16 Jul 14 Lingfield (AW) Jack Firefly (GB)J: Alice Mills Indus Catering Amateur Riders' Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 50/1
16 Jul 14 Lingfield (AW) Risk 'n' Reward (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave PMSG 50th Anniversary HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 33/1
19 Jun 14 Southwell (AW) Rock of Ages (GB)J: Liam Jones Bet Now At 32RedSport.com HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 5/1
11 Jun 14 Yarmouth Jack Firefly (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn Great Yarmouth Tourist Authority Maiden HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 20/1
04 Jun 14 Southwell (AW) Rock of Ages (GB)J: Liam Jones 32Red Tomb Raider Slot Claiming StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 10/1
21 Apr 14 Fakenham Celtic Legacy (GB)J: Jake Hodson Fakenham Ladies Raceday 1st June Selling HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran PU 50/1
08 Apr 14 Southwell (AW) Les Andelys (GB)J: Michael J M Murphy Ladbrokes HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 50/1
21 Feb 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Les Andelys (GB)J: Jonathan Willetts Compare Bookmakers At Bookmakers.co.uk Apprentice HandicapClass 7 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 50/1
02 Jan 14 Southwell (AW) Rock of Ages (GB)J: Mr Michael J Murphy 32red.com Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 5/4F
29 Dec 13 Southwell (AW) Law Hill (GB)J: William Carson Download The Ladbrokes App Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 20/1
29 Dec 13 Southwell (AW) Les Andelys (GB)J: Paddy Aspell Download The Ladbrokes App Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 100/1
27 Dec 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Bourbondi (GB)J: Shane Kelly 32Red Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 20/1
10 Dec 13 Southwell (AW) Rock of Ages (GB)J: Liam Jones 32Red.com HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 7/2
09 Dec 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Bourbondi (GB)J: Robert Winston 32red Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 66/1
02 Dec 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Rock of Ages (GB)J: Mr Michael J Murphy 32Red Casino Handicap (Amateur Riders)Class 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 16/1
29 Oct 13 Yarmouth Rock of Ages (GB)J: Adam Kirby Follow Live Casino At VictorsCasino HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 20/1
10 Oct 13 Kempton (AW) Rock of Ages (GB)J: Liam Jones Follow Us On Twitter At BetVictor HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Murphy's strike rate?
Michael Murphy has won 5 of 66 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael Murphy's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 66 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).