What is Mrs Denise Foster's strike rate?

Mrs Denise Foster has won 110 of 1,663 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mrs Denise Foster do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 8 wins from 61 runners (13.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mrs Denise Foster?

Jordan Gainford, with 139 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (10.8%).

Is Mrs Denise Foster in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mrs Denise Foster's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 1,662 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mrs Denise Foster

1,663 runners in the lifetime window · 346 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 10 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

110–1,663

Wins / Runs

6.6%

Strike rate

n=1,663

361 (22%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=1,662 · 0.74 incl. margin

−637.52

£1 level stake

n=1,663 at SP · −38.3%

£2.03m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (218 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,663 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 8.7% 21.5% when favourite Jordan Gainford: 10.8% from 139 New recruits: 12.8% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (16%, n=50) and Down Royal (13.1%, n=61) — all clear of the yard's 6.6% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 12.8% (n=218, Fair A/E 1.12), but debutants struggle at 2.4% (n=127, Fair A/E 0.48). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 5.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.62 and −64.06 to a £1 stake over 133 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jordan Gainford rides 8% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.8% vs 6.6%, A/E 0.90). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 1.6% over 129 runners, 5pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betway Aintree Hurdle at Aintree (Apr 2021, £104,984). The stable star of the record: Tipped Up Harry (GB) — 7 wins from 44 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.7%+2.1

n=309 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −49.80

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.8%+6.2

n=218 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −37.37

Debutants · first career start

2.4%−4.2

n=127 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −85.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.2%−1.4

n=77 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −65.55

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4%−2.6

n=50 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −34.50

When favourite

21.5%

n=79 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −35.08

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.5%−0.1

n=566 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −179.28

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.3%−1.3

n=133 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −64.06

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Downpatrick 16% vs 6.6% · n=50

With new recruits 12.8% vs 6.6% · n=218

With Jack Kennedy 12.5% vs 6.6% · n=96

At Down Royal 13.1% vs 6.6% · n=61

Over 6f – 7f 1.6% vs 6.6% · n=129

With Robbie Power 11.7% vs 6.6% · n=77

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 782 59 7.5% −205.29

Flat 500 23 4.6% −241.00

Chase 303 21 6.9% −155.31

NH Flat 78 7 9% −35.92

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 564 32 5.7% −255.21

Good 476 39 8.2% −158.81

Heavy 257 22 8.6% −50.50

Good to Soft 199 9 4.5% −106.00

Standard (AW) 102 6 5.9% −24.50

Good to Firm 63 2 3.2% −40.50

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 172 7 4.1% −75.17

Fairyhouse 167 10 6% −85.25

Navan 131 12 9.2% −4.02

Dundalk (AW) 100 6 6% −22.50

Gowran Park 92 3 3.3% −60.00

Limerick 80 5 6.3% −7.50

Naas 76 2 2.6% −69.56

Kilbeggan 63 6 9.5% −24.25

Down Royal 61 8 13.1% −13.40

Ballinrobe 58 5 8.6% −21.75

Cork 57 2 3.5% −46.50

Curragh 53 2 3.8% −32.50

Killarney 53 6 11.3% +15.00

Roscommon 52 1 1.9% −42.00

Leopardstown 52 2 3.8% −34.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 133 7 5.3% −64.06

Class 4 16 5 31.3% +0.80

Class 2 10 2 20% −0.50

Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 89 17 19.1% 0.63 −45.08

2nd–3rd fav 251 41 16.3% 1.09 −19.44

4th–6th fav 404 32 7.9% 1.12 −53.00

7th+ in betting 919 20 2.2% 0.80 −520.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 508 51 10% −101.36

1m5f – 2m 389 20 5.1% −162.73

2m5f – 3m 272 18 6.6% −83.43

1m – 1m1f 158 9 5.7% −68.00

6f – 7f 129 2 1.6% −107.00

1m2f – 1m4f 124 5 4% −84.50

Over 3m 55 4 7.3% −19.50

Under 6f 28 1 3.6% −11.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 32 3 9.4% +6.50

2009 44 1 2.3% −37.50

2010 40 2 5% −14.00

2011 50 0 0% −50.00

2012 71 3 4.2% −37.00

2013 50 2 4% −29.00

2014 61 4 6.6% −12.00

2015 60 2 3.3% −38.00

2016 68 7 10.3% −13.25

2017 66 4 6.1% −14.50

2018 55 2 3.6% −34.25

2019 80 1 1.3% −75.00

2020 61 1 1.6% −50.00

2021 609 59 9.7% −165.02

2022 72 6 8.3% +3.50

2023 67 4 6% −2.50

2024 71 1 1.4% −64.50

2025 61 3 4.9% −29.00

2026 45 5 11.1% +18.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 855 51 6% −234.15

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 557 29 5.2% −232.63

17+ runners 450 15 3.3% −290.75

11-13 runners 350 32 9.1% −29.76

8-10 runners 217 21 9.7% −55.43

5-7 runners 83 11 13.3% −29.39

2-4 runners 6 2 33.3% +0.44

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.1% completed · 1,085 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 303 77.9% 14 8 43 0 2

Hurdle 782 90.7% 11 5 51 3 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dragon's Pass (IRE) 45 3 11 7 Jun 25

Tipped Up Harry (GB) 44 7 17 13 Nov 16

Kalacan (IRE)from G M Lyons 32 0 9 20 Nov 13

Memory Of Youth (IRE) 29 2 10 6 May 23

Miles To Memphis (IRE)from Alan King 29 3 8 24 Nov 19

Flier (GB) 28 2 8 13 Aug 25

Pike County (IRE) 28 3 9 8 Sep 23

Not For Burning (IRE) 28 4 15 17 Apr 17

Lily's Rainbow (IRE) 27 3 7 23 Oct 16

Smackwater Jack (IRE)from Olly Murphy 25 3 8 3 Nov 26

Banada Bridge (IRE) 25 0 7 18 Aug 24

Rideau Canal (IRE)from Alan King 24 1 4 4 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 346 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan King (3) and G M Lyons (3); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul O'Flynn (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

51085691231294

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJordan Gainford

8% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 0.90

RiderRWSR£1

Jordan Gainford 139 15 10.8% −37.53

Jack Kennedy 96 12 12.5% −1.68

Mark Enright 88 3 3.4% −35.50

Robbie Power 77 9 11.7% −19.25

Mr A T Duff 69 6 8.7% +2.00

Keith Donoghue 62 4 6.5% −34.00

G. F. Carroll 51 2 3.9% −32.50

Mr J J Codd 49 6 12.2% −32.55

Wayne Lordan 43 4 9.3% −11.00

A P Heskin 33 4 12.1% +21.00

Sean Flanagan 32 4 12.5% +16.00

Denis O'Regan 30 3 10% −0.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

113

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.07m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 59 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Abacadabras (FR) — Betway Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2021 · Grade 1

£104,984

Black Tears (GB) — Close Brothers Mares' Hurdle (Registered As The David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle) (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2021 · Grade 1

£50,643

The Big Lense (IRE) — AXA Smart Farm Insurance Midlands National Handicap Chase Kilbeggan · Jul 2021

£44,250

Notable horses

Tipped Up Harry (GB) Not For Burning (IRE) Dragon's Pass (IRE) Miles To Memphis (IRE) Pike County (IRE) Lily's Rainbow (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Old Vic (GB) 12.5% · 8–64

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Dragon Pulse (IRE) 5.7% · 3–53

Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,272 runs since 2016 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 572. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.

Yeats (IRE) 13.2% · 7–53

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,863 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 821.

Kalanisi (IRE) 2% · 1–50

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,753 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Sir Harry Lewis (USA) 15.9% · 7–44

Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.

Court Cave (IRE) 2.3% · 1–43

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,970 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,736 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,736 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Pettus Bridge (FR)J: Rory Mulligan Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 9/2

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Smackwater Jack (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Christmas Parties At Fairyhouse December 12th Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 11/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Checkered (GB)J: Ben Coen Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 6th 9/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Legacy Of Stardom (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 40/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Checkered (GB)J: Ben Coen Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 5th 150/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Smackwater Jack (IRE)J: Daniel King William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran 8th 18/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Duchess Anne (IRE)J: Orla Tynan BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 6/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Smackwater Jack (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Winter Festival November 28th & 29th Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 13 ran 1st 10/1

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Pettus Bridge (FR)J: Patrick McGettigan Pravha Handicap (Div I)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 5th 12/1

15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Duchess Anne (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div I)9f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 8/1

15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Frank Pickle (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap8f · Good · 14 ran 10th 11/1

03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Smackwater Jack (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Clarke's Bar Mullingar Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 20/1

02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Frank Pickle (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Handicap8f · Good · 15 ran 7th 10/1

02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Pettus Bridge (FR)J: Patrick McGettigan Navan Handicap (Div II)8f · Good · 16 ran 6th 40/1

02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Duchess Anne (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Navan Handicap (Div I)8f · Good · 16 ran 8th 9/2

25 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Pettus Bridge (FR)J: Ben Coen Ploughman Bar & Grill Handicap (Div I)8f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran SU 50/1

04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Rideau Canal (IRE)J: Ethan O'Sullivan Kepak Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Soft · 13 ran PU 40/1

04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Smackwater Jack (IRE)J: Ethan O'Sullivan DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle24f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 9th 12/1

28 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Pettus Bridge (FR)J: Patrick McGettigan Caulfield Industrial Irish EBF Maiden7f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 300/1

25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Duchess Anne (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Tote Apprentice Handicap9.5f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs Denise Foster's strike rate?: Mrs Denise Foster has won 110 of 1,663 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mrs Denise Foster do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 8 wins from 61 runners (13.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mrs Denise Foster?: Jordan Gainford, with 139 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (10.8%).
Is Mrs Denise Foster in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mrs Denise Foster's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 1,662 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.