What is Nicky Henderson's strike rate?

Nicky Henderson has won 2,275 of 9,761 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 23.3% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nicky Henderson do best at?

Southwell by strike rate: 59 wins from 202 runners (29.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Nicky Henderson?

Nico de Boinville, with 2,692 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 670 (24.9%).

Is Nicky Henderson in form?

In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 26.7%. That is above the baseline of 23.3% since 2008.

What is Nicky Henderson's Fair A/E?

1.09, from 9,744 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Nicky Henderson

9,761 runners in the lifetime window · 1,207 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 7.6% of 394 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 8 Nov 2026.

In form — 4 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

2,275–9,761

Wins / Runs

23.3%

Strike rate

n=9,761

4,280 (44%)

Placed

1.09

Fair A/E

n=9,744 · 0.94 incl. margin

−1,075.74

£1 level stake

n=9,759 at SP · −11.0%

£46.5m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

22.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 510 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 23% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). New recruits from other yards win at 32% first time out (355 runs). The yard is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 9,761 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Feb Fresh horses: 24.2% 44.5% when favourite Nico de Boinville: 24.9% from 2,692 New recruits: 32.4% Sends off the favourite in 31% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fakenham (36.8%, n=117) and Ffos Las (35.5%, n=155) — all clear of the yard's 23.3% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (13.6% over 1,228 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 32.4% (n=355, Fair A/E 1.33), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 9.2% (n=131, Fair A/E 0.69). Right now the yard is firing: 4 winners from 15 runners in the last 14 days (26.7%, 3.4pts above the 23.3% baseline). Nico de Boinville rides 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (24.9%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 338 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2013, £313,225). The stable star of the record: Altior (IRE) — 21 wins from 26 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 23.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

24.2%+0.9

n=3,176 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −167.29

New recruits · first run for the yard

32.4%+9.1

n=355 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +73.07

Debutants · first career start

29.3%+6.0

n=778 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −53.53

First-time headgear · true-first definition

19.5%−3.8

n=307 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −44.48

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.2%−14.1

n=131 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −77.31

When favourite

44.5%

n=3,004 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −182.63

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

20.1%−3.2

n=1,265 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −90.45

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

19.3%−4.0

n=1,714 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −173.68

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 23.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Cheltenham 13.6% vs 23.3% · n=1,228

With headgear back on 9.2% vs 23.3% · n=131

With A P McCoy 33.6% vs 23.3% · n=538

At Fakenham 36.8% vs 23.3% · n=117

At Ffos Las 35.5% vs 23.3% · n=155

With Marcus Foley 10.8% vs 23.3% · n=83

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 44.4% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 5,840 1363 23.3% −496.52

Chase 2,527 578 22.9% −400.89

NH Flat 1,167 296 25.4% −199.17

Flat 227 38 16.7% +20.84

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 3,767 898 23.8% −115.19

Good to Soft 2,878 635 22.1% −574.59

Soft 2,190 510 23.3% −223.18

Heavy 452 116 25.7% −90.47

Good to Firm 290 71 24.5% −53.54

Standard (AW) 181 44 24.3% −17.06

Firm 3 1 33.3% −1.71

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 1,228 167 13.6% −222.08

Newbury 874 186 21.3% −113.92

Kempton 805 215 26.7% +28.13

Ascot 571 128 22.4% −63.81

Sandown 531 118 22.2% −58.16

Aintree 491 83 16.9% −37.89

Huntingdon 376 106 28.2% −81.56

Ludlow 367 102 27.8% −71.86

Doncaster 336 95 28.3% −3.55

Warwick 315 82 26% −28.76

Uttoxeter 272 62 22.8% −69.44

Worcester 235 59 25.1% +11.93

Market Rasen 210 60 28.6% −8.54

Southwell 202 59 29.2% −33.08

Haydock 185 37 20% −45.82

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 2,774 823 29.7% −279.47

Class 1 2,353 435 18.5% −331.58

Class 3 2,035 450 22.1% −193.37

Class 2 1,346 240 17.8% −82.29

Class 5 816 212 26% −105.76

Class 6 368 108 29.3% −55.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 3,258 1417 43.5% 1.10 −134.91

2nd–3rd fav 3,070 620 20.2% 1.09 −246.96

4th–6th fav 2,101 179 8.5% 0.99 −448.87

7th+ in betting 1,330 57 4.3% 1.08 −245.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 3,742 1054 28.2% −395.29

2m1f – 2m4f 3,104 705 22.7% −259.68

2m5f – 3m 2,420 431 17.8% −337.36

Over 3m 408 63 15.4% −78.69

1m2f – 1m4f 83 22 26.5% −0.72

1m – 1m1f 4 0 0% −4.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 494 118 23.9% +52.53

2009 489 125 25.6% −14.66

2010 569 130 22.8% −63.57

2011 709 189 26.7% −101.83

2012 599 148 24.7% +15.64

2013 598 138 23.1% −60.07

2014 515 121 23.5% −33.78

2015 463 115 24.8% −67.74

2016 566 117 20.7% −119.31

2017 578 154 26.6% −79.70

2018 551 154 27.9% −25.24

2019 558 131 23.5% −58.67

2020 439 100 22.8% −55.81

2021 615 124 20.2% −125.84

2022 491 99 20.2% −106.09

2023 467 102 21.8% −17.40

2024 413 77 18.6% −131.47

2025 394 77 19.5% −74.40

2026 253 56 22.1% −8.33

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 4,152 597 14.4% −349.96

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 2,540 596 23.5% −228.19

5-7 runners 2,308 738 32% −135.18

11-13 runners 1,917 360 18.8% −336.43

14-16 runners 1,217 205 16.8% −224.21

17+ runners 1,176 108 9.2% −119.70

2-4 runners 601 266 44.3% −32.03

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.2% completed · 8,367 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 2,527 77.4% 109 80 368 7 7

Hurdle 5,840 88.6% 113 48 487 8 11

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

French Opera (GB)from Jamie Osborne 42 7 17 29 May 16

Theinval (FR)from M Seror 40 7 16 18 Apr 21

Ericht (IRE) 39 7 17 25 Mar 17

Lelantos (IRE) 35 5 14 20 Jul 26

Call Me Lord (FR)from M Seror 35 6 14 27 Apr 24

Anquetta (IRE)then Robert Waley-Cohen 34 7 14 29 Nov 14

Tanks For That (IRE) 33 4 14 14 Feb 15

On The Blind Side (IRE) 31 8 17 10 Feb 24

Top Notch (FR)from G Macaire 31 14 19 10 Apr 21

Josses Hill (IRE)from A Oliver 30 7 11 27 Apr 19

Scots Dragoon (GB) 30 5 13 20 Aug 11

Mill Green (GB) 29 5 17 27 May 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,207 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 21 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G Macaire (2) and M Seror (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard; 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

4 from 15 26.7% · +3.4pts vs baseline

Last 14 days26.7%

Lifetime base23.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

262518192627192430202726

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNico de Boinville

28% of all rides
24.9% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Nico de Boinville 2,692 670 24.9% −243.18

Barry Geraghty 1,529 452 29.6% −30.45

Andrew Tinkler 770 145 18.8% −168.49

James Bowen 737 153 20.8% −57.26

Jeremiah McGrath 644 130 20.2% −51.27

A P McCoy 538 181 33.6% −17.77

David Bass 502 106 21.1% −29.14

Daryl Jacob 338 80 23.7% −51.10

Felix De Giles 179 37 20.7% +5.80

Aidan Coleman 116 27 23.3% −48.22

Mr Sam Waley-Cohen 115 24 20.9% −13.97

Richard Killoran 115 18 15.7% −38.63

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

2,494

Archived wins

338

Pattern / graded wins

£49.7m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 189 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Bobs Worth (IRE) — Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2013 · Class 1

£313,225

Long Run (FR) — totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2011 · Class 1

£285,050

Buveur D'air (FR) — Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2018 · Grade 1

£266,384

Notable horses

Altior (IRE) Jonbon (FR) Sprinter Sacre (FR) Oscar Whisky (IRE) Buveur D'air (FR) Top Notch (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 21.7% · 89–410

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Beneficial (GB) 21.9% · 59–270

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 30.4% · 75–247

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Milan (GB) 24.9% · 60–241

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,884 runs since 2008 (1,464 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 27.5% · 66–240

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Yeats (IRE) 23.1% · 49–212

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,849 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,861 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,861 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Go To War (IRE)J: Paul O'Brien Matchbook Loves Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 1st 5/4F

07 Nov 26 Aintree Lucky Place (FR)J: Nico de Boinville William Hill Molyneux Hurdle Race (Grade 2) (Formerly Registered As The Elite Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 3rd 9/2

05 Nov 26 Newbury Geissler (IRE)J: Nico de Boinville BetVictor Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 8/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Block Flight (FR)J: Nico de Boinville British Horse Society Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 14/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Grand Teton (IRE)J: Nico de Boinville Check Out The BetVictor Betbuilder Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 8/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Jetaway Holiday (IRE)J: Freddie Gordon Check Out The BetVictor Betbuilder Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 9/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Royal Response (IRE)J: Nico de Boinville Grahame Church Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 3/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Coastal Command (GB)J: Nico de Boinville Final Fence Open 30th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 17/2

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Ile De Jersey (FR)J: Nico de Boinville Kalm Club Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 13/2

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Bold Step (GB)J: Nico de Boinville Cappagh Browne Utilities Ltd Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 13/8

31 Oct 26 Ascot Califet En Vol (IRE)J: Nico de Boinville Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 6th 5/2F

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter St Marys Wantage (IRE)J: Nico de Boinville Support The Royal British Legion Poppy Appeal Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 40/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon That's Nice (IRE)J: Harry Cobden 2026/27 Annual Badges Now On Sale At Huntingdon Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 25f · Good · 6 ran 1st 100/30

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Laughing John (GB)J: James Bowen Mount Vines Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran F 3/1F

26 Oct 26 Hereford Aukus (IRE)J: Nico de Boinville BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Planters Punch (GB)J: Nico de Boinville Oddschecker Novices' Hurdle Race(grade 2) (registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle Race) (gbb Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 4/1

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham La Pinsonniere (FR)J: James Bowen William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 18/1

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham East India Express (IRE)J: Freddie Gordon William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 12/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Mariole (FR)J: Mr Daniel Williams CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 13/2

21 Oct 26 Worcester Ginolo (IRE)J: Mr Henry Main Copybet For Champions League Profit Boosts National Hunt Flat Race (conditional & Amateur Jockey's Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 16 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 1) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Nicky Henderson's strike rate?: Nicky Henderson has won 2,275 of 9,761 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 23.3% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nicky Henderson do best at?: Southwell by strike rate: 59 wins from 202 runners (29.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nicky Henderson?: Nico de Boinville, with 2,692 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 670 (24.9%).
Is Nicky Henderson in form?: In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 26.7%. That is above the baseline of 23.3% since 2008.
What is Nicky Henderson's Fair A/E?: 1.09, from 9,744 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.