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Trainer profile

Noel Lawlor

391 runners in the lifetime window · 55 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2020
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
20–391
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=391
61 (16%)
Placed
0.99
Fair A/E
n=390 · 0.76 incl. margin
−197.10
£1 level stake
n=391 at SP · −50.4%
£194k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (161 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 391 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Rory Cleary: 7.7% from 91 Claiming riders: 6.8%
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). Rory Cleary rode 23% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.7% vs 5.1%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well at trips under 6f (13.3%, n=30) and off a 0-7-day break (10%, n=30). The record read poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 37 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Kimbay (IRE) — 6 wins from 22 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.4%−1.7
n=87 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −40.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.7%+2.6
n=13 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.1
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.1
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
When favourite
30.8%
n=13 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +3.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.8%+1.7
n=161 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −22.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 13.3% vs 5.1% · n=30
With horses switching code 0% vs 5.1% · n=42
On Heavy going 0% vs 5.1% · n=37
With debutants 0% vs 5.1% · n=37
With first-time headgear 0% vs 5.1% · n=30
Off a 0-7-day break 10% vs 5.1% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 247 14 5.7% −106.50
Hurdle 100 4 4% −70.60
NH Flat 23 2 8.7% +1.00
Chase 21 0 0% −21.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 114 9 7.9% −58.50
Good 85 4 4.7% −44.60
Soft 68 6 8.8% +15.00
Good to Firm 58 1 1.7% −43.00
Heavy 37 0 0% −37.00
Good to Soft 24 0 0% −24.00
Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 100 8 8% −50.50
Curragh 30 2 6.7% +30.00
Kilbeggan 24 0 0% −24.00
Gowran Park 22 0 0% −22.00
Fairyhouse 17 0 0% −17.00
Cork 16 1 6.3% −8.00
Navan 14 0 0% −14.00
Galway 14 1 7.1% −3.00
Clonmel 13 1 7.7% +0.00
Wexford 13 1 7.7% +2.00
Limerick 12 0 0% −12.00
Tipperary 11 1 9.1% −5.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Tramore 10 1 10% −4.00
Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 5 4 1 25% +2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 4 30.8% 1.56 +3.90
2nd–3rd fav 34 6 17.6% 1.37 +4.00
4th–6th fav 80 7 8.8% 1.20 −16.00
7th+ in betting 264 3 1.1% 0.40 −189.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jack The Hat (IRE)then Liz Doyle 29 3 9 18 Sep 14
Corker Hill (IRE)from S M Duffy 24 3 8 25 May 16
Kimbay (IRE)from S M Duffy 22 6 10 10 Jul 16
Forza Libranno (FR)from F Chappet · then Denis Gerard Hogan 18 0 1 12 Aug 20
Spiritina (IRE) 17 1 3 6 Nov 10
Massini's Brook (IRE) 16 1 6 12 May 16
Lady Quill (IRE)then Thomas Cleary 15 0 3 1 Nov 18
Dr Linzi (IRE) 15 1 2 9 Jun 15
Itschessnotchekers (IRE)then Gavin Cromwell 14 0 2 7 Jul 18
Emily Jane (IRE) 13 0 1 13 Sep 12
Ounooi (IRE) 13 2 2 11 Oct 10
Fightforyourdreams (IRE) 11 0 1 17 Oct 16
All 55 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 55 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from S M Duffy (4); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Thomas Cleary (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
500005441251011
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRory Cleary
23% of all rides
7.7% SR · A/E 1.31
RiderRWSR£1
Rory Cleary 91 7 7.7% −45.50
Derek McCormack 53 4 7.5% −8.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
26
Archived wins
£269k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kapera (FR) — Pinewood Handicap (60-100) Leopardstown · Apr 2007
£16,275
Flying Knight (IRE) — Golf Open Week At Gowran Park Handicap (60-100) Gowran Park · Aug 2006
£16,275
Ounooi (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Fillies) Handicap (60-90) Cork · Oct 2008
£16,275
Notable horses
Kimbay (IRE) Flying Knight (IRE) Jack The Hat (IRE) Corker Hill (IRE) Ounooi (IRE) Spiritina (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dr Massini (IRE) 8.3% · 5–60
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Rakti (GB) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,054 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.1% from 214. Weakest on Soft going: 5.2% from 192. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.3% from 218.
Windsor Knot (IRE) 27.3% · 6–22
Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,319 runs since 2008 (81 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 109. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 127.
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,818 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Dick Turpin (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,368 runs since 2008 (103 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.7% from 247. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.7% from 149. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 271.
Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 440 · newest first

The latest 50 of 440 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 December 2005 to 12 August 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Aug 20 Gowran Park Forza Libranno (FR)J: Rory Cleary Bet 10 Get 20 With MansionBet Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)9.5f · Good · 15 ran 11th 50/1
01 Aug 20 Kilbeggan Forza Libranno (FR)J: Ian McCarthy Athlone (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 14 ran 11th 150/1
16 Oct 19 Punchestown Forza Libranno (FR)J: Ian McCarthy Bangor-On-Dee Annual Members Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 19 ran 10th 100/1
04 Oct 19 Gowran Park Forza Libranno (FR)J: Ian McCarthy Join Racing TV Now Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 5th 66/1
06 Sep 19 Kilbeggan Forza Libranno (FR)J: Paddy Kennedy Pat Doyle Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 6th 25/1
01 Sep 19 Cork Forza Libranno (FR)J: N G McCullagh Matchbook Straight Seven Handicap (45-65)7f · Good · 25 ran 23rd 12/1
24 Aug 19 Kilbeggan Painted On The Sky (FR)J: Richard Deegan Follow Kilbeggan Racecourse On Instagram Flat Race18f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 12th 50/1
14 Jul 19 Fairyhouse Forza Libranno (FR)J: Michael Hussey Boyne Valley Racing Weekend Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)7f · Good · 18 ran 8th 9/1
07 Jun 19 Curragh Forza Libranno (FR)J: Rory Cleary TRM's 'Kurasyn' Handicap (45-70)6.5f · Good To Yielding · 24 ran 5th 14/1
29 May 19 Gowran Park Forza Libranno (FR)J: N G McCullagh Kilkenny GAA Family Fun Day June 3rd Handicap (45-70) (Div 2)7f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 4th 16/1
06 May 19 Curragh Forza Libranno (FR)J: Alan Persse Curragh Training Grounds Apprentice Handicap7f · Good To Yielding · 23 ran 12th 25/1
23 Nov 18 Dundalk (AW) Forza Libranno (FR)J: Derek McCormack Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 33/1
09 Nov 18 Dundalk (AW) Lady Yasmin (IRE)J: Derek McCormack Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Handicap (45-70)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 50/1
07 Nov 18 Dundalk (AW) Forza Libranno (FR)J: Derek McCormack Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 14/1
01 Nov 18 Clonmel Lady Quill (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Sky Sports Racing Launching In 2019 Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 28/1
26 Oct 18 Dundalk (AW) Lady Yasmin (IRE)J: Derek McCormack Dev-Oil & Skips R Us Handicap (45-75)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 50/1
12 Oct 18 Dundalk (AW) Song Cito (IRE)J: Derek McCormack Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Handicap (45-65)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 25/1
07 Sep 18 Kilbeggan Lady Quill (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Midland Breeders Supporting Kilbeggan Beginners Chase20f · Good · 14 ran 7th 40/1
04 Sep 18 Naas Forza Libranno (FR)J: W J Lee Naasracecourse.com Handicap (45-65)5.5f · Good · 19 ran 13th 8/1
19 Aug 18 Tramore Lady Quill (IRE)J: A E Lynch Jim Harney/Joe O'Shea Memorial Mares Beginners Chase22f · Good · 8 ran 4th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Noel Lawlor's strike rate?
Noel Lawlor has won 20 of 391 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Noel Lawlor do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 100 runners (8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Noel Lawlor?
Rory Cleary, with 91 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (7.7%).
What is Noel Lawlor's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 390 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).