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Trainer profile

James Bernard McCabe

181 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2012 98% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
7–181
Wins / Runs
3.9%
Strike rate
n=181
27 (15%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=181 · 0.66 incl. margin
−110.75
£1 level stake
n=181 at SP · −61.2%
£73,571
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (35 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 181 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.7%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −54.00 to a £1 stake over 100 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The yard also read well at trips under 6f (9.1%, n=44). The record read poorly on Good going — 0% over 32 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.48 across 52 runners (1.9% strike, −41.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.7%+1.8
n=35 · A/E 1.91 · £1 +2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.3%+4.4
n=12 · A/E 3.06 · £1 +14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.9
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.9
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
16.7%+12.8
n=6 · A/E 3.92 · £1 +5.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 4.20 · £1 +2.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3%−0.9
n=100 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −54.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 9.1% vs 3.9% · n=44
With Chris Hayes 8.6% vs 3.9% · n=35
On Good going 0% vs 3.9% · n=32
On Standard (AW) going 1.9% vs 3.9% · n=52
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 178 7 3.9% −107.75
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 52 1 1.9% −41.00
Soft 33 1 3% −22.00
Good to Firm 32 1 3.1% −23.00
Good 32 0 0% −32.00
Heavy 18 2 11.1% −10.75
Good to Soft 13 1 7.7% −7.00
Firm 1 1 100% +25.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 49 1 2% −38.00
Curragh 35 1 2.9% −9.00
Navan 18 3 16.7% +3.00
Naas 16 0 0% −16.00
Sligo 9 0 0% −9.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Tipperary 7 1 14.3% +2.00
Bellewstown 6 1 16.7% −2.75
Leopardstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00
Laytown (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 1 100% 4.20 +2.25
2nd–3rd fav 12 2 16.7% 1.45 −2.00
4th–6th fav 39 2 5.1% 0.75 −19.00
7th+ in betting 129 2 1.6% 0.54 −92.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Statue Of Dreams (IRE)then Noel Lawlor 48 4 14 19 Oct 12
Hazelwood Ridge (IRE)from Joseph Fox 18 2 3 11 Nov 09
Lechevalier Choisi (IRE) 12 1 5 8 Oct 11
Fabbiaano (IRE)then Gerard O'Leary 10 0 0 16 Nov 12
Lara Larisa (IRE) 10 0 1 3 Jun 11
Zelos Dream (IRE)from Bill Turner · then S Buggy 9 0 2 23 Nov 12
Nara Datta (IRE)then James McAuley 9 0 1 21 Oct 11
Mazellie (IRE)then Eoin Christopher McCarthy 9 0 0 26 Nov 10
Seven Red (IRE) 6 0 0 10 Dec 10
Taranasan (IRE) 6 0 0 2 Oct 09
Cultec Dot Ie (IRE) 5 0 0 11 Nov 11
Cookie Crumbles (IRE)from Chris Wall · then Adrian McGuinness 5 0 0 21 Oct 11
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive; 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Kieran P Cotter (2); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·0252508400300
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderChris Hayes
19% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 1.38
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Hayes 35 3 8.6% −21.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
7
Archived wins
£73,571
Prize money
2012
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Hazelwood Ridge (IRE) — Gallo Family Vineyards Handicap (50-70) Curragh · Jun 2008
£7,601
Lechevalier Choisi (IRE) — Irish Racing Calendar Maiden Navan · Apr 2011
£6,900
Hazelwood Ridge (IRE) — Farmlea Handicap (47-65) Dundalk (AW) · Mar 2009
£5,528
Notable horses
Statue Of Dreams (IRE) Hazelwood Ridge (IRE) Lechevalier Choisi (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Statue Of Liberty (USA) 8.3% · 4–48
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 119.
Mozart (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 9% of 523 runs since 2008 (22 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.4% from 129.
Redback (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.
Choisir (AUS) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).
Antonius Pius (USA) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.1% of 3,236 runs since 2008 (195 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5% from 339.
Fasliyev (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 184 · newest first

The latest 50 of 184 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 August 2007 to 23 November 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Nov 12 Dundalk (AW) Zelos Dream (IRE)J: Fergal Lynch Come On The Irish Stablestaff Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 20/1
16 Nov 12 Dundalk (AW) Fabbiaano (IRE)J: Colin Keane www.dundalkstadium.com Maiden12f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 33/1
09 Nov 12 Dundalk (AW) Zelos Dream (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 20/1
19 Oct 12 Dundalk (AW) Statue Of Dreams (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Christmas Party Packages At Dundalk Stadium Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 10/1
15 Oct 12 Roscommon Fabbiaano (IRE)J: Leigh Roche 5 Admission Handicap (47-65)7f · Heavy · 10 ran 9th 18/1
15 Oct 12 Roscommon Lord Rathvinden (IRE)J: Chris Hayes 5 Admission Handicap (47-65)7f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 7/1
27 Sep 12 Dundalk (AW) Statue Of Dreams (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Dundalk Stadium Lights Up Friday 28th September Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 11/1
23 Sep 12 Gowran Park Chelsea Man (IRE)J: Sam James Gowran Park Golf & Leisure Maiden7f · Good · 16 ran 15th 50/1
15 Sep 12 Curragh Statue Of Dreams (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Gain Elite 10 Handicap5f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 12/1
13 Sep 12 Laytown (AW) Fabbiaano (IRE)J: Mark Enright Neptune Claiming Race7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 5/1
09 Sep 12 Curragh Fabbiaano (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Unaccompanied Maiden10f · Good · 20 ran 12th 50/1
26 Aug 12 Curragh Statue Of Dreams (IRE)J: Chris Hayes www.bettor.com Flying Five Stakes (group 3)5f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 100/1
21 Aug 12 Sligo Zelos Dream (IRE)J: L P Dempsey Follow Sligo Races On Facebook Handicap (47-65)7f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 9/1
21 Aug 12 Sligo Eja Eja (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Follow Sligo Races On Facebook Handicap (47-65)7f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 14/1
08 Aug 12 Sligo Firestrike (GB)J: Leigh Roche Sligo Apprentice Maiden12f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 10th 66/1
08 Aug 12 Sligo Latawa (IRE)J: Megan Carberry Sligo Apprentice Maiden12f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 8th 66/1
06 Aug 12 Naas Eja Eja (IRE)J: Sam James Follow Naas On Facebook Handicap (47-65)6f · Soft · 20 ran 11th 18/1
05 Aug 12 Galway Zelos Dream (IRE)J: Megan Carberry Galway Shopping Centre Handicap (50-75)7f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 11/1
25 Jul 12 Naas Zelos Dream (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Michael Higgins & Co. Race8f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 6th 40/1
25 Jul 12 Naas Statue Of Dreams (IRE)J: Fran Berry Kc Civils Supporting Naas Hurling Handicap5f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 7th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Bernard McCabe's strike rate?
James Bernard McCabe has won 7 of 181 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Bernard McCabe do best at?
Curragh by strike rate: 1 wins from 35 runners (2.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is James Bernard McCabe's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 181 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).