Oliver Greenall
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).
The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (24.2%, n=33) and Southwell (20%, n=60) — all clear of the yard's 9.2% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=91, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 2.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.41 and −82.50 to a £1 stake over 107 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Henry Brooke rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.7%, A/E 0.94). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.8%, n=48). The stable star of the record: Cave Top (IRE) — 5 wins from 34 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2012→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,497 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,497 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 March 2012 to 21 April 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Oliver Greenall's strike rate?
- Oliver Greenall has won 137 of 1,497 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Oliver Greenall do best at?
- Southwell by strike rate: 12 wins from 60 runners (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Oliver Greenall?
- Henry Brooke, with 259 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (9.7%).
- What is Oliver Greenall's Fair A/E?
- 0.93, from 1,496 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.