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Trainer profile

P O'Rourke

212 runners in the lifetime window · 46 individual horses
As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–212
Wins / Runs
1.4%
Strike rate
n=212
23 (11%)
Placed
0.45
n=212 · 0.35 incl. margin
−59.00
£1 level stake
n=212 at SP · −27.8%
£59,728
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.45).

Deterministic profile computed from 212 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 30 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Mr J P O'Rourke: 1.2% from 82
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.47 and −50.00 to a £1 stake over 152 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mr J P O'Rourke rides 39% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.2%, A/E 0.44). The yard also reads well on Soft going (4.4%, n=68). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 53 runners (0% strike, −53.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.4
n=44 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −44.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
2.4%+1.0
n=41 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.4
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.3%−0.1
n=152 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −50.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 4.4% vs 1.4% · n=68
On Good going 0% vs 1.4% · n=53 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 99 2 2% +33.00
NH Flat 47 1 2.1% −26.00
Hurdle 39 0 0% −39.00
Chase 27 0 0% −27.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 68 3 4.4% +85.00
Good 53 0 0% −53.00
Heavy 30 0 0% −30.00
Standard (AW) 24 0 0% −24.00
Good to Firm 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Soft 14 0 0% −14.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 24 0 0% −24.00
Cork 17 0 0% −17.00
Gowran Park 15 1 6.7% +66.00
Listowel 12 1 8.3% +9.00
Roscommon 11 0 0% −11.00
Wexford 11 0 0% −11.00
Punchestown 11 0 0% −11.00
Killarney 10 1 10% +41.00
Curragh 10 0 0% −10.00
Down Royal 9 0 0% −9.00
Navan 8 0 0% −8.00
Clonmel 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Thurles 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
4th–6th fav 34 1 2.9% 0.50 −13.00
7th+ in betting 169 2 1.2% 0.59 −37.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Whistling Gypse (IRE) 16 0 3 2 Jul 10
Money Trail (IRE) 14 0 1 23 Jul 11
Rokococo Palm (IRE) 13 0 0 14 Aug 11
Sanctuary Place (IRE) 11 0 0 25 Oct 21
Miss Ivor (IRE) 10 0 0 8 Oct 26
Humtaza (IRE) 10 0 1 17 Nov 23
Coup D'etat (IRE) 9 0 1 30 Jul 25
Tenroundqueen (IRE) 7 0 0 2 Oct 21
Bruno Boru (IRE) 7 0 0 29 Jan 16
Elm Grove (IRE)then W McCreery 6 0 0 7 May 15
All 46 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 46 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Dan Skelton (2); 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000500007400
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr J P O'Rourke
39% of all rides
1.2% SR · A/E 0.44
RiderRWSR£1
Mr J P O'Rourke 82 1 1.2% −61.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
3
Archived wins
£68,138
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Minister For Magic (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden Killarney · Oct 2021
£7,965
Chosen Templar (IRE) — Listowel Vintners Association Flat Race Listowel · Sep 2023
£7,080
Purple Moon (IRE) — Thomastown Maiden Gowran Park · Apr 2026
£6,479

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Belardo (IRE) 0% · 0–27
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,718 runs since 2008 (280 horses).
Make Believe (GB) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,612 runs since 2008 (298 horses).
Norwich (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,601 runs since 2008 (176 horses).
Good Thyne (USA) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 5.6% of 503 runs since 2008 (69 horses).
Great Palm (USA) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,946 runs since 2008 (256 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 9.9% from 262.
Cotai Glory (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,944 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 1,413. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 425.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 249 · newest first

The latest 50 of 249 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 June 2005 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P O'Rourke's strike rate?
P O'Rourke has won 3 of 212 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.4% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for P O'Rourke?
Mr J P O'Rourke, with 82 runners since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.2%).
Is P O'Rourke in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is P O'Rourke's Fair A/E?
0.45, from 212 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 30 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).