Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.41).
Deterministic profile computed from 177 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceMiss Georgie Benson: 7.3% from 55
The read
Debutants struggle at 0% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.00). Miss Georgie Benson rides 31% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.3%, A/E 1.80) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (11.8%, n=34) and on Good going (10.1%, n=69). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 36 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.8%−2.8
n=36 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −15.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.7%+2.1
n=13 · A/E 2.69 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.6
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12.5%+6.9
n=8 · A/E 1.94 · £1 −1.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
25%+19.4
n=8 · A/E 5.07 · £1 +6.50
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.79 · £1 +2.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%−1.1
n=111 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −35.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m11.8% vs 5.6% · n=34
On Good to Soft going0% vs 5.6% · n=36
With debutants0% vs 5.6% · n=36
On Good going10.1% vs 5.6% · n=69
With a new jockey booking3% vs 5.6% · n=100
In NH Flat races2.4% vs 5.6% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle8678.1%−6.50
NH Flat4212.4%−35.00
Chase2926.9%+0.00
Flat2000%−20.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good69710.1%−17.50
Soft5635.4%+8.00
Good to Soft3600%−36.00
Heavy1400%−14.00
Standard (AW)200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown2314.3%−2.00
Kilbeggan1200%−12.00
Fairyhouse1100%−11.00
Sligo1000%−10.00
Naas900%−9.00
Tramore900%−9.00
Ballinrobe8450%+25.00
Roscommon800%−8.00
Wexford8112.5%−1.00
Downpatrick700%−7.00
Navan6116.7%+0.00
Down Royal600%−6.00
Tipperary600%−6.00
Limerick600%−6.00
Leopardstown6116.7%+28.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4300%−3.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Class 3200%−2.00
Class 1100%−1.00
Class 5100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite5240%2.34+6.50
2nd–3rd fav11218.2%1.47+3.50
4th–6th fav40410%1.74−5.50
7th+ in betting12121.7%0.77−66.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m7434.1%−23.00
2m1f – 2m4f5135.9%−28.00
2m5f – 3m34411.8%+7.50
Over 3m800%−8.00
1m2f – 1m4f400%−4.00
6f – 7f300%−3.00
1m – 1m1f200%−2.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2020100%−1.00
20213412.9%−26.00
202236411.1%+21.00
20233000%−30.00
20242114.8%+0.00
20252214.5%−15.00
20263339.1%−10.50
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps56712.5%+23.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners65710.8%+29.00
11-13 runners3700%−37.00
17+ runners3712.7%−30.50
8-10 runners2926.9%−14.00
5-7 runners900%−9.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 49 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 49 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ciaran Murphy (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.
16 have since run for another yard, most often for Patrick T Foley (3) and Nick Scholfield (2); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000111501107008
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,267 runs since 2016 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 570. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.
Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,276 runs since 2022 (201 horses).
Court Cave (IRE)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,946 runs since 2008 (552 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 177 · newest first
The latest 50 of 177 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 November 2020 to 31 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Peter John Flood's strike rate?
Peter John Flood has won 10 of 177 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Peter John Flood?
Miss Georgie Benson, with 55 runners since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7.3%).
Is Peter John Flood in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Peter John Flood's Fair A/E?
1.41, from 177 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Peter John Flood·SR 5.6%·A/E 1.41
1Tap Share in the toolbar2Scroll down the sheet3Tap Add to Home Screen, then Add
1Open your browser's menu (the three dots)2Tap Add to Home screen or Install app
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy