What is Susan Gardner's strike rate?

Susan Gardner has won 146 of 1,796 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Susan Gardner do best at?

Exeter by strike rate: 41 wins from 378 runners (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Susan Gardner?

Lucy Gardner, with 946 runners since 2008 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 77 (8.1%).

What is Susan Gardner's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 1,794 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Susan Gardner

1,796 runners in the lifetime window · 200 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 14 days ago 94% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

146–1,796

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=1,796

395 (22%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=1,794 · 0.90 incl. margin

−604.02

£1 level stake

n=1,796 at SP · −33.6%

£1.18m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). With a claiming rider up the record reads 10% (984 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,796 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Jun 30.3% when favourite Lucy Gardner: 8.1% from 946 Claiming riders: 9.8% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 0.8% (n=133, Fair A/E 0.28). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −215.17 to a £1 stake over 392 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Lucy Gardner rides 53% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.1%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (19.4%, n=62) and beyond 3m (14.3%, n=175). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Compton Beauchamp Estates Ltd Silver Bar Handicap at Newbury (Apr 2019, £24,900). The stable star of the record: Orion Express (GB) — 10 wins from 74 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.1%−4.0

n=392 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −215.17

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.3%−4.8

n=60 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −49.00

Debutants · first career start

0.8%−7.3

n=133 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −124.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.8%−4.3

n=53 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −42.67

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.3%+2.2

n=29 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −7.00

When favourite

30.3%

n=89 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +4.03

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.8%+1.7

n=984 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −263.68

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.8%−3.3

n=21 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 19.4% vs 8.1% · n=62

With Matt Griffiths 21.2% vs 8.1% · n=33

With Ciaran O'Shea 20% vs 8.1% · n=30

With debutants 0.8% vs 8.1% · n=133

On last-time-out winners 15.1% vs 8.1% · n=146

Beyond 3m 14.3% vs 8.1% · n=175

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,183 96 8.1% −407.89

Chase 303 38 12.5% −38.51

NH Flat 208 5 2.4% −114.50

Flat 102 7 6.9% −43.12

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 525 37 7% −194.75

Soft 420 40 9.5% −114.81

Good to Soft 359 25 7% −124.12

Heavy 267 27 10.1% −54.59

Good to Firm 166 15 9% −73.75

Standard (AW) 44 0 0% −44.00

Firm 15 2 13.3% +2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 378 41 10.8% −67.21

Newton Abbot 270 21 7.8% −85.12

Chepstow 126 8 6.3% −56.37

Fontwell 125 11 8.8% −75.38

Taunton 115 7 6.1% −60.75

Wincanton 114 11 9.6% +30.25

Ffos Las 82 5 6.1% −54.34

Uttoxeter 72 6 8.3% −25.25

Stratford 60 3 5% +4.50

Worcester 56 4 7.1% −30.50

Hereford 49 3 6.1% −22.00

Bath 31 2 6.5% −13.50

Warwick 29 2 6.9% −14.67

Plumpton 28 2 7.1% −17.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 706 49 6.9% −272.19

Class 5 653 56 8.6% −200.04

Class 3 236 31 13.1% −12.17

Class 6 131 5 3.8% −97.62

Class 2 44 4 9.1% −13.00

Class 1 23 1 4.3% −6.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 117 34 29.1% 1.15 +4.28

2nd–3rd fav 301 53 17.6% 1.12 −7.80

4th–6th fav 551 47 8.5% 1.17 −100.50

7th+ in betting 827 12 1.5% 0.56 −500.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 665 51 7.7% −248.92

2m5f – 3m 519 47 9.1% −122.50

1m5f – 2m 378 20 5.3% −204.13

Over 3m 175 25 14.3% +6.53

1m2f – 1m4f 27 2 7.4% −11.00

1m – 1m1f 20 1 5% −12.00

6f – 7f 11 0 0% −11.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 55 2 3.6% −42.00

2009 48 4 8.3% −24.75

2010 51 3 5.9% −31.00

2011 87 11 12.6% −2.75

2012 134 19 14.2% +5.70

2013 118 10 8.5% +2.75

2014 109 10 9.2% −47.67

2015 97 7 7.2% −52.50

2016 90 7 7.8% −39.17

2017 126 16 12.7% −38.54

2018 132 7 5.3% −80.38

2019 143 11 7.7% −5.88

2020 82 7 8.5% −34.00

2021 120 5 4.2% −62.12

2022 82 3 3.7% −37.00

2023 79 5 6.3% −45.62

2024 78 5 6.4% −51.09

2025 88 7 8% −10.00

2026 77 7 9.1% −8.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,193 134 11.2% −206.85

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 569 51 9% −166.34

11-13 runners 495 28 5.7% −179.00

5-7 runners 347 49 14.1% −51.38

14-16 runners 270 9 3.3% −176.00

17+ runners 87 3 3.4% −30.50

2-4 runners 28 6 21.4% −0.80

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

79.7% completed · 1,486 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 303 73.3% 12 10 59 0 0

Hurdle 1,183 81.3% 33 25 159 2 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Orion Express (GB)from Martin Hill 57 7 11 5 Jun 13

Tea Time Fred (GB) 55 5 16 12 Jun 21

Here's Herbie (GB) 55 6 20 9 Jun 21

Bredon Hill Lad (GB) 49 10 15 16 Mar 20

Trans Express (IRE) 48 7 15 16 Dec 21

Lightonthewing (IRE) 47 9 15 14 Apr 26

Storm Alert (GB) 47 3 15 6 Jun 17

Only Gorgeous (IRE) 41 3 11 18 Apr 21

Zillion (IRE)from John Gosden 35 4 9 11 Nov 24

Testflight (GB) 32 2 8 17 Oct 26

Coeur Blimey (IRE) 31 5 9 11 Jan 23

Sirop De Menthe (FR)from Jess Westwood 31 4 11 17 Feb 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 200 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jimmy Frost (3); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 57 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

66111010106767612

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLucy Gardner

53% of all rides
8.1% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Lucy Gardner 946 77 8.1% −313.03

Sean Houlihan 200 12 6% −93.12

James Best 47 5 10.6% −16.50

Micheal Nolan 44 4 9.1% −25.00

Mark Quinlan 41 5 12.2% +0.50

Aidan Coleman 41 4 9.8% −15.00

Matt Griffiths 33 7 21.2% +52.00

Ciaran O'Shea 30 6 20% +11.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

155

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.24m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 19 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Coeur Blimey (IRE) — Compton Beauchamp Estates Ltd Silver Bar Handicap Newbury · Apr 2019 · Class 2

£24,900

Coeur Blimey (IRE) — George Smith Horseboxes Handicap Hurdle Hereford · Dec 2018 · Class 2

£18,768

Coeur Blimey (IRE) — Neptune Investment Management Championship Standard Open NH Flat Race (Listed) Ascot · Dec 2015 · Listed

£17,085

Notable horses

Orion Express (GB) Bredon Hill Lad (GB) Lightonthewing (IRE) Flying Award (IRE) Trans Express (IRE) Southway Star (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 7.8% · 11–141

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,754 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Winged Love (IRE) 16% · 15–94

Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).

Classic Cliche (IRE) 10.2% · 6–59

Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.

Bahhare (USA) 12.3% · 7–57

Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,314 runs since 2008 (86 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.9% from 202.

Schiaparelli (GER) 8.8% · 5–57

Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,833 runs since 2015 (203 horses).

Morpeth (GB) 14.5% · 8–55

Progeny have won 5.7% of 298 runs since 2008 (43 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,924 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,924 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Anothermanicmonday (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 9/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Daring Plan (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 13/8F

19 Oct 26 Bath Baynoona (IRE)J: Josephine Gordon Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 7th 18/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Moonlight Ballet (GB)J: Lucy Gardner Sky Sports Racing Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 7th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Testflight (GB)J: Megan Bevan Dgm Robotic Mowers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 100/30

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Daring Plan (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Dgm Robotic Mowers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 1st 4/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lets Give It A Go (GB)J: Millie Wonnacott Britvic Biergarten Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 250/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Prairie Queen (GB)J: Sean Houlihan CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 15/2

18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Testflight (GB)J: Ciaran O'Shea Bayside Signs & Display Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 1st 17/2

19 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Testflight (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 7/1

13 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Manussa Pedlar (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Savanna Stevens Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 66/1

13 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Anothermanicmonday (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Racing Club Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 11/1

07 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Prairie Queen (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Read Johnny Burke's Blog At CopyBet Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 5/1

01 Jul 26 Bath Baynoona (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Lansdown Golf Club Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Firm · 12 ran 7th 6/1

23 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Testflight (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Thatchers Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 9 ran 4th 8/1

17 Jun 26 Worcester Prairie Queen (GB)J: Sean Houlihan CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 9/2

15 Jun 26 Chepstow Baynoona (IRE)J: Charles Bishop opx.io Operating System For Continuous Improvement Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 7th 11/1

13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Daring Plan (IRE)J: Lucy Gardner moogangetsknighted Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 1st 22/1

08 Jun 26 Windsor All Of My Heart (GB)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Install Electrical Contractors Limited Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 400/1

03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Daring Plan (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Par Inn Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 8 ran UR 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 17 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 17 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Susan Gardner's strike rate?: Susan Gardner has won 146 of 1,796 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Susan Gardner do best at?: Exeter by strike rate: 41 wins from 378 runners (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Susan Gardner?: Lucy Gardner, with 946 runners since 2008 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 77 (8.1%).
What is Susan Gardner's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 1,794 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.