Tom Gretton
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82).
The record is strongest at Huntingdon (16%, n=50), clear of the yard's 6.2% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=78, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.56 and −154.29 to a £1 stake over 262 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Robert Dunne rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.6%, A/E 0.69). The yard also reads well in Chase races (11.7%, n=446) and on Heavy going (12.8%, n=125). The stable star of the record: Little Jimmy (GB) — 8 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,132 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,132 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 November 2009 to 29 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 29 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · to 29 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Tom Gretton's strike rate?
- Tom Gretton has won 70 of 1,132 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Tom Gretton do best at?
- Huntingdon by strike rate: 8 wins from 50 runners (16%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Tom Gretton?
- Robert Dunne, with 126 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (5.6%).
- Is Tom Gretton in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Tom Gretton's Fair A/E?
- 0.82, from 1,127 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.