2:39 Leicester
This Class 6 handicap over 1m2f on heavy ground at Leicester features a field of 17 limited performers, many of whom are dropping in class or stepping up or down in trip. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Red Derek heading the list on 58, followed closely by City Escape and Little Tiger on 56. Overall the numbers point to a modest contest where course form, heavy-ground ability and Leicester trainer stats may prove decisive in a genuinely-run race.
How the race shapes up
With a front-runner likely to be pressed by several handy types the pace shape is genuinely run, promising a fair test. Miss Mambo is the one most inclined to make the running, with Red Derek and Dinah Myte prominent from lower draws, while Elora Prince and Muhib can also race handily. The race is likely to be won from on or near the pace, posing the key question of which of the prominent runners can handle the heavy conditions best while seeing off the late challenges from the held-up brigade such as City Escape, Little Tiger and Westender.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Red Derek KTB Selection58/100
Red Derek is a limited 10-year-old who has been placed on all three previous runs at Leicester without winning. He drops back to 1m2f today having won twice at the trip from 12 attempts and holds a solid record on heavy ground with one win and four places from five starts. The trainer records an 11% strike rate at Leicester from 55 runs which is above their 4% at other tracks while Jack Garritty takes the ride. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he is drawn in stall 4 and comes here with recent form figures of 6-4468 from an official rating of 50. His placed efforts at the track read 3rd, 2nd and 3rd.
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2City Escape56/100
City Escape is a limited performer who has been consistent enough at this level without winning for some time. He has placed on three of his four runs at Leicester and holds a win from two starts on heavy ground, while his seven wins at today's trip confirm he stays the distance. The yard's 0% strike rate from 41 runs at the track is in line with their modest 3% elsewhere. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he carries an official rating of 51 with recent form figures of 556144. His Leicester efforts read 5th, 6th, 4th and 3rd.
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3Little Tiger56/100
Little Tiger is a limited performer who has won once here from seven runs and twice at today's trip from 13 attempts. Recent form has been modest with a string of unplaced efforts and he has shown no promise on heavy ground. Trainer maintains a 12% strike rate at Leicester from 97 runs. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is drawn in stall 13 with recent form figures of 0-4620 from an official rating of 52. The yard and jockey combination shows a strong 4/5 (80%) record on the card.
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4Westender55/100
Westender has shown very little in three runs and carries a limited label at this modest level. The drop back from 1m4f to an untried 1m2f asks a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 17 of 17 adds another unknown. Trainer David Menuisier has a 19% strike rate at Leicester from 32 runs, in line with his record elsewhere. Usually held up, though with medium confidence in that assessment, he comes here with recent form figures of 0-78 from an official rating of 55 while dropping in class. Half-brother to American Bay (2 wins from 30 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.
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5Dinah Myte52/100
Dinah Myte is a limited performer who won on her only previous visit to Leicester and has also won on heavy ground. Drops back to 1m2f having last run over 1m3f and holds an official rating of 52. Trainer records an 8% strike rate here from 143 runs in line with his overall record. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, she arrives with recent form figures of 661757 while dropping in class. Her sole course run produced a win.
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6Luminous Approach52/100
Luminous Approach is a limited performer who has shown little since his return, finishing no better than seventh in three starts this year. He has one previous run at Leicester that produced a modest fifth and drops back in trip today having failed to make an impact in two previous attempts at 1m2f. The trainer records a 12% strike rate at Leicester from 26 runs, in line with his 8% at other courses.
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7Miss Mambo51/100
Miss Mambo is a limited performer who has shown little spark in ten runs this year, her best effort a remote second on soft ground at Yarmouth. She steps up in trip for the first time today having failed to make an impact on her only previous try at 1m2f, while she remains unproven on heavy ground. The yard records a 7% strike rate at Leicester from 188 runs, in line with their overall figure.
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8Summer Evening50/100
Summer Evening is a limited performer who has been out of form for most of this year and looks no better than modest on recent efforts. Has placed once at today's trip but remains unproven on heavy ground and makes a first appearance at Leicester. Trainer holds a 14% strike rate here while jockey David Probert is 3-31 at the track.
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9Lady Kameko49/100
Lady Kameko is a limited performer who has struggled this year with three modest efforts since returning from a break. Has shown some ability on heavy ground and is now dropping back in trip having been tried over 1m3f last time. Trainer has a 10% strike rate at Leicester while the yard's only previous runner here finished fifth.
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10Elora Prince49/100
Elora Prince is a limited performer who has been in and out of form this year with a latest win coming in a similar race at Chepstow. He has won at this trip but showed little on his only try on heavy ground. The trainer operates at a 6% strike rate at Leicester in line with his record elsewhere while the jockey is having his first ride at the track.
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11Trackman45/100
Trackman is a limited performer who has shown little in recent starts and finished well down the field both previous visits to Leicester. The yard records a 10% strike rate here from ten runs. He is unproven on heavy ground and drops back from 2m today having been placed twice in eight starts at this trip.
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12Revich44/100
Revich is a limited performer who has been placed at this trip without winning. He steps up from 1m today having shown consistent but modest form on quicker ground this year. Trainer records a 6% strike rate at Leicester in line with his overall figure while the jockey has a 12% record here from 17 rides.
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13Six Blue44/100
Six Blue is a limited performer who has struggled to make an impact this year with a string of modest efforts. Drops back in trip having been well held over further last time while unproven on heavy ground adds another unknown. Trainer's 8% strike rate at Leicester is in line with his record elsewhere.
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14Victorian Rose43/100
Victorian Rose has shown little in four runs to date and carries a limited official rating of 44. The yard records an 11% strike rate at Leicester from 93 runs, in line with their overall figure, while Sean Dylan Bowen has limited experience here. First-time headgear is now fitted as the filly steps up markedly in trip on ground that remains an unknown. The dam has had 2 other runners, none of them a winner.
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15Twilight Guest41/100
Twilight Guest is a limited performer who has been running to a similar modest level all year. He has won at today's trip but is unproven on heavy ground and showed only ordinary form when fifth on his one visit to Leicester. Trainer's 6% strike rate here is in line with his record elsewhere.
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16Diamond Ali41/100
Diamond Ali is a limited performer who has shown occasional flashes, finishing second once in four runs at Leicester but without winning. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 16 runs at the track while the jockey is making his first appearance here. Stepping up to 1m2f for the first time on heavy ground adds two fresh questions for a horse with an official rating of 50.
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17Muhib37/100
Muhib is a limited performer who has been placed once in 12 starts at this trip but has failed to win in 31 career runs. He has shown nothing at Leicester in two visits and his trainer is operating at a 0% strike rate from 22 runs here. The drop back from 2m is a new question and he remains unproven on heavy ground.
KTB verdict
Red Derek is the KTB Selection. A limited 10-year-old, he has been placed on all three previous runs at Leicester and holds a solid record on heavy ground with one win and four places from five starts. Dropping in class and back to his winning trip, he is expected to race prominently from a good draw and can put his course experience to good use. The main dangers are City Escape, who has placed three times from four runs here and boasts a win from two starts on heavy, and Little Tiger, who has already won at the track. Westender and Dinah Myte are others who could feature if the race develops as expected.
KTB Selection Red Derek
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:24am, 26 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Red Derek | 14/1 | BoyleSports, 12:22am |
| City Escape | 18/1 | Bet365, 12:22am |
| Little Tiger | 5/1 | BoyleSports, 12:22am |
| Westender | 7/1 | BetTom, 12:22am |
| Dinah Myte | 5/1 | BetTom, 12:22am |
| Luminous Approach | 10/1 | BetTom, 12:22am |
| Miss Mambo | 25/1 | William Hill, 12:22am |
| Summer Evening | 13/2 | Bet365, 12:22am |
| Lady Kameko | 33/1 | Bet365, 12:22am |
| Elora Prince | 7/1 | Bet365, 12:22am |
| Trackman | 33/1 | Bet365, 12:22am |
| Revich | 18/1 | Bet365, 12:22am |
| Six Blue | 40/1 | Bet365, 12:22am |
| Victorian Rose | 100/1 | Bet365, 12:22am |
| Twilight Guest | 18/1 | Bet365, 12:22am |
| Diamond Ali | 9/1 | Betfred, 12:22am |
| Muhib | 12/1 | Bet365, 12:22am |
This is the narrative read of the 2:39 Leicester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leicester racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Leicester results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Leicester racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the best Leicester course record among the principals?
Red Derek has been placed on all three previous runs at Leicester.
How many wins has City Escape recorded at this trip?
City Escape has seven wins at today's trip.
What is the trainer and jockey combination record on the card for Little Tiger?
4/5 (80%).
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Victorian Rose.
Which runner has won on its only previous visit to Leicester?
Dinah Myte.
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