What is Aidan Anthony Howard's strike rate?

Aidan Anthony Howard has won 94 of 1,441 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Aidan Anthony Howard do best at?

Ballinrobe by strike rate: 8 wins from 48 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Aidan Anthony Howard?

Simon Torrens, with 168 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (5.4%).

Is Aidan Anthony Howard in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Aidan Anthony Howard's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 1,441 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Aidan Anthony Howard

1,441 runners in the lifetime window · 183 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

94–1,441

Wins / Runs

6.5%

Strike rate

n=1,441

289 (20%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=1,441 · 0.83 incl. margin

−532.09

£1 level stake

n=1,441 at SP · −36.9%

£1.07m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

17.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,441 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 26.5% when favourite Simon Torrens: 5.4% from 168 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (16.7%, n=48) and Tipperary (12.1%, n=66) — all clear of the yard's 6.5% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 1.3% (n=78, Fair A/E 0.35). Debutants are the standout value angle: 4% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.75 and +18.00 to a £1 stake over 100 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −247.00 to a £1 stake over 348 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Simon Torrens rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.4%, A/E 0.86). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (12.1%, n=66). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Total Event Rental Novice Chase at Punchestown (Jan 2019, £26,255). The stable star of the record: Enter The Red (IRE) — 7 wins from 73 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.9%−3.6

n=348 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −247.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.3%−5.2

n=78 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −70.00

Debutants · first career start

4%−2.5

n=100 · A/E 1.75 · £1 +18.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.2%−1.3

n=77 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −35.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.3%−2.2

n=70 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −53.00

When favourite

26.5%

n=83 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −3.42

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.3%−1.2

n=580 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −310.17

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.1%+0.6

n=28 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −10.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 23.3% vs 6.5% · n=86

At Ballinrobe 16.7% vs 6.5% · n=48

With Mark Walsh 13% vs 6.5% · n=46

With C&D winners 11.8% vs 6.5% · n=85

At Tipperary 12.1% vs 6.5% · n=66

At trips under 6f 12.1% vs 6.5% · n=66

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 630 52 8.3% −119.05

Hurdle 603 29 4.8% −320.04

Chase 177 10 5.6% −107.00

NH Flat 31 3 9.7% +14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 525 37 7% −144.16

Good 307 19 6.2% −120.67

Heavy 276 16 5.8% −132.01

Good to Soft 140 10 7.1% −27.00

Good to Firm 94 3 3.2% −78.75

Standard (AW) 85 8 9.4% −24.50

Firm 14 1 7.1% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 132 12 9.1% +61.83

Punchestown 116 4 3.4% −82.17

Navan 111 8 7.2% −32.50

Naas 94 4 4.3% −54.67

Gowran Park 79 2 2.5% −65.50

Dundalk (AW) 67 6 9% −24.00

Tipperary 66 8 12.1% +16.00

Fairyhouse 66 6 9.1% −24.67

Leopardstown 62 4 6.5% −41.75

Cork 61 5 8.2% −24.00

Kilbeggan 59 2 3.4% −42.25

Roscommon 57 6 10.5% +33.50

Galway 50 1 2% −47.75

Ballinrobe 48 8 16.7% +11.38

Limerick 48 2 4.2% −37.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 28 2 7.1% −10.50

Class 4 22 1 4.5% −15.50

Class 6 16 2 12.5% +1.50

Class 5 11 2 18.2% +26.75

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 100 26 26% 1.30 −1.17

2nd–3rd fav 180 27 15% 1.16 −13.92

4th–6th fav 260 22 8.5% 1.17 −12.00

7th+ in betting 901 19 2.1% 0.77 −505.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 333 14 4.2% −165.13

2m1f – 2m4f 317 18 5.7% −160.04

6f – 7f 231 14 6.1% −27.62

2m5f – 3m 185 8 4.3% −122.12

1m – 1m1f 142 15 10.6% −33.01

1m2f – 1m4f 139 13 9.4% −30.50

Under 6f 66 8 12.1% +7.58

Over 3m 28 4 14.3% −1.25

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 126 7 5.6% −57.00

2009 154 8 5.2% −50.00

2010 85 3 3.5% −61.50

2011 55 1 1.8% −44.00

2012 72 2 2.8% −56.50

2013 61 3 4.9% −36.50

2014 46 1 2.2% −40.50

2015 39 5 12.8% +15.50

2016 77 7 9.1% −16.25

2017 54 7 13% −7.29

2018 47 6 12.8% −18.88

2019 94 10 10.6% +49.75

2020 72 10 13.9% +26.08

2021 111 3 2.7% −85.17

2022 114 4 3.5% −73.75

2023 85 6 7.1% −50.87

2024 60 1 1.7% −55.67

2025 37 1 2.7% −34.12

2026 52 9 17.3% +64.58

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 924 75 8.1% −249.85

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

17+ runners 491 25 5.1% −198.42

14-16 runners 485 30 6.2% −176.76

11-13 runners 299 25 8.4% −93.92

8-10 runners 124 11 8.9% −48.49

5-7 runners 42 3 7.1% −14.50

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Enter The Red (IRE) 73 7 29 20 Oct 21

Thefaithfulindian (IRE)then James M Barcoe 40 3 12 14 Aug 23

Enter The Indian (IRE) 38 6 11 26 Mar 15

El Tren (IRE)from J F Levins · then Dermot A McLoughlin 31 3 13 19 Oct 22

Adhuil (IRE) 28 0 5 17 Nov 24

Galboystown Lady (IRE) 28 0 4 31 May 17

Dont Tell De Purty (GB) 28 2 3 25 Jul 14

Bhean Saibhre (IRE) 27 2 8 27 Sep 26

So Billiant (IRE) 26 1 4 18 Sep 11

Muntahez (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast 25 0 5 16 Sep 23

Miss Jabeam (IRE) 25 4 9 21 Jul 21

Daggers Bond (IRE) 25 1 6 2 Jan 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 183 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive; 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for James M Barcoe (2); 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

6494736812760

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSimon Torrens

12% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 0.86

RiderRWSR£1

Simon Torrens 168 9 5.4% −78.80

Robert Dunne 151 8 5.3% −45.75

Chris Hayes 100 11 11% −14.84

Leigh Roche 90 7 7.8% +7.50

B M Cash 74 1 1.4% −61.00

Rory Cleary 52 1 1.9% −48.50

Mark Walsh 46 6 13% −15.62

Niki O'Shea 38 3 7.9% −11.50

Robbie Colgan 33 1 3% −26.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.11m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 10 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Winter Escape (IRE) — Total Event Rental Novice Chase (Grade 3) Punchestown · Jan 2019 · Grade 3

£26,255

Winter Escape (IRE) — Paddy Power Celebrating 30 Years Irish EBF Novice Chase (Grade 3) Cork · Nov 2018 · Grade 3

£23,600

Enter The Indian (IRE) — King Crisps Novice Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Fairyhouse · Mar 2008

£14,648

Notable horses

Enter The Red (IRE) Enter The Indian (IRE) The Last Indian (IRE) Miss Jabeam (IRE) Winter Escape (IRE) Magical Vision (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Red Clubs (IRE) 9.6% · 7–73

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,131 runs since 2011 (143 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 127.

Frozen Power (IRE) 7.5% · 3–40

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since 2015 (132 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 7.7% · 3–39

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Indian Rocket (GB) 15.8% · 6–38

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,230 runs since 2008 (129 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.7% from 301.

Daggers Drawn (USA) 2.9% · 1–35

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,030 runs since 2008 (97 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 2.3% from 132.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,636 runs since 2013 (842 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,512 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,512 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 October 2005 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Lady Mary Heath (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Isuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 19th 7/2F

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Magical Vision (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Mongey Communications Sprint Handicap5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 4th 14/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Lady Mary Heath (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 1st 100/30F

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Dearg Mor (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Brasserie On The Corner Handicap Steeplechase18f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 3rd 15/8F

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Lady Mary Heath (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 5th 20/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Inver Bay (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 11/2

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) A Good Yarn (IRE)J: W. M. Lordan Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden7.5f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 7/2

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Step By Step (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Co-Op Superstores 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 5/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Not In A Hurry (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Powerscreen New England Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 9 ran 1st 17/2

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Dearg Mor (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Ryans Cleaning Handicap Steeplechase18f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 7/2

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Lady Mary Heath (IRE)J: Jack Cleary 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 11/1

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Lady Felicia (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 13 ran 4th 8/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Inver Bay (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 1st 50/1

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Bhean Saibhre (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap10f · Heavy · 18 ran 12th 5/1

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Fianna (IRE)J: Mr O McGill Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap10f · Heavy · 18 ran 1st 4/1C

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) A Good Yarn (IRE)J: W. M. Lordan Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden6f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 7/2

25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Bhean Saibhre (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap12f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 11/1

11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Step By Step (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Burke's Clonbur 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 14/1

03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Not In A Hurry (IRE)J: Simon Torrens SIS Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 1st 11/4

03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Inver Bay (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Maiden Hurdle (Div II)16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Aidan Anthony Howard's strike rate?: Aidan Anthony Howard has won 94 of 1,441 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Aidan Anthony Howard do best at?: Ballinrobe by strike rate: 8 wins from 48 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Aidan Anthony Howard?: Simon Torrens, with 168 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (5.4%).
Is Aidan Anthony Howard in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Aidan Anthony Howard's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 1,441 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.