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Trainer profile

Charles Coakley

277 runners in the lifetime window · 40 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 24 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–277
Wins / Runs
3.6%
Strike rate
n=277
34 (12%)
Placed
0.78
Fair A/E
n=277 · 0.62 incl. margin
−168.50
£1 level stake
n=277 at SP · −60.8%
£135k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78).

Deterministic profile computed from 277 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
The read

It is weakest at Limerick (0% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −132.00 to a £1 stake over 194 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (9.2%, n=65) and in Chase races (7.3%, n=82). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 39 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Itsalonglongroad (GB) — 5 wins from 50 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.7%−1.9
n=59 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −54.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
4%+0.4
n=25 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −19.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.6
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.6
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
When favourite
0%
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.6%+0.0
n=194 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −132.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Shane O'Callaghan 10.5% vs 3.6% · n=38
Over 1m5f – 2m 9.2% vs 3.6% · n=65
In Chase races 7.3% vs 3.6% · n=82
Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 3.6% · n=39
Over 6f – 7f 0% vs 3.6% · n=34
At Limerick 0% vs 3.6% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 125 2 1.6% −86.00
Chase 82 6 7.3% −35.50
Hurdle 57 2 3.5% −34.00
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 91 4 4.4% −36.50
Good 79 3 3.8% −51.50
Good to Soft 36 2 5.6% −20.50
Heavy 35 1 2.9% −24.00
Standard (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Firm 15 0 0% −15.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Killarney 47 1 2.1% −39.50
Limerick 32 0 0% −32.00
Cork 28 1 3.6% −13.00
Tramore 24 3 12.5% −1.50
Listowel 22 0 0% −22.00
Dundalk 16 0 0% −16.00
Thurles 13 2 15.4% +18.50
Galway 12 0 0% −12.00
Ballinrobe 11 1 9.1% +0.00
Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00
Gowran Park 10 0 0% −10.00
Clonmel 9 0 0% −9.00
Roscommon 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00
Navan 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 1 9.1% 0.40 −6.50
2nd–3rd fav 10 1 10% 0.72 −4.50
4th–6th fav 39 4 10.3% 1.30 −5.50
7th+ in betting 217 4 1.8% 0.67 −152.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Itsalonglongroad (GB)from Ian O'Connor · then David O'Sullivan 50 5 13 9 Oct 25
Alpha And Omega (IRE)from Patrick J Flynn 24 2 3 17 Aug 16
Definiteadare (IRE)from Ian O'Connor 20 1 4 21 Aug 25
Coole Arcade (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 13 0 1 13 Apr 25
Champion Gold (IRE) 13 0 1 15 Jul 12
If Paradise (GB)from M Halford 13 0 0 15 Oct 11
Prince Of Air (FR)from P J Rothwell · then David O'Sullivan 12 2 8 5 Oct 25
Pirate's Treasure (GB)from Ian O'Connor 11 0 0 9 Sep 20
Stamp Of Authority (IRE)from Ian O'Connor 10 0 2 6 Jan 23
Libertys Day (IRE)from N Dooly 10 0 0 19 Sep 09
Gendarme (IRE)from C Byrnes 8 0 0 6 Oct 24
Hascoeur Clermont (FR)from Gavin Cromwell · then David O'Sullivan 7 0 0 26 Oct 25
All 40 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 40 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ian O'Connor (8); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for David O'Sullivan (3); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0007000831150
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderShane O'Callaghan
14% of all rides
10.5% SR · A/E 1.66
RiderRWSR£1
Shane O'Callaghan 38 4 10.5% −4.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
12
Archived wins
£163k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Itsalonglongroad (GB) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109) Ballinrobe · Sep 2024
£7,670
Notlackinginstyle (IRE) — AIB Handicap Hurdle (74-102) Tramore · Aug 2005
£7,601
Champion Gold (IRE) — Holycross Handicap Hurdle (74-95) Thurles · Nov 2005
£6,910
Notable horses
Itsalonglongroad (GB) Alpha And Omega (IRE) Prince Of Air (FR) Champion Gold (IRE) Definiteadare (IRE) Notlackinginstyle (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lawman (FR) 8.6% · 5–58
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,431 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Arakan (USA) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2009 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.
Court Cave (IRE) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,964 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Arcadio (GER) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,981 runs since 2011 (375 horses).
Compton Place (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Germany (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.8% of 835 runs since 2008 (68 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14% from 121.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 333 · newest first

The latest 50 of 333 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 May 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Walk Away Harry (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran PU 33/1
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Whiskey And Beer (IRE)J: Robyn Donaghue-Leahy Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 33/1
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Whiskey And Beer (IRE)J: Robyn Donaghue-Leahy 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 100/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Whiskey And Beer (IRE)J: Jack Cleary GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap8f · Yielding · 15 ran 12th 200/1
09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Whiskey And Beer (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Follow Us On Instagram Handicap6f · Good · 22 ran 22nd 100/1
20 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Walk Away Harry (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Easyfix Equine Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 12 ran PU 22/1
10 Jun 26 Limerick Ellaat (GB)J: Luke McAteer Racing Again On June 19th Handicap17f · Yielding · 14 ran 7th 16/1
01 Jun 26 Listowel Walk Away Harry (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes John B. Keane Beginners Chase19f · Yielding · 6 ran 4th 6/1
26 May 26 Ballinrobe Ellaat (GB)J: Philip Byrnes FBD Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 12/1
25 Apr 26 Limerick Ellaat (GB)J: G B Noonan Limerick Motor Centre Handicap (0-60)12f · Yielding · 16 ran 16th 33/1
25 Apr 26 Limerick Mags (IRE)J: G B Noonan Mr Binman Handicap (Div 1)8f · Yielding · 14 ran 13th 40/1
06 Apr 26 Cork Walk Away Harry (IRE)J: G B Noonan Leisure Dome Ltd. Marquee Hire Maiden Hurdle23f · Yielding · 13 ran 9th 33/1
26 Oct 25 Galway Hascoeur Clermont (FR)J: Shane O'Callaghan Brasserie On The Corner Handicap Chase22.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 12th 16/1
09 Oct 25 Tramore Itsalonglongroad (GB)J: Shane O'Callaghan Pickardstown Handicap Chase15.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 5th 10/1
05 Oct 25 Killarney Prince Of Air (FR)J: Shane O'Callaghan Torc Waterfall Handicap Chase17f · Yielding · 7 ran 2nd 11/2
27 Sep 25 Listowel Hascoeur Clermont (FR)J: Mr C J Shine John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Chase24f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 7th 18/1
21 Sep 25 Listowel Prince Of Air (FR)J: Alex Harvey Kerry Dairy Ireland Handicap Chase17.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 6th 12/1
12 Sep 25 Ballinrobe Itsalonglongroad (GB)J: Shane O'Callaghan Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase17f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 7/1
22 Aug 25 Kilbeggan Hascoeur Clermont (FR)J: Shane O'Callaghan MJS Building & Development Handicap Chase26f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 7th 25/1
21 Aug 25 Killarney Prince Of Air (FR)J: Alex Harvey Gallivan Financial Handicap Chase17f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Charles Coakley's strike rate?
Charles Coakley has won 10 of 277 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.6% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Charles Coakley do best at?
Killarney by strike rate: 1 wins from 47 runners (2.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Charles Coakley's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 277 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).