What is E J O'Neill's strike rate?

E J O'Neill has won 178 of 1,823 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does E J O'Neill do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 33 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for E J O'Neill?

Chris Catlin, with 153 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (13.1%).

What is E J O'Neill's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,613 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

E J O'Neill

1,823 runners in the lifetime window · 441 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 16 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

178–1,823

Wins / Runs

9.8%

Strike rate

n=1,823

434 (24%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,613 · 0.92 incl. margin

−218.41

£1 level stake

n=1,744 at SP · −12.5%

£3.51m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,823 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 34.9% when favourite Chris Catlin: 13.1% from 153 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Deauville (4.7% over 403 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3% (n=66, Fair A/E 0.40). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 7.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −100.00 to a £1 stake over 352 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Chris Catlin rides 8% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13.1% vs 9.8%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (19.1%, n=47) and in Class 6 (17.5%, n=57). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 4.3% over 188 runners, 5.5pts below the baseline. 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Totepool Two-year-old Trophy at Redcar (Oct 2009, £94,692). The stable star of the record: Moscow Eight (IRE) — 10 wins from 66 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.5%−2.3

n=429 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −100.20

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.8%−3.0

n=73 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −30.60

Debutants · first career start

7.1%−2.7

n=352 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −100.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.1%−2.7

n=141 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −41.60

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.5%+2.7

n=16 · A/E 3.13 · £1 +37.50

When favourite

34.9%

n=149 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +107.49

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3%−6.8

n=66 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −48.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.3%−5.5

n=188 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −74.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 9.8% · n=159

With C&D winners 19% vs 9.8% · n=58

Off a 0-7-day break 19.1% vs 9.8% · n=47

In Class 6 17.5% vs 9.8% · n=57

At Deauville 4.7% vs 9.8% · n=403

In Class 1 4.3% vs 9.8% · n=188

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,818 178 9.8% −215.41

Hurdle 5 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 541 40 7.4% −115.18

Good 434 54 12.4% +57.50

Soft 394 38 9.6% −90.60

Good to Soft 289 27 9.3% −87.10

Heavy 84 5 6% −15.60

Good to Firm 71 10 14.1% +25.87

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 403 19 4.7% −78.90

Chantilly (FR) 271 15 5.5% −119.00

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 200 19 9.5% +8.60

Longchamp (FR) 119 9 7.6% +13.30

Saint-Cloud (FR) 94 6 6.4% −39.90

Dundalk (AW) 42 2 4.8% −31.50

Southwell (AW) 33 5 15.2% −12.96

Wolverhampton (AW) 28 6 21.4% −2.87

Curragh 24 0 0% −24.00

Chelmsford (AW) 23 3 13% −0.25

Kempton (AW) 21 5 23.8% +9.00

Vichy 19 2 10.5% +1.50

La Teste De Buch 18 6 33.3% +7.30

Naas 17 1 5.9% −4.00

Clairefontaine 17 3 17.6% +3.80

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 188 8 4.3% −74.00

Class 5 111 14 12.6% −10.53

Class 6 57 10 17.5% −16.48

Class 4 51 7 13.7% −12.40

Class 3 17 2 11.8% −3.00

Class 2 15 1 6.7% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 158 56 35.4% 1.16 +118.79

2nd–3rd fav 279 37 13.3% 0.87 −44.70

4th–6th fav 494 44 8.9% 1.18 −28.70

7th+ in betting 813 14 1.7% 0.55 −263.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 683 67 9.8% +15.56

1m – 1m1f 484 36 7.4% −197.62

1m2f – 1m4f 317 33 10.4% −38.25

Under 6f 249 35 14.1% +47.45

1m5f – 2m 83 7 8.4% −40.55

2m1f – 2m4f 7 0 0% −5.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 223 30 13.5% −43.11

2009 97 13 13.4% −8.60

2010 128 25 19.5% −2.70

2011 156 16 10.3% −42.40

2012 174 11 6.3% −99.00

2013 132 12 9.1% +144.10

2014 103 9 8.7% −5.50

2015 96 15 15.6% +47.70

2016 74 4 5.4% +8.20

2017 91 12 13.2% +51.60

2018 81 3 3.7% −66.10

2019 79 6 7.6% −4.00

2020 70 3 4.3% −35.10

2021 81 4 4.9% −50.80

2022 50 3 6% −9.80

2023 76 3 3.9% −49.90

2024 65 7 10.8% −21.50

2025 33 2 6.1% −17.50

2026 14 0 0% −14.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 560 49 8.8% −125.96

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 463 31 6.7% −218.28

14-16 runners 408 15 3.7% −81.10

11-13 runners 379 30 7.9% −41.92

5-7 runners 266 37 13.9% −0.71

2-4 runners 145 36 24.8% +4.80

17+ runners 143 10 7% +22.90

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Moscow Eight (IRE) 66 10 17 20 Sep 17

No Niki No (IRE) 38 5 13 29 Sep 25

Best Of Order (IRE)then David O'Meara 33 6 13 6 Oct 13

Vital Spirit (FR) 24 4 6 23 Apr 15

Universally (IRE) 22 3 8 12 Oct 24

Petit Calvados (IRE) 22 4 8 21 Jun 24

Little Cupcake (GB)then Denis W Cullen 20 1 3 3 Jan 15

Caspian Prince (IRE)then Tony Carroll 20 4 8 31 Oct 13

Tussian Bere (FR) 17 2 6 14 May 12

Maroon Machine (IRE)then Hugo Palmer 17 3 7 14 Aug 11

Ruby's Day (GB)then David Brown 16 1 5 1 Aug 13

Seas And Oceans (IRE) 15 0 4 12 Jul 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 441 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Hannon (2); 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for J-V Toux (2); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

19160111112118101057

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderChris Catlin

8% of all rides
13.1% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Chris Catlin 153 20 13.1% −55.11

Julien Auge 132 14 10.6% −45.50

Fabrice Veron 130 16 12.3% +89.60

Cristian Demuro 119 13 10.9% +26.20

Ioritz Mendizabal 88 8 9.1% −24.40

Aurelien Lemaitre 77 4 5.2% −27.60

Thomas Huet 61 7 11.5% −23.00

Maxime Guyon 49 5 10.2% −6.20

Chris Hayes 44 3 6.8% −25.00

Hugo Journiac 42 2 4.8% −20.00

Pierre Bazire 37 3 8.1% +41.50

Adrien Fouassier 35 2 5.7% −28.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

267

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.54m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 33 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lucky Like (FR) — Totepool Two-year-old Trophy (Listed) Redcar · Oct 2009 · Listed

£94,692

Vital Equine (IRE) — Sportsman Champagne Stakes (Group 2) York · Sep 2006 · Group 2

£56,780

Always Hopeful (GB) — Richmond Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2005 · Group 2

£40,600

Notable horses

Moscow Eight (IRE) Zipzip (IRE) Best Of Order (IRE) No Niki No (IRE) Vital Spirit (FR) Petit Calvados (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Elusive City (USA) 14.9% · 10–67

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,428 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Vital Equine (IRE) 11.3% · 6–53

Progeny have won 10.6% of 311 runs since 2011 (19 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.3% from 140.

Acclamation (GB) 11.4% · 5–44

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Helmet (AUS) 11.9% · 5–42

Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,852 runs since 2016 (351 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 148.

Pivotal (GB) 14.3% · 6–42

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 14.6% · 6–41

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,462 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,462 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Sharf Ardad (IRE)J: Ben Coen 1xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 200/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Champion Basma (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 11/8F

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sharf Ardad (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish EBF Median Sires Series (C & G) Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 66/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Alone All Alone (GB)J: Gavin Ryan Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 13th 250/1

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Alone All Alone (GB)J: R. P. Whelan Izuzu Ireland Irish EBF Maiden9f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 200/1

26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Champion Basma (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Market Square Monasterevin Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 80/1

17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Champion Basma (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 40/1

17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Alone All Alone (GB)J: R. P. Whelan Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden7f · Yielding · 15 ran 15th 33/1

25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Baby Basma (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap (Div I)7f · Good · 14 ran 7th 13/2

11 Jul 26 Limerick Baby Basma (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan DAR Golf And Mann Family Handicap (0-60)6.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 16/1

11 May 26 Roscommon Tears I Nevercried (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden12f · Good · 12 ran 6th 80/1

23 Apr 26 Dundalk (AW) Baby Basma (IRE)J: Colin Keane Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 4/1

09 Apr 26 Gowran Park Tears I Nevercried (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Thomastown Maiden9.5f · Soft · 17 ran 12th 50/1

13 Mar 26 Dundalk (AW) Baby Basma (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Horse Racing Every Friday Race6f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 25/1

29 Sep 25 Down Royal No Niki No (IRE)J: Colin Keane Coors Fillies Handicap13f · Yielding · 8 ran 8th 18/1

26 Sep 25 Dundalk (AW) Pansy Poe (IRE)J: Shane Foley Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 40/1

19 Sep 25 Dundalk (AW) Flynn Ryder (GB)J: Shane Foley Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 20/1

16 Sep 25 Punchestown Gold Youmzain (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Punchestown Is Back Maiden8f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 10th 100/1

05 Sep 25 Down Royal Pansy Poe (IRE)J: Shane Foley Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 22/1

16 Aug 25 Tramore No Niki No (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Brennan's Pharmacy Handicap16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 6th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 15 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 15 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is E J O'Neill's strike rate?: E J O'Neill has won 178 of 1,823 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does E J O'Neill do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 33 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for E J O'Neill?: Chris Catlin, with 153 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (13.1%).
What is E J O'Neill's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,613 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.