Eddie & Patrick Harty
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (183 runs).
It is weakest at Leopardstown (0% over 62 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 10.9% (n=183, Fair A/E 1.38), but debutants struggle at 3.3% (n=60, Fair A/E 1.14). Chris Hayes rides 25% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.8%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 1% over 101 runners, 6.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.21 across 74 runners (1.4% strike, −59.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Barberstown Castle Steeplechase at Naas (IRE) (Nov 2026, £33,000). The stable star of the record: Gegenpressing (GB) — 5 wins from 56 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2021→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 777 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 777 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 May 2021 to 8 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 20 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Eddie & Patrick Harty's strike rate?
- Eddie & Patrick Harty has won 57 of 777 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Eddie & Patrick Harty do best at?
- Punchestown by strike rate: 5 wins from 44 runners (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Eddie & Patrick Harty?
- Chris Hayes, with 193 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (7.8%).
- Is Eddie & Patrick Harty in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Eddie & Patrick Harty's Fair A/E?
- 1.02, from 777 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.