Skip to content
Trainer profile

Ian McInnes

1,561 runners in the lifetime window · 157 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 361 days ago 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
66–1,561
Wins / Runs
4.2%
Strike rate
n=1,561
251 (16%)
Placed
0.70
Fair A/E
n=1,555 · 0.59 incl. margin
−746.63
£1 level stake
n=1,561 at SP · −47.8%
£365k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.70).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,561 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 12.9% when favourite Paddy Mathers: 4.9% from 284 Claiming riders: 4.8% Sends off the favourite in 2% of races
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −51.00 to a £1 stake over 163 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Paddy Mathers rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.9%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (7.9%, n=227). The stable star of the record: H Harrison (IRE) — 9 wins from 96 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.5%−1.7
n=163 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −51.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
1.2%−3.0
n=84 · A/E 0.19 · £1 −50.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.2
n=56 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −56.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.2
n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4%−0.2
n=100 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −60.50
When favourite
12.9%
n=31 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −17.12
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.8%+0.6
n=547 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −210.46
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Gary Bartley 10.7% vs 4.2% · n=56
Off a 0-7-day break 7.9% vs 4.2% · n=227
With Fergal Lynch 9.7% vs 4.2% · n=31
With horses switching code 0% vs 4.2% · n=65
With debutants 0% vs 4.2% · n=56
On last-time-out winners 8.1% vs 4.2% · n=74
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,451 63 4.3% −689.63
Hurdle 80 3 3.8% −27.00
NH Flat 27 0 0% −27.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 619 29 4.7% −303.34
Good to Firm 358 8 2.2% −295.17
Good 302 16 5.3% −58.00
Soft 123 3 2.4% −84.00
Good to Soft 117 4 3.4% −55.00
Heavy 29 4 13.8% +46.50
Firm 13 2 15.4% +2.38

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 295 15 5.1% −111.17
Beverley 192 9 4.7% −80.17
Southwell (AW) 118 3 2.5% −73.50
Kempton (AW) 77 2 2.6% −67.50
Pontefract 69 4 5.8% −36.50
Lingfield (AW) 67 5 7.5% −16.00
Redcar 59 3 5.1% −44.12
Newcastle (AW) 59 4 6.8% −32.17
Catterick 56 1 1.8% −43.00
Thirsk 55 2 3.6% −4.00
Hamilton 43 3 7% −24.50
Doncaster 43 1 2.3% −9.00
Yarmouth 40 3 7.5% +9.50
Musselburgh 36 1 2.8% −30.50
Newcastle 34 1 2.9% −25.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 837 39 4.7% −353.01
Class 5 465 20 4.3% −203.62
Class 4 183 6 3.3% −126.00
Class 7 33 0 0% −33.00
Class 3 23 0 0% −23.00
Class 2 16 1 6.3% −4.00
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 49 8 16.3% 0.73 −17.12
2nd–3rd fav 152 19 12.5% 0.84 −50.51
4th–6th fav 395 17 4.3% 0.57 −215.00
7th+ in betting 965 22 2.3% 0.70 −464.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Northern Bolt (GB)from David Nicholls 47 4 12 28 Nov 12
Powerful Pierre (GB)from Jedd O'Keeffe · then Ollie Pears 45 4 9 12 Jun 13
Carlitos Spirit (IRE)from Rod Millman 41 4 9 5 Aug 12
Bertbrand (GB)from David Flood 40 0 6 31 Jan 12
Dabbers Ridge (IRE)from B W Hills 38 6 13 20 Sep 11
Bonnie Prince Blue (GB)from James Given 37 1 11 8 May 13
Fiefdom (IRE)from Mark Johnston 37 2 9 18 Jun 10
H Harrison (IRE) 37 0 5 17 Dec 09
Royal Challenge (GB)from Mark H Tompkins 36 4 9 6 Nov 09
Ingleby Star (IRE)from Noel Wilson · then Mark Loughnane 34 3 10 24 May 13
Blue Charm (GB)from Sylvester Kirk 34 2 6 9 Apr 13
Only A Game (IRE)from Mandy Rowland 32 3 7 4 Feb 11
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 157 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 52 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Brian Ellison (2) and David Evans (2); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Brian Ellison (3) and Mark Loughnane (3); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
274443548244
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPaddy Mathers
18% of all rides
4.9% SR · A/E 1.02
RiderRWSR£1
Paddy Mathers 284 14 4.9% −103.00
Dale Swift 96 4 4.2% −66.00
Tom Eaves 67 3 4.5% −38.00
Daniel Tudhope 57 3 5.3% −17.00
Gary Bartley 56 6 10.7% +33.38
Royston Ffrench 50 2 4% +5.50
Harry Burns 42 2 4.8% −8.67
Paul Pickard 35 2 5.7% −15.00
Fergal Lynch 31 3 9.7% −8.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
125
Archived wins
£756k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 35 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Ingleby Star (IRE) — Betfair Bonus Scottish Racing Sprint Series Final Handicap Musselburgh · Sep 2011 · Class 4
£14,755
Commando Scott (IRE) — Magner's Irish Cider Handicap Ayr · May 2006 · Class 3
£11,659
Commando Scott (IRE) — Connaught Square Squirrel Hunt Handicap Newmarket · May 2007 · Class 2
£11,659
Notable horses
H Harrison (IRE) Lobengula (IRE) Time To Regret (GB) Dabbers Ridge (IRE) Royal Challenge (GB) Jarvo (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kyllachy (GB) 3.4% · 2–59
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Compton Place (GB) 7.7% · 4–52
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Cadeaux Genereux (GB) 8.5% · 4–47
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,919 runs since 2008 (203 horses).
Singspiel (IRE) 4.3% · 2–47
Progeny have won 12% of 4,376 runs since 2008 (378 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.
Bertolini (USA) 0% · 0–42
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Redback (GB) 9.8% · 4–41
Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,436 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,436 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 6 November 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Tommytwohoots (GB)J: Shay Farmer Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 17/2
03 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Filey Beach (IRE)J: Sean D Bowen Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 12/1
30 Oct 25 Bath Tommytwohoots (GB)J: Harry Burns Lambert Smith Hampton Bath Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 7/1
27 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Amerjeet (GB)J: Rob Hornby Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 8th 28/1
27 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Mattice (GB)J: Rob Hornby Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 5th 8/1
18 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Amerjeet (GB)J: Luke Morris Arc All-Weather 1MILLION Bonus Returns HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 28/1
17 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Filey Beach (IRE)J: David Nolan Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 9/1
08 Oct 25 Nottingham Tommytwohoots (GB)J: Shay Farmer PricedUp The Flat Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 6/1
02 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Mattice (GB)J: Jason Hart Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 5/2F
01 Oct 25 Catterick Tommytwohoots (GB)J: Miss Stephanie Dorey Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 11/1
27 Sep 25 Ripon Mattice (GB)J: Jason Hart Michael Raby Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 1st 4/1J
23 Sep 25 Beverley Bust A Moon (GB)J: Shay Farmer Shelley Fegan's Bostin 60th HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 7/2J
19 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Bust A Moon (GB)J: Shay Farmer Arc 1MILLION Bonus Has 150k Increase! HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 33/1
19 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Desert Raider (GB)J: Shay Farmer Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 7/2
18 Sep 25 Pontefract Mattice (GB)J: Shay Farmer Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 10/3
09 Sep 25 Carlisle Bust A Moon (GB)J: Charlie Bennett Quickstep Floor Designer Supporting Andersons HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 20/1
08 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Amerjeet (GB)J: Cam Hardie Arc 1MILLION Bonus Bigger Than Ever Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 8th 50/1
04 Sep 25 Southwell (AW) Mattice (GB)J: Shay Farmer Golf And Gallop HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 14/1
01 Sep 25 Carlisle Bust A Moon (GB)J: Shay Farmer PricedUp Daily Sports Boosts HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 18/1
29 Aug 25 Newcastle (AW) Desert Raider (GB)J: Shay Farmer National Racehorse Week 7th-15th September HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ian McInnes's strike rate?
Ian McInnes has won 66 of 1,561 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ian McInnes do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 67 runners (7.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ian McInnes?
Paddy Mathers, with 284 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (4.9%).
What is Ian McInnes's Fair A/E?
0.70, from 1,555 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).