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Trainer profile

J H Scott

229 runners in the lifetime window · 36 individual horses
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2022
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–229
Wins / Runs
2.2%
Strike rate
n=229
23 (10%)
Placed
0.69
Fair A/E
n=229 · 0.52 incl. margin
−169.67
£1 level stake
n=229 at SP · −74.1%
£77,091
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.69).

Deterministic profile computed from 229 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −88.00 to a £1 stake over 136 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (6.7%, n=60). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.00 across 59 runners (0% strike, −59.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.2
n=45 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −45.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.2
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.2
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.2
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.2%+0.0
n=136 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −88.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.2
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 6.7% vs 2.2% · n=60
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 2.2% · n=59
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 2.2% · n=53
In Hurdle races 4.2% vs 2.2% · n=72
In NH Flat races 0% vs 2.2% · n=42
With horses switching code 0% vs 2.2% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 99 2 2% −87.67
Hurdle 72 3 4.2% −24.00
NH Flat 42 0 0% −42.00
Chase 16 0 0% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 63 2 3.2% −35.00
Heavy 53 1 1.9% −32.00
Good 52 2 3.8% −41.67
Good to Firm 25 0 0% −25.00
Standard (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Good to Soft 17 0 0% −17.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Navan 22 0 0% −22.00
Dundalk (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Punchestown 19 0 0% −19.00
Gowran Park 18 0 0% −18.00
Curragh 17 1 5.9% −12.67
Naas 17 0 0% −17.00
Thurles 12 1 8.3% +9.00
Limerick 12 1 8.3% +9.00
Fairyhouse 12 0 0% −12.00
Leopardstown 11 0 0% −11.00
Roscommon 11 0 0% −11.00
Tipperary 9 1 11.1% −2.00
Galway 8 0 0% −8.00
Wexford 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Ballinrobe 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 8 2 25% 2.07 +2.33
4th–6th fav 28 1 3.6% 0.63 −21.00
7th+ in betting 189 2 1.1% 0.48 −147.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Storm Breaker (IRE)then J J Lambe 28 0 3 12 Mar 11
Quarryfield Lass (IRE) 25 2 4 24 Feb 11
Lindas Choice (IRE) 18 1 6 7 Dec 14
Strong Johnson (IRE)from Kieran P Cotter · then Denis W Cullen 14 2 5 22 Oct 21
Amaretto Stone (IRE) 11 0 1 23 Oct 19
Bold Apache (IRE)from A P O'Brien · then J J Lambe 11 0 0 22 May 11
Purring Along (IRE)then S M Duffy 9 0 0 14 May 22
Precious Gold (IRE)then D E Fitzgerald 9 0 2 28 Oct 15
Karnak (IRE) 9 0 0 30 Oct 08
Hermione's Angel (IRE) 7 0 0 26 Nov 21
Coasting Along (IRE) 7 0 0 19 Aug 19
Princess Harriet (IRE)then Miss Nicole McKenna 7 0 0 17 May 16
All 36 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 36 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Kieran P Cotter (3) and Noel Furlong (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for J J Lambe (2); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
600000090505
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr A F Lyons 24 0 0% −24.00
Ger Fox 23 1 4.3% −2.00
Leigh Roche 11 0 0% −11.00
Rory Cleary 11 0 0% −11.00
T G M Ryan 11 0 0% −11.00
Tommy Dowling 9 0 0% −9.00
Conor Maxwell 7 1 14.3% +14.00
Ricky Doyle 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Conor O'Farrell 7 0 0% −7.00
Scott McCullagh 7 0 0% −7.00
Gary Carroll 6 0 0% −6.00
N G McCullagh 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
10
Archived wins
£129k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Strong Johnson (IRE) — Mongey Communications Handicap Curragh · Aug 2021
£12,390
John James (IRE) — www.tote.ie Handicap Chase (0-130) Roscommon · Sep 2007
£12,093
John James (IRE) — Waterford & Tramore Directors Chase Tramore · Mar 2005
£9,674
Notable horses
John James (IRE) Storm Breaker (IRE) Quarryfield Lass (IRE) Strong Johnson (IRE) Lindas Choice (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rajj (IRE) 0% · 0–41
Progeny have won 6.9% of 463 runs since 2008 (46 horses).
Sadler's Wells (USA) 0% · 0–37
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.
Lord Americo (IRE) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,189 runs since 2008 (237 horses).
Le Cadre Noir (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 7.8% of 397 runs since 2008 (22 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.9% from 168.
Golan (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Bravefoot (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 4.8% of 248 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 303 · newest first

The latest 50 of 303 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 14 May 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 May 22 Navan Purring Along (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (47-65)5f · Good · 18 ran 16th 50/1
02 May 22 Curragh Purring Along (IRE)J: Conor Hoban Keadeen Hotel Handicap (47-75)6f · Yielding · 23 ran 22nd 40/1
01 May 22 Sligo Purring Along (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse SP Or Better Guaranteed With Tote Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)6f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 16/1
23 Apr 22 Navan Purring Along (IRE)J: Jessica Maye Kilberry Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)5.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 100/1
13 Apr 22 Gowran Park Caruso King (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Racing Again May 4th Maiden (Div 2)9.5f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 12th 100/1
10 Apr 22 Curragh Purring Along (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Hollywoodbets Proudly Supporting Irish Racing Handicap (47-65)6f · Yielding · 24 ran 15th 40/1
29 Mar 22 Navan Caruso King (IRE)J: Mark Gallagher Your New Tote (c & G) Maiden8f · Good · 18 ran 18th 250/1
04 Mar 22 Dundalk (AW) Purring Along (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse DundalkStadium.com Maiden6f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 300/1
15 Dec 21 Dundalk (AW) Purring Along (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Lengthen The Odds With BetVictor Race8f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 150/1
26 Nov 21 Dundalk (AW) Purring Along (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 66/1
26 Nov 21 Dundalk (AW) Hermione's Angel (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Fillies Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 300/1
17 Nov 21 Dundalk (AW) Purring Along (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 300/1
22 Oct 21 Dundalk (AW) Strong Johnson (IRE)J: Kevin Manning Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Pat Smullen Mercury Stakes (Group 3)5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 66/1
10 Oct 21 Curragh Strong Johnson (IRE)J: Kevin Manning Hatstone Solicitors Waterford Testimonial Stakes (Listed)6f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 10th 16/1
02 Oct 21 Ascot Strong Johnson (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Oakman Group Rous Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 22/1
26 Sep 21 Curragh Strong Johnson (IRE)J: Colin Keane William Hill Ireland Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap)5f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 13/2
25 Sep 21 Curragh Hermione's Angel (IRE)J: Rory Cleary William Hill Ireland Lengthen Your Odds Maiden6f · Good · 11 ran 11th 200/1
12 Sep 21 Curragh Strong Johnson (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Derrinstown Stud Flying Five Stakes (Group 1)5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 200/1
03 Sep 21 Kilbeggan Justice Jim (IRE)J: Cathal Landers Belvedere House, Gardens & Park Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)25f · Good · 16 ran 12th 50/1
26 Aug 21 Tipperary Strong Johnson (IRE)J: Kevin Manning Abergwaun Stakes (Listed)5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 13th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J H Scott's strike rate?
J H Scott has won 5 of 229 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.2% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is J H Scott's Fair A/E?
0.69, from 229 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 27 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).