Jarlath P Fahey
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 90 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).
The record is strongest at Galway (16.7%, n=36), clear of the yard's 6% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0.8% (n=130, Fair A/E 0.33). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −486.30 to a £1 stake over 882 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. R. P. Whelan rides 17% of the entries and beats the yard's average (11.5% vs 6%, A/E 1.60) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12%, n=100) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (10.5%, n=285). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Handicap at Galway (Aug 2025, £64,900). The stable star of the record: Jennies Jewel (IRE) — 8 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,919 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,919 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 February 2005 to 11 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Jarlath P Fahey's strike rate?
- Jarlath P Fahey has won 97 of 1,620 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jarlath P Fahey do best at?
- Cork by strike rate: 10 wins from 89 runners (11.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Jarlath P Fahey?
- R. P. Whelan, with 279 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (11.5%).
- Is Jarlath P Fahey in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Jarlath P Fahey's Fair A/E?
- 0.98, from 1,616 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.