What is John M Oxx's strike rate?

John M Oxx has won 378 of 2,645 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John M Oxx do best at?

Killarney by strike rate: 18 wins from 79 runners (22.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John M Oxx?

Declan McDonogh, with 628 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 83 (13.2%).

What is John M Oxx's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 2,637 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John M Oxx

2,645 runners in the lifetime window · 521 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2020 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

378–2,645

Wins / Runs

14.3%

Strike rate

n=2,645

939 (36%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=2,637 · 0.80 incl. margin

−712.68

£1 level stake

n=2,645 at SP · −26.9%

£13.2m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 200 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,645 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 33.8% when favourite Declan McDonogh: 13.2% from 628 Sent off the favourite in 18% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Sligo (25.8%, n=31) and Killarney (22.8%, n=79) — all clear of the yard's 14.3% baseline. It is weakest at Cork (7% over 129 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 8.3% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.99). Declan McDonogh rode 24% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.2%, A/E 0.91). 103 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2009, £2,219,029). The stable star of the record was Sea The Stars (IRE) — 8 wins from 9 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

14.2%−0.1

n=465 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −165.80

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.3%−6.0

n=36 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −6.50

Debutants · first career start

11.8%−2.5

n=459 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −60.57

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.9%−1.4

n=209 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −71.78

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−14.3

n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00

When favourite

33.8%

n=482 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −94.67

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.5%−2.8

n=183 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −36.93

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.4%−0.9

n=486 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −163.68

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Mick Kinane 21.4% vs 14.3% · n=407

With N G McCullagh 7.7% vs 14.3% · n=441

With Johnny Murtagh 21.4% vs 14.3% · n=276

At Sligo 25.8% vs 14.3% · n=31

At Killarney 22.8% vs 14.3% · n=79

At Cork 7% vs 14.3% · n=129

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,644 378 14.3% −711.68

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 707 108 15.3% −133.06

Good 598 76 12.7% −158.99

Good to Firm 488 75 15.4% −181.69

Standard (AW) 323 40 12.4% −152.58

Heavy 275 47 17.1% −49.23

Good to Soft 227 29 12.8% −26.13

Firm 27 3 11.1% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 520 50 9.6% −249.86

Leopardstown 441 68 15.4% −75.30

Dundalk (AW) 319 40 12.5% −148.58

Gowran Park 196 26 13.3% −15.22

Navan 142 20 14.1% −63.32

Naas 139 20 14.4% −15.81

Cork 129 9 7% −86.03

Fairyhouse 112 19 17% −24.32

Tipperary 100 22 22% +18.61

Killarney 79 18 22.8% +25.61

Roscommon 79 15 19% +12.43

Galway 70 8 11.4% −23.25

Limerick 55 10 18.2% −6.32

Down Royal 42 9 21.4% −8.64

Listowel 34 4 11.8% +2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 486 65 13.4% −163.68

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 548 178 32.5% 1.05 −103.42

2nd–3rd fav 824 127 15.4% 1.00 −204.76

4th–6th fav 756 56 7.4% 0.96 −176.50

7th+ in betting 517 17 3.3% 0.89 −228.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Flash McGahon (IRE) 27 0 7 16 Aug 11

Miss Zizi (IRE) 19 1 6 27 Jul 19

Xebec (USA) 19 3 8 9 Oct 16

Saddler's Rock (IRE)then Jonjo O'Neill 19 4 6 19 Jun 14

She's My Dream (IRE) 16 2 7 13 Oct 19

Avenante (GB) 16 2 5 23 Oct 16

Aznavour (IRE) 16 1 5 21 Oct 11

Bean Uasal (IRE) 16 2 5 14 Sep 10

Sebs Star (GB) 14 0 2 23 Oct 20

Red Stars (IRE) 14 3 5 15 Oct 17

Secretariat's Soul (IRE) 14 0 2 10 Jul 10

Agent Zigzag (IRE)then Paul Webber 13 2 5 15 Aug 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 521 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard; 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

33013161515171412131415

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDeclan McDonogh

24% of all rides
13.2% SR · A/E 0.91

RiderRWSR£1

Declan McDonogh 628 83 13.2% −181.97

N G McCullagh 441 34 7.7% −206.30

Mick Kinane 407 87 21.4% −33.51

Fran Berry 361 63 17.5% −59.99

Johnny Murtagh 276 59 21.4% −69.03

Ben Curtis 101 18 17.8% +35.94

Ross Coakley 80 7 8.8% +3.20

Colm O'Donoghue 73 6 8.2% −54.47

Gary Halpin 35 6 17.1% −10.37

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

555

Archived wins

103

Pattern / graded wins

£18.5m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 66 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sea The Stars (IRE) — Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Colts & Fillies) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2009 · Group 1

£2,219,029

Sea The Stars (IRE) — Investec Derby (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2009 · Group 1

£709,625

Sea The Stars (IRE) — Tattersalls Millions Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) Leopardstown · Sep 2009 · Group 1

£569,000

Notable horses

Sea The Stars (IRE) Kastoria (IRE) Alanza (IRE) Alandi (IRE) Danak (IRE) Saddler's Rock (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dalakhani (IRE) 15.3% · 22–144

Progeny have won 11.6% of 5,037 runs since 2008 (497 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.6% from 278. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 153.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 8.9% · 11–124

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,981 runs since 2013 (1,118 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 457. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Azamour (IRE) 15.7% · 14–89

Progeny have won 13.1% of 4,328 runs since 2009 (351 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 215.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 17.6% · 15–85

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,865 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Sinndar (IRE) 21.7% · 15–69

Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,410 runs since 2008 (394 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 256. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.3% from 132.

Galileo (IRE) 21.5% · 14–65

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,567 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,567 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 2 November 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 20 Curragh Safecracker (GB)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Heavy · 17 ran 14th 16/1

02 Nov 20 Curragh Curraghglass (GB)J: Ross Coakley Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Heavy · 17 ran 8th 66/1

02 Nov 20 Curragh Earlswood (GB)J: N G McCullagh Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Heavy · 17 ran 3rd 14/1

01 Nov 20 Naas Storm Legend (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden (Plus 10)6f · Heavy · 16 ran 1st 6/1

28 Oct 20 Dundalk (AW) Regal Eagle (IRE)J: Ross Coakley HOLLYWOODBETS Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 15/2

23 Oct 20 Dundalk (AW) Cosmology (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Follow Us On Instagram At dundalk_stadium Maiden (Div 2)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 50/1

23 Oct 20 Dundalk (AW) Sebs Star (GB)J: Jamie Powell Irishinjuredjockeysfund.com Handicap (45-65)6f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 14/1

19 Oct 20 Gowran Park Impossible (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Bet 10 Get 20 With MansionBet Fillies Maiden12f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 7th 28/1

17 Oct 20 Leopardstown Cornish Rock (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Leopardstown Nursery Handicap (Plus 10)8f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 10th 40/1

16 Oct 20 Dundalk (AW) Regal Eagle (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Hollywoodbets Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 25/1

16 Oct 20 Leopardstown Earlswood (GB)J: N G McCullagh Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10)8f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 7th 11/2

15 Oct 20 Curragh Masterdream (FR)J: Chris Hayes Equilux Costs Less Than 2 A Week Maiden12f · Soft · 17 ran 5th 22/1

15 Oct 20 Curragh Secret Sea (IRE)J: Colin Keane Equilux Works Or Your Money Back Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)7f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 8/1

13 Oct 20 Cork Impossible (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Fermoy Fillies Maiden10f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 8th 40/1

09 Oct 20 Dundalk (AW) Cloudland (GB)J: N G McCullagh Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 33/1

08 Oct 20 Thurles Regal Eagle (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Moyne Handicap (45-65)8f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 22/1

07 Oct 20 Navan Secret Sea (IRE)J: Colin Keane Yellow Furze Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)10f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 13/2

04 Oct 20 Killarney Mona's Star (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Muckross Handicap14f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 17/2

04 Oct 20 Killarney Watchmen (FR)J: Ross Coakley Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden11f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 6/1

04 Oct 20 Killarney Cinnte Winnte (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John M Oxx's strike rate?: John M Oxx has won 378 of 2,645 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John M Oxx do best at?: Killarney by strike rate: 18 wins from 79 runners (22.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John M Oxx?: Declan McDonogh, with 628 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 83 (13.2%).
What is John M Oxx's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 2,637 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.