John Quinn
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 350 runners a season, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). In Group and Graded company the record reads 15% (238 runs).
The record is strongest at Chelmsford (AW) (20.5%, n=122), clear of the yard's 12.2% baseline. Debutants struggle at 7.8% (n=436, Fair A/E 0.87). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 8.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −87.05 to a £1 stake over 233 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jason Hart rides 26% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.9%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Hurdle races (18.2%, n=753). 43 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coolmore Wootton Bassett Nunthorpe Stakes at York (Aug 2022, £302,690). The stable star of the record: Mr Wagyu (IRE) — 15 wins from 83 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,910 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,910 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 25 January 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is John Quinn's strike rate?
- John Quinn has won 807 of 6,622 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does John Quinn do best at?
- Ayr by strike rate: 48 wins from 274 runners (17.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for John Quinn?
- Jason Hart, with 1,719 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 221 (12.9%).
- What is John Quinn's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 6,585 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.