Skip to content
Trainer profile

Liam Lennon

891 runners in the lifetime window · 119 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
46–891
Wins / Runs
5.2%
Strike rate
n=891
149 (17%)
Placed
0.90
Fair A/E
n=891 · 0.73 incl. margin
−461.62
£1 level stake
n=891 at SP · −51.8%
£478k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 891 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Adam Short: 3.3% from 61 Claiming riders: 5.5%
The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −132.62 to a £1 stake over 168 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Adam Short rides 7% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.3%, A/E 0.54). The yard also reads well in Class 4 (11.1%, n=72) and on Good to Firm going (9.1%, n=66). The stable star of the record: Tammys Hill (IRE) — 8 wins from 27 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.6%−1.6
n=168 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −132.62
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.2
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
Debutants · first career start
4.8%−0.4
n=83 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −28.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.2
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
12%+6.8
n=25 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +44.12
When favourite
29.6%
n=27 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −7.17
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.5%+0.3
n=619 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −279.12
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 15.9% vs 5.2% · n=44
In Class 4 11.1% vs 5.2% · n=72
With new recruits 0% vs 5.2% · n=32
With horses switching code 1.8% vs 5.2% · n=163
On Good to Firm going 9.1% vs 5.2% · n=66
With C&D winners 10% vs 5.2% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 382 18 4.7% −200.58
Chase 311 21 6.8% −176.04
Flat 126 5 4% −32.00
NH Flat 72 2 2.8% −53.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 309 17 5.5% −154.21
Soft 206 12 5.8% −104.46
Heavy 151 7 4.6% −107.88
Good to Soft 91 3 3.3% −79.82
Good to Firm 66 6 9.1% +1.75
Standard (AW) 64 1 1.6% −13.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 222 7 3.2% −157.00
Down Royal 158 13 8.2% −24.45
Dundalk (AW) 64 1 1.6% −13.00
Fairyhouse 56 2 3.6% −47.71
Ayr 41 3 7.3% −12.88
Navan 38 1 2.6% −23.00
Perth 28 3 10.7% +16.80
Punchestown 26 1 3.8% −19.00
Kilbeggan 21 1 4.8% −13.50
Galway 19 0 0% −19.00
Sligo 18 0 0% −18.00
Naas 17 1 5.9% −8.00
Wexford 15 1 6.7% −10.00
Hexham 14 2 14.3% −8.25
Limerick 14 0 0% −14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 72 8 11.1% −4.21
Class 5 35 2 5.7% −14.88
Class 6 13 1 7.7% −11.00
Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 2 4 1 25% +4.50
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 32 10 31.3% 1.08 −2.42
2nd–3rd fav 94 14 14.9% 1.03 −21.70
4th–6th fav 241 15 6.2% 0.98 −69.50
7th+ in betting 524 7 1.3% 0.54 −368.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.5% completed · 693 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 311 79.4% 14 12 31 5 2
Hurdle 382 86.9% 10 7 31 0 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
School Lane (IRE) 43 3 11 13 Apr 25
Maureen's Star (IRE)then Hugh Burns 43 2 5 14 Sep 20
Haqeeba (IRE)from D K Weld 43 4 14 14 Jun 19
I'm An Izz Wizz (IRE) 37 4 12 2 Nov 19
Howwoulduno (IRE) 35 4 8 12 May 18
Kalsman (IRE) 33 2 4 30 Oct 26
Tammys Hill (IRE) 27 8 13 6 Apr 15
Waltz Legend (IRE) 26 0 5 27 May 16
Benarty Hill (IRE)then Kenny Johnson 25 1 5 12 Aug 18
Amarillo Rose (IRE) 24 0 4 1 Jan 22
Pegase Amour (IRE) 23 0 4 11 Jun 22
Tham Luang (IRE)from Brendan W Duke 19 0 5 16 Jul 21
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 119 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive; 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Gavin Cromwell (3) and Hugh Burns (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
3546612522446
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAdam Short
7% of all rides
3.3% SR · A/E 0.54
RiderRWSR£1
Adam Short 61 2 3.3% −39.00
Rachael Blackmore 35 3 8.6% −7.25
Thomas Reilly 32 1 3.1% −27.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
46
Archived wins
£485k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tammys Hill (IRE) — Cga Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup Cheltenham · Mar 2014 · Class 2
£23,984
Mat Hill (IRE) — www.thetote.com Galway Plate Trial Handicap Chase Down Royal · Jun 2012
£14,625
Tammys Hill (IRE) — Raymond Smith Memorial Hunters Chase Leopardstown · Feb 2014
£10,350
Notable horses
Tammys Hill (IRE) Haqeeba (IRE) I'm An Izz Wizz (IRE) Howwoulduno (IRE) School Lane (IRE) Maureen's Star (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Winged Love (IRE) 2.7% · 3–112
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Desert King (IRE) 11.3% · 9–80
Progeny have won 9% of 1,142 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.4% from 157.
Exit To Nowhere (USA) 4.7% · 2–43
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Gold Well (GB) 4.7% · 2–43
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).
Haatef (USA) 9.3% · 4–43
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,427 runs since 2012 (89 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 2.7% from 112.
Tamayaz (CAN) 18.6% · 8–43
Progeny have won 5.4% of 772 runs since 2008 (80 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 949 · newest first

The latest 50 of 949 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 January 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Kalsman (IRE)J: Caragh Monaghan Metcollect Handicap Steeplechase16.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 8th 16/1
10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Whispering Hopes (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 4th 50/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Kalsman (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley McGrady Financial Services Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Viceregent (GB)J: Kieren Buckley CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 50/1
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Kalsman (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran PU 25/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Kalsman (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Steeplechase18f · Good · 12 ran 4th 7/2
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Whispering Hopes (IRE)J: Mr E P Powell MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (Div I)18f · Good · 12 ran 7th 18/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Viceregent (GB)J: Mr E P Powell Randox Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 10 ran 7th 80/1
31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Kalsman (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 12/1
28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Your Call (IRE)J: Caragh Monaghan Golden Cow Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 14 ran 12th 33/1
28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Viceregent (GB)J: Mr E P Powell Golden Cow Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 80/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Kalsman (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Lily O'Hare Memorial Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 18/1
14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Your Call (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Randox (C & G) Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 9 ran 8th 40/1
13 Jun 26 Downpatrick Kalsman (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley C. Russell Auto Sales Beginners Chase23.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 12/1
13 Jun 26 Downpatrick Artic Chief (IRE)J: Mr E P Powell Denvir's Of Downpatrick (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)22f · Good · 14 ran 13th 11/1
31 May 26 Kilbeggan Kalsman (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Joe Quinn Transport Longford Handicap Hurdle (0-100)19f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 12th 18/1
22 May 26 Downpatrick Artic Chief (IRE)J: Carl Millar Frank And Brian Fitzsimons Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 7th 6/1
08 May 26 Downpatrick Kalsman (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Road Stud Installations Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22f · Good · 15 ran 9th 4/1
08 May 26 Downpatrick Artic Chief (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Road Stud Installations Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 50/1
12 Apr 26 Down Royal Artic Chief (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Fibrus Says Neigh To Price Hikes Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24f · Good · 19 ran 13th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Liam Lennon's strike rate?
Liam Lennon has won 46 of 891 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Liam Lennon do best at?
Down Royal by strike rate: 13 wins from 158 runners (8.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Liam Lennon?
Adam Short, with 61 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.3%).
Is Liam Lennon in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Liam Lennon's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 891 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).