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Trainer profile

M C Grassick

1,099 runners in the lifetime window · 105 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 91% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
61–1,099
Wins / Runs
5.6%
Strike rate
n=1,099
223 (20%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=1,097 · 0.71 incl. margin
−500.14
£1 level stake
n=1,099 at SP · −45.5%
£1.19m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,099 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 16.7% when favourite W J Lee: 8.7% from 219 New recruits: 5.7% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Fairyhouse (11.1%, n=72), clear of the yard's 5.6% baseline. It is weakest at Tipperary (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=70, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.54 and −124.00 to a £1 stake over 173 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. W J Lee rides 20% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.7% vs 5.6%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (9.3%, n=129). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tote Scurry Handicap at Curragh (Jul 2019, £73,750). The stable star of the record: Verhoyen (GB) — 9 wins from 102 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.9%−2.7
n=173 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −124.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.7%+0.1
n=35 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −23.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.6
n=70 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −70.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.2%−2.4
n=63 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −39.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5.2%−0.4
n=58 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −18.50
When favourite
16.7%
n=42 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −17.30
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.4%−1.2
n=295 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −146.68
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
4.5%−1.1
n=44 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 0% vs 5.6% · n=70
At Fairyhouse 11.1% vs 5.6% · n=72
With N G McCullagh 0.8% vs 5.6% · n=127
At Naas 1.4% vs 5.6% · n=138
At Tipperary 0% vs 5.6% · n=30
Off a 0-7-day break 9.3% vs 5.6% · n=129
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,005 56 5.6% −445.64
Hurdle 74 4 5.4% −37.00
NH Flat 15 1 6.7% −12.50
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 383 16 4.2% −204.87
Good 293 23 7.8% −61.00
Heavy 129 7 5.4% −62.30
Standard (AW) 119 5 4.2% −81.00
Good to Soft 110 7 6.4% −50.55
Good to Firm 64 3 4.7% −39.42
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 259 18 6.9% −40.30
Naas 138 2 1.4% −117.75
Dundalk (AW) 104 3 2.9% −79.00
Navan 82 5 6.1% −37.87
Leopardstown 81 6 7.4% −18.50
Fairyhouse 72 8 11.1% +8.00
Gowran Park 50 2 4% −39.00
Cork 45 1 2.2% −32.00
Roscommon 40 3 7.5% −11.88
Tipperary 30 0 0% −30.00
Galway 26 0 0% −26.00
Punchestown 23 0 0% −23.00
Limerick 22 0 0% −22.00
Down Royal 20 2 10% −7.67
Bellewstown 19 3 15.8% +6.33

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 44 2 4.5% −10.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 56 10 17.9% 0.81 −17.55
2nd–3rd fav 130 14 10.8% 0.73 −50.09
4th–6th fav 263 19 7.2% 0.98 −60.00
7th+ in betting 650 18 2.8% 0.99 −372.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Verhoyen (GB) 102 9 28 10 Sep 26
Loingseoir (IRE) 85 7 23 1 Nov 26
Texas Rock (IRE) 67 7 21 6 Jul 22
Amanirenas (IRE) 42 6 8 21 Sep 26
Cactus Tree (IRE)then Denis Gerard Hogan 42 2 6 4 Aug 22
Elusive In Paris (IRE)from M J Grassick · then John James Feane 34 1 8 15 Apr 16
Miss Myers (IRE)from Thomas Mullins 29 1 4 6 Sep 22
Gazelle D'or (IRE) 27 5 12 1 Nov 26
Brown Eagle (IRE) 26 1 6 30 Oct 23
Elanora (IRE) 25 1 10 29 Mar 23
Mollys Glory (IRE)from Denis W Cullen 21 2 9 13 May 24
Texas Radio (IRE)then John James Feane 20 1 2 20 Sep 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 105 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M J Grassick (3) and Kevin Prendergast (2); 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for John James Feane (3) and P J Rothwell (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
092384865830
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderW J Lee
20% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 1.06
RiderRWSR£1
W J Lee 219 19 8.7% −40.12
N G McCullagh 127 1 0.8% −122.67
Danny Sheehy 88 6 6.8% −29.30
W. M. Lordan 72 6 8.3% −13.25
Robbie Colgan 68 2 2.9% −47.50
Gavin Ryan 56 2 3.6% −39.00
Jack Cleary 51 4 7.8% +12.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
61
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.19m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 10 wins
Verhoyen (GB) — Tote Scurry Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Jul 2019
£73,750
Truth Be Told (IRE) — Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap Leopardstown (IRE) · Oct 2026
£30,000
Gazelle D'or (IRE) — Sky Bet Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Jun 2025
£29,500
Notable horses
Verhoyen (GB) Loingseoir (IRE) Texas Rock (IRE) Amanirenas (IRE) Gazelle D'or (IRE) Glory To Be (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Piccolo (GB) 8.4% · 9–107
Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.
Henrythenavigator (USA) 8.2% · 7–85
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,715 runs since 2012 (217 horses).
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 10.3% · 7–68
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,566 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Camelot (GB) 4.8% · 2–42
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,721 runs since 2017 (758 horses).
War Command (USA) 14.3% · 6–42
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,277 runs since 2018 (200 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 285.
Elzaam (AUS) 2.6% · 1–39
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,528 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 326.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,099 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,099 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 February 2013 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Loingseoir (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Isuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 24th 40/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Gazelle D'or (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Mongey Communications Sprint Handicap5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 5th 9/4F
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Gazelle D'or (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 17/2
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Port Arthur (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Navan Racing Festival Advanced Price Tickets On Sale Now Maiden5f · Yielding · 9 ran 7th 12/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Loingseoir (IRE)J: Shay Wallace Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 8th 11/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Mr Perth (IRE)J: Chris Hayes 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 10th 17/2
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Truth Be Told (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 1st 5/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Loingseoir (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 8th 12/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Gazelle D'or (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Naas Farm Machinery Handicap5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 16/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Mr Perth (IRE)J: Shay Wallace Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div II)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 4th 9/2J
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Lily Bear (IRE)J: W. M. Lordan Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap6f · Yielding · 10 ran 6th 9/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Port Arthur (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Buy Now & Save With The Real Deal Bundle Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 5th 8/1
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Loingseoir (IRE)J: Shay Wallace 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 10/1
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) White Smoke (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Johnny Sullivan Memorial Maiden5f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 1st 12/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Port Arthur (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden6f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 25/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Gazelle D'or (IRE)J: W. M. Lordan Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap5f · Yielding · 20 ran 13th 16/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Lohoobb (GB)J: N G McCullagh Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Rated Race7f · Yielding · 9 ran 9th 50/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) White Smoke (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden6f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 9/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Amanirenas (IRE)J: E E Ryan Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap6f · Good · 17 ran 7th 66/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Glory To Be (IRE)J: W. M. Lordan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap7f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 21 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is M C Grassick's strike rate?
M C Grassick has won 61 of 1,099 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M C Grassick do best at?
Fairyhouse by strike rate: 8 wins from 72 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M C Grassick?
W J Lee, with 219 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (8.7%).
Is M C Grassick in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M C Grassick's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 1,097 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).