What is Martin Smith's strike rate?

Martin Smith has won 61 of 780 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Martin Smith do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 13 wins from 103 runners (12.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Martin Smith's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 777 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Martin Smith

780 runners in the lifetime window · 89 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner May 2023

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

61–780

Wins / Runs

7.8%

Strike rate

n=780

183 (24%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=777 · 0.88 incl. margin

−137.00

£1 level stake

n=780 at SP · −17.6%

£435k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 780 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 33.3% when favourite Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=47, Fair A/E 0.00). The record reads poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 0% over 35 runners, 7.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: In The Red (IRE) — 7 wins from 56 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.3%−2.5

n=133 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −33.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.3%−5.5

n=44 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −29.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.8

n=47 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −47.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.4%−0.4

n=27 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −10.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.5%+3.7

n=26 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +39.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=45 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −0.58

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.8%−2.0

n=259 · A/E 0.95 · £1 +6.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.8

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 0% vs 7.8% · n=47

With C&D winners 14.1% vs 7.8% · n=85

Over 2m5f – 3m 0% vs 7.8% · n=35

In Class 2 0% vs 7.8% · n=34

With Jacob Clark 0% vs 7.8% · n=31

On last-time-out winners 14.1% vs 7.8% · n=64

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 615 46 7.5% −97.17

Hurdle 121 10 8.3% −23.83

Chase 25 4 16% −0.25

NH Flat 19 1 5.3% −15.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 320 32 10% +3.83

Good 171 10 5.8% −52.33

Good to Firm 131 8 6.1% −72.75

Good to Soft 73 5 6.8% −0.75

Soft 68 6 8.8% +2.00

Heavy 15 0 0% −15.00

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield 103 13 12.6% +26.00

Kempton 86 8 9.3% +42.38

Chelmsford (AW) 59 6 10.2% −28.13

Wolverhampton (AW) 37 3 8.1% −11.17

Yarmouth 35 1 2.9% −28.00

Newmarket 33 1 3% −30.00

Southwell (AW) 31 2 6.5% −21.25

Huntingdon 31 3 9.7% −19.21

Leicester 25 4 16% +74.00

Windsor 21 0 0% −21.00

Doncaster 19 1 5.3% −7.00

Newmarket 18 1 5.6% −1.00

Fakenham 17 2 11.8% −4.62

Brighton 17 2 11.8% +2.00

Goodwood 17 1 5.9% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 257 24 9.3% +1.33

Class 5 248 18 7.3% −72.25

Class 4 156 10 6.4% −43.33

Class 3 59 6 10.2% +8.50

Class 2 34 0 0% −34.00

Class 1 15 0 0% −15.00

Class 7 9 3 33.3% +19.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 17 35.4% 1.27 +4.17

2nd–3rd fav 124 15 12.1% 0.77 −42.17

4th–6th fav 233 16 6.9% 1.01 −46.00

7th+ in betting 375 13 3.5% 1.26 −53.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

In The Red (IRE)from Richard Hannon 56 7 14 22 May 21

Affluence (IRE) 41 5 16 22 Jan 22

Aleatoric (IRE) 39 4 11 3 May 22

Morani Kali (GB) 26 1 4 16 Mar 23

Bridge Of Sighs (GB)then Lee Carter 24 5 10 17 Jun 17

Ossie's Dancer (GB)from Robert Cowell 23 3 7 7 Jul 19

Safira Menina (GB)from Alison Hutchinson 23 2 9 4 Oct 17

Indomitable Spirit (GB) 22 3 3 7 Jul 17

Shabs (GB)then Joseph Parr 20 0 8 3 May 23

All About Alice (IRE)then Dylan Cunha 20 2 5 5 Apr 23

Friends Don't Ask (GB)then Clare Ellam 20 4 8 21 Mar 22

Amber Flush (GB)from Tom Symonds · then Clare Ellam 20 1 4 11 Oct 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 89 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Hannon (2) and Terry Clement (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Clare Ellam (5) and Dylan Cunha (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

881689484451211

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTim Clark

6% of all rides
4.5% SR · A/E 0.70

RiderRWSR£1

Tim Clark 44 2 4.5% −28.00

Eoin Walsh 40 3 7.5% −15.00

Hector Crouch 35 4 11.4% +31.50

Tom Cheesman 34 4 11.8% +15.00

Jacob Clark 31 0 0% −31.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

£435k

Prize money

2020

Best season · 9 wins

Ossie's Dancer (GB) — Speedcut Contractors Racing Excellence Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Final Handicap Hurdle Plumpton · May 2015 · Class 3

£9,747

The Emperor Within (FR) — Best Odds Guaranteed At 188Bet Handicap Sandown · Aug 2018 · Class 3

£9,338

Hillbilly Boy (IRE) — Lloyds Bank Cardnet Handicap Newmarket · May 2014 · Class 3

£9,057

Notable horses

In The Red (IRE) Affluence (IRE) Bridge Of Sighs (GB) Aleatoric (IRE) Friends Don't Ask (GB) Ossie's Dancer (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 12.5% · 7–56

Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,145 runs since 2015 (317 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.7% from 382.

Thewayyouare (USA) 12.2% · 5–41

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,152 runs since 2013 (166 horses).

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 10.3% · 4–39

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,884 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,862 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Charming Thought (GB) 3.8% · 1–26

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,003 runs since 2020 (75 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 780 · newest first

The latest 50 of 780 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 July 2013 to 6 May 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 May 23 Newmarket Ace Rothstein (USA)J: Jimmy Quinn Howden HandicapClass 2 · 12f · Good · 11 ran 8th 33/1

03 May 23 Pontefract Shabs (GB)J: David Egan Trustees Of The National Horseracing College Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 5th 14/1

01 May 23 Beverley Fullofbrightideas (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 5f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 80/1

18 Apr 23 Newmarket Fullofbrightideas (GB)J: Adam Farragher Pat Smullen Memorial British Ebf Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 125/1

12 Apr 23 Nottingham Riffa Fort (GB)J: David Egan Watch On Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 14/1

05 Apr 23 Kempton (AW) All About Alice (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Unibet Extra Place Offers Every Day HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 2nd 11/4

29 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) Shabs (GB)J: Richard Kingscote Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 3/1

27 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) All About Alice (IRE)J: Richard Kingscote Betuk's Acca Club 5 Free Bet Classified StakesClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 3/1

16 Mar 23 Southwell (AW) Morani Kali (GB)J: Jacob Clark Betuk's Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 11/2

05 Mar 23 Huntingdon Ace Rothstein (USA)J: Tabitha Worsley Join Racing TV Now Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 16/1

01 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) All About Alice (IRE)J: Jonny Peate Huge Daily Boosts Only At BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 12/1

01 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) Shabs (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 13/8F

28 Feb 23 Southwell (AW) Morani Kali (GB)J: Hector Crouch Top Odds Every Day With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 9/1

25 Feb 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Guitar (GB)J: Hector Crouch Chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 33/1

17 Feb 23 Southwell (AW) Shabs (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Spreadex Sports In-Play Racing Betting Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 12/1

17 Feb 23 Southwell (AW) Guitar (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Spreadex Sports In-Play Racing Betting Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 12/1

16 Feb 23 Chelmsford City (AW) All About Alice (IRE)J: Alec Voikhansky Ladies Day HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 11/1

11 Feb 23 Newbury Ace Rothstein (USA)J: Nick Scholfield Daily Tips On betting.betfair.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 80/1

03 Feb 23 Lingfield (AW) Riffa Fort (GB)J: Robert Havlin BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 18/1

28 Jan 23 Lingfield (AW) Guitar (GB)J: Luke Morris Top Odds Every Day With Betuk Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Martin Smith's strike rate?: Martin Smith has won 61 of 780 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Martin Smith do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 13 wins from 103 runners (12.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Martin Smith's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 777 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.