What is Martin Todhunter's strike rate?

Martin Todhunter has won 212 of 2,334 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Martin Todhunter do best at?

Cartmel by strike rate: 17 wins from 124 runners (13.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Martin Todhunter?

Henry Brooke, with 290 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (8.3%).

Is Martin Todhunter in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Martin Todhunter's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 2,329 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Martin Todhunter

2,334 runners in the lifetime window · 209 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

212–2,334

Wins / Runs

9.1%

Strike rate

n=2,334

626 (27%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=2,329 · 0.78 incl. margin

−742.54

£1 level stake

n=2,334 at SP · −31.8%

£1.70m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). New recruits from other yards win at 12% first time out (105 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,334 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 24.6% when favourite Henry Brooke: 8.3% from 290 New recruits: 12.4% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 12.4% (n=105, Fair A/E 1.87), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=124, Fair A/E 0.26). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 8.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −223.87 to a £1 stake over 462 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Henry Brooke rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 0.92). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 2.2% over 46 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase at Ayr (Apr 2015, £22,780). The stable star of the record: Presenting Junior (IRE) — 10 wins from 45 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.6%−1.5

n=501 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −120.42

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.4%+3.3

n=105 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +57.13

Debutants · first career start

2.6%−6.5

n=77 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −63.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11%+1.9

n=82 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +6.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.4%−6.7

n=124 · A/E 0.26 · £1 −88.00

When favourite

24.6%

n=179 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −42.62

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.9%−0.2

n=462 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −223.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.9%−3.2

n=17 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.4% vs 9.1% · n=214

With Brian Harding 2.1% vs 9.1% · n=142

With headgear back on 2.4% vs 9.1% · n=124

With David Nolan 15.7% vs 9.1% · n=102

With debutants 2.6% vs 9.1% · n=77

In NH Flat races 2.2% vs 9.1% · n=46

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,041 76 7.3% −486.82

Chase 830 93 11.2% −233.43

Flat 417 42 10.1% −27.29

NH Flat 46 1 2.2% +5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 852 77 9% −302.33

Soft 507 52 10.3% −113.55

Good to Soft 483 41 8.5% −209.97

Good to Firm 245 22 9% −23.94

Heavy 190 14 7.4% −110.00

Standard (AW) 52 6 11.5% +22.25

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hexham 286 32 11.2% −67.49

Carlisle 244 15 6.1% −75.25

Sedgefield 239 28 11.7% −65.01

Ayr 231 25 10.8% −75.25

Catterick 197 11 5.6% −93.50

Newcastle 158 15 9.5% −7.05

Perth 135 8 5.9% −78.25

Wetherby 131 13 9.9% −58.50

Cartmel 124 17 13.7% −26.12

Kelso 102 7 6.9% −41.25

Musselburgh 86 8 9.3% −9.40

Newcastle (AW) 40 4 10% −21.25

Haydock 40 4 10% −12.00

Aintree 39 1 2.6% −33.50

Bangor-on-Dee 39 5 12.8% −8.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,040 80 7.7% −481.88

Class 5 758 88 11.6% −73.21

Class 3 286 24 8.4% −122.65

Class 6 169 15 8.9% −14.30

Class 2 55 4 7.3% −32.50

Class 1 22 1 4.5% −14.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 219 57 26% 0.95 −28.37

2nd–3rd fav 504 74 14.7% 0.90 −117.17

4th–6th fav 827 56 6.8% 0.83 −280.00

7th+ in betting 784 25 3.2% 0.88 −317.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 852 72 8.5% −364.63

1m5f – 2m 713 65 9.1% −171.60

2m5f – 3m 410 46 11.2% −93.32

1m2f – 1m4f 187 17 9.1% +4.08

Over 3m 132 9 6.8% −93.07

6f – 7f 23 2 8.7% −10.00

1m – 1m1f 15 1 6.7% −12.00

Under 6f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 184 7 3.8% −125.25

2009 178 16 9% −64.00

2010 195 16 8.2% −19.17

2011 169 16 9.5% −24.00

2012 101 7 6.9% −48.50

2013 133 6 4.5% −56.00

2014 169 23 13.6% −4.10

2015 143 13 9.1% −62.05

2016 161 9 5.6% −95.00

2017 110 16 14.5% −32.04

2018 89 7 7.9% −35.25

2019 105 12 11.4% −13.00

2020 86 10 11.6% −29.90

2021 90 4 4.4% −8.50

2022 88 14 15.9% −10.24

2023 68 11 16.2% −0.29

2024 91 8 8.8% −48.25

2025 99 9 9.1% −41.43

2026 75 8 10.7% −25.57

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,906 191 10% −491.95

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 846 69 8.2% −330.13

11-13 runners 600 46 7.7% −125.50

5-7 runners 508 77 15.2% −87.49

14-16 runners 282 11 3.9% −135.50

17+ runners 57 0 0% −57.00

2-4 runners 41 9 22% −6.92

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84% completed · 1,871 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 830 78.9% 50 22 96 5 2

Hurdle 1,041 88% 27 9 88 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Question Of Faith (GB) 54 8 15 13 Jul 20

Molinari (IRE)from William Muir 48 6 21 1 Oct 26

Presenting Junior (IRE) 45 10 17 8 Apr 18

Word of Warning (GB)from G Wragg · then Philip Kirby 42 3 10 24 Aug 13

Allanard (IRE) 41 6 13 21 May 15

Arctic Fox (GB)from Richard Fahey 39 3 8 4 Jul 26

Joie De Vivre (IRE)from Richard Fahey 39 5 13 26 Aug 24

Rockabilly Riot (IRE)from G M Lyons 39 2 13 26 Aug 17

Authentic Act (IRE) 37 4 8 4 Jun 13

Manoubi (GB) 36 1 11 24 May 11

Arrange (IRE)from Joseph Parr 34 4 16 27 Oct 26

Pekanheim (IRE) 34 3 10 26 Aug 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 209 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Flood (2) and Mrs John Harrington (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Bruce Hellier (2); 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

669711101012139108

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderHenry Brooke

12% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 0.92

RiderRWSR£1

Henry Brooke 290 24 8.3% −126.00

Sean Quinlan 159 15 9.4% −43.67

Brian Harding 142 3 2.1% −89.00

Denis O'Regan 136 16 11.8% −18.42

James Reveley 129 17 13.2% +22.50

Graham Lee 125 10 8% −48.50

Wilson Renwick 111 13 11.7% −30.00

David Nolan 102 16 15.7% +21.25

Callum Bewley 71 5 7% −47.80

Graham Watters 70 6 8.6% −43.08

Brian Hughes 69 2 2.9% −58.00

Lucy Alexander 55 7 12.7% +27.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

263

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.08m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 23 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Presenting Junior (IRE) — Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase (Listed) Ayr · Apr 2015 · Listed

£22,780

Tell Henry (IRE) — Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase Ayr · Apr 2009 · Class 2

£18,786

Arrange (IRE) — Sky Bet Acca Freeze Handicap Haydock · Aug 2024 · Class 3

£18,039

Notable horses

Presenting Junior (IRE) Crathorne (IRE) Ostfanni (IRE) Question Of Faith (GB) Miss Macnamara (IRE) Molinari (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 10.7% · 18–169

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,644 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 329.

Presenting (GB) 12.7% · 14–110

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Yeats (IRE) 16.5% · 14–85

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,853 runs since 2013 (708 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Jet Away (GB) 14.7% · 10–68

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,559 runs since 2018 (276 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 13.8% · 8–58

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 17.6% · 9–51

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,495 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,867 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,867 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Mymatemac (IRE)J: Callum Bewley Racing TV Maiden Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 250/1

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Eroico (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Racing TV Maiden Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 100/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Powerofjet (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Equine Products National Hunt Trainers League Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 6th 6/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Final Straw (IRE)J: Callum Bewley Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 25/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Lecanvey Lady (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 300/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Tommy Combats (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 100/30F

31 Oct 26 Ayr Didntgotwenty (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Bsb Structural Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 3/1F

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fleur De Mer (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 8/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Arrange (IRE)J: Lauren Young Jumps Season Starts 20th November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 8/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Final Straw (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 10th 22/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Lecanvey Lady (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Class Of '63: 63 Years On Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 13 ran PU 300/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fleur De Mer (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Andrew And Tony Roy Memorial Race Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 7/2

17 Oct 26 Catterick Arrange (IRE)J: Lauren Young Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

10 Oct 26 Hexham Jet Legs (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Tynedale Rfc Community Rugby Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 6th 14/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fleur De Mer (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan bettingsites.co.uk Each Way Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 3/1

01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Molinari (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 11 ran PU 9/1

26 Sep 26 Haydock Mick Collins (IRE)J: P. J. McDonald William Hill Daily Winnings Boost Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 11/2

23 Sep 26 Perth Didntgotwenty (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Thank You To Kinneston Owners Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 11/1

12 Sep 26 Chester Mick Collins (IRE)J: Ryan Mania John Smith's Jump Jockeys Challenge Handicap Stakes (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12.5f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 22/1

12 Sep 26 Chester Arrange (IRE)J: Callum Bewley John Smith's Jump Jockeys Challenge Handicap Stakes (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12.5f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 17 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Martin Todhunter's strike rate?: Martin Todhunter has won 212 of 2,334 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Martin Todhunter do best at?: Cartmel by strike rate: 17 wins from 124 runners (13.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Martin Todhunter?: Henry Brooke, with 290 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (8.3%).
Is Martin Todhunter in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Martin Todhunter's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 2,329 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.