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Trainer profile

Michael G Kennedy

354 runners in the lifetime window · 51 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
17–354
Wins / Runs
4.8%
Strike rate
n=354
74 (21%)
Placed
0.74
Fair A/E
n=353 · 0.59 incl. margin
−197.13
£1 level stake
n=354 at SP · −55.7%
£261k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (176 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 354 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Nov Paddy Kennedy: 7.5% from 67 Claiming riders: 6.8%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.6% (n=62, Fair A/E 0.33). Paddy Kennedy rides 19% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.5% vs 4.8%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (9.4%, n=53). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 47 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Touch Of Gold (IRE) — 5 wins from 53 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.6%−3.2
n=62 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −47.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
14.3%+9.5
n=7 · A/E 3.45 · £1 +8.00
Debutants · first career start
4.5%−0.3
n=44 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −29.12
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.8
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.7%+2.9
n=13 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
18.8%
n=16 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −7.96
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.8%+2.0
n=176 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −53.29
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 0% vs 4.8% · n=47
In Chase races 9.4% vs 4.8% · n=53
With Paddy Kennedy 7.5% vs 4.8% · n=67
With claiming riders up 6.8% vs 4.8% · n=176
Off a 61-180-day break 2.3% vs 4.8% · n=43
With Michael O'Sullivan 7.1% vs 4.8% · n=56
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 97.7% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 196 7 3.6% −145.34
Flat 58 2 3.4% −25.00
Chase 53 5 9.4% −25.79
NH Flat 47 3 6.4% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 130 7 5.4% −51.67
Soft 113 6 5.3% −80.96
Heavy 47 0 0% −47.00
Good to Soft 38 2 5.3% −24.50
Standard (AW) 18 2 11.1% +15.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 45 3 6.7% −25.21
Killarney 35 2 5.7% −16.00
Clonmel 30 1 3.3% −23.00
Wexford 28 2 7.1% −11.00
Thurles 26 0 0% −26.00
Limerick 25 0 0% −25.00
Listowel 23 1 4.3% −10.00
Punchestown 19 0 0% −19.00
Dundalk (AW) 18 2 11.1% +15.00
Tramore 17 1 5.9% −11.00
Fairyhouse 13 1 7.7% −9.75
Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Gowran Park 8 0 0% −8.00
Galway 8 2 25% +22.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 4 23.5% 0.93 −4.46
2nd–3rd fav 56 4 7.1% 0.48 −34.67
4th–6th fav 78 5 6.4% 0.93 −30.00
7th+ in betting 203 4 2% 0.80 −128.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.9% completed · 249 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 53 64.2% 2 3 12 2 0
Hurdle 196 84.2% 3 5 21 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Touch Of Gold (IRE)from John Joseph Murphy 53 5 12 16 Jul 21
Smithscorner (IRE)from Robert Tyner · then G Chambers 26 4 11 2 Aug 21
Majestic Maid (IRE) 22 3 6 23 Jan 22
Conquering Tara (IRE) 16 0 4 14 Oct 21
Magic Conqueror (IRE) 14 0 4 15 May 24
Heidi's Frontiere (IRE) 13 0 1 10 May 25
Roccos Inspiration (IRE)then Olly Murphy 13 0 8 26 Oct 23
Dundaniel (IRE)then Patrick J F Hassett 11 1 5 24 Jul 24
Whats Your Beef (IRE)then Tom Symonds 11 0 0 12 May 19
Jeronimo De L'ouch (FR) 9 0 1 30 Aug 24
Cloudy Morning (IRE)from Declan Queally · then Declan Queally 9 0 0 22 Jul 18
Tarqueens Glory (IRE) 8 1 1 6 Aug 21
All 51 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 51 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Olly Murphy (2); 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Olly Murphy (5) and Ruaidhri Joseph Tierney (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
005807598760
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPaddy Kennedy
19% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 1.19
RiderRWSR£1
Paddy Kennedy 67 5 7.5% −35.84
Michael O'Sullivan 56 4 7.1% −5.50
Jack Kennedy 33 1 3% −18.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
17
Archived wins
£261k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 4 wins
Smithscorner (IRE) — Tote Proud Sponsor Of The Galway Races Handicap Chase Galway · Jul 2020
£17,700
Majestic Maid (IRE) — Galway Shopping Centre Irish EBF Mares Flat Race Galway · Aug 2019
£10,047
Smithscorner (IRE) — Laurels Pub & Restaurant Handicap Chase (0-130) Killarney · Aug 2020
£9,440
Notable horses
Touch Of Gold (IRE) Smithscorner (IRE) Majestic Maid (IRE) Dundaniel (IRE) Tarqueens Glory (IRE) Salt Wind (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Papal Bull (GB) 9.4% · 5–53
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,585 runs since 2012 (131 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.5% from 173. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.3% from 122.
Shirocco (GER) 10.3% · 4–39
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,198 runs since 2010 (925 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Presenting (GB) 2.8% · 1–36
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Kadeed (IRE) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 6.5% of 245 runs since 2008 (24 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.6% from 114.
Getaway (GER) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,011 runs since 2016 (1,032 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,885 runs since 2008 (1,464 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 354 · newest first

The latest 50 of 354 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 March 2015 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) On A Diamond (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 8th 66/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) On A Diamond (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Follow Us On Instagram Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 16 ran 12th 200/1
30 May 26 Listowel On A Diamond (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Anglo Printers Remembering John H. Kierans Mares Hurdle16.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 500/1
10 May 26 Cork On A Diamond (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 14 ran 11th 150/1
14 Apr 26 Clonmel On A Diamond (IRE)J: John Hayes-Holland Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race20f · Yielding · 8 ran 7th 33/1
02 Oct 25 Clonmel Fancy A Tipple (IRE)J: Jake Coen Kilmore Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 12 ran 9th 20/1
17 Jul 25 Killarney Fancy A Tipple (IRE)J: Jake Coen Laurels Pub Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 6th 50/1
11 Jul 25 Cork Boogie On Down (IRE)J: Mr Alan O'Sullivan Racing Again July 25th Fillies Flat Race17f · Good · 16 ran 9th 80/1
04 Jul 25 Wexford Fancy A Tipple (IRE)J: Jake Coen Thomas Donovan Construction Maiden Hurdle24.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 125/1
04 Jul 25 Wexford Dream Diamond (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Shamrock Enterprises Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 7/2
31 May 25 Listowel Boogie On Down (IRE)J: Thomas O'Connor Oliver Broderick (Pro/Am) Fillies Flat Race16.5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 50/1
31 May 25 Listowel Fancy A Tipple (IRE)J: Jake Coen Eamon Foran Memorial Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 17 ran 6th 100/1
31 May 25 Listowel Dream Diamond (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Join The Listowel Races Supporters Club Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 10/3
11 May 25 Killarney Dream Diamond (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Mongey Communications Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 7/2
10 May 25 Cork Boogie On Down (IRE)J: Mr Alan O'Sullivan Irish Stallion Farms EBF 4-y-o Fillies Flat Race16.5f · Good · 15 ran 7th 10/1
10 May 25 Cork Heidi's Frontiere (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Dine In Our Panoramic Restaurant Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24.5f · Good · 16 ran 12th 11/1
10 May 25 Cork Fancy A Tipple (IRE)J: Jake Coen Racing Again May 20th Maiden Hurdle24.5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 16/1
24 Apr 25 Kilbeggan Heidi's Frontiere (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)18f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 9th 8/1
20 Apr 25 Cork Dream Diamond (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien Finbarr Quaid Electrical (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Yielding · 14 ran 7th 25/1
27 Mar 25 Clonmel Heidi's Frontiere (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Glenary Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)18.5f · Good · 13 ran BD 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael G Kennedy's strike rate?
Michael G Kennedy has won 17 of 354 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael G Kennedy do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 3 wins from 45 runners (6.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael G Kennedy?
Paddy Kennedy, with 67 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (7.5%).
Is Michael G Kennedy in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Michael G Kennedy's Fair A/E?
0.74, from 353 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).