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Trainer profile

Miss Evanna McCutcheon

407 runners in the lifetime window · 52 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–407
Wins / Runs
2.5%
Strike rate
n=407
58 (14%)
Placed
0.53
n=407 · 0.43 incl. margin
−300.44
£1 level stake
n=407 at SP · −73.8%
£378k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.53). In Group and Graded company the record reads 6% (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 407 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Seamie Heffernan: 0% from 51 Claiming riders: 3.1% Group/Graded: 5.6%
The read

The record is strongest at Cork (6.1%, n=33), clear of the yard's 2.5% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 5.6% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.51). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −113.17 to a £1 stake over 192 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Seamie Heffernan rides 13% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (0% vs 2.5%, A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well in Class 1 (5.6%, n=36). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Duke Of York Clipper Logistics Stakes at York (May 2014, £56,710).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.3%−1.2
n=79 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −38.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.5
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.5
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.5
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.5
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
15.4%
n=13 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −6.77
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.1%+0.6
n=192 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −113.17
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.6%+3.1
n=36 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 5.1% vs 2.5% · n=138
At Cork 6.1% vs 2.5% · n=33
In Class 1 5.6% vs 2.5% · n=36
In Group / Graded races 5.6% vs 2.5% · n=36
With Seamie Heffernan 0% vs 2.5% · n=51
At trips under 6f 5.1% vs 2.5% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 214 7 3.3% −159.94
Hurdle 153 3 2% −100.50
Chase 27 0 0% −27.00
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 125 1 0.8% −119.00
Soft 119 3 2.5% −60.50
Good to Soft 69 1 1.4% −62.00
Heavy 47 1 2.1% −40.00
Standard (AW) 25 2 8% −15.67
Good to Firm 22 2 9.1% −3.27

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 36 0 0% −36.00
Cork 33 2 6.1% −26.77
Gowran Park 26 1 3.8% −9.00
Dundalk (AW) 25 2 8% −15.67
Punchestown 24 0 0% −24.00
Naas 22 0 0% −22.00
Listowel 19 0 0% −19.00
Limerick 18 0 0% −18.00
Ballinrobe 18 0 0% −18.00
Killarney 17 0 0% −17.00
Tipperary 16 0 0% −16.00
Navan 15 1 6.7% −8.00
Leopardstown 14 0 0% −14.00
Clonmel 13 0 0% −13.00
Fairyhouse 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 36 2 5.6% −17.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 2 1 50% +5.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 2 11.8% 0.49 −10.77
2nd–3rd fav 24 4 16.7% 1.26 −1.67
4th–6th fav 66 1 1.5% 0.22 −59.00
7th+ in betting 300 3 1% 0.43 −229.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Maarek (GB)from B Lalor 61 3 11 3 Nov 19
Send Harry (IRE) 24 2 10 30 Oct 26
Londonofficecallin (IRE)then E McNamara 23 0 4 16 Feb 23
Our Jerry (IRE) 21 2 9 31 Oct 19
Crocosmia (IRE) 18 0 3 27 May 19
Roccorionach (IRE)then T Shanahan 14 0 1 20 Aug 22
Rosmarine (GB) 14 0 0 17 Jul 19
Rajjnatin (IRE)then Ian Patrick Donoghue 12 0 0 22 Jan 26
Aqua Regia (IRE)from David Peter Nagle 12 0 0 20 Sep 16
Stadius (IRE)from Mark Johnston · then David Peter Nagle 10 0 1 12 Jun 17
Bayswater Bloom (IRE) 9 0 1 12 Nov 26
All 52 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 52 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from B Lalor (4) and Kieran P Cotter (3); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for T Shanahan (4) and David Peter Nagle (3); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
095032222400
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSeamie Heffernan
13% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Seamie Heffernan 51 0 0% −51.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
10
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£378k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 2 wins
Maarek (GB) — Duke Of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) York · May 2014 · Group 2
£56,710
Maarek (GB) — totescoop6 Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed) Beverley · Aug 2015 · Listed
£29,600
Hanney Boy (IRE) — Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Cork (IRE) · Jul 2026
£15,000

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pivotal (GB) 3.4% · 3–87
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,790 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Jeremy (USA) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Rajj (IRE) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 6.8% of 468 runs since 2015 (46 horses).
Harry Angel (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 12.6% of 2,803 runs since 2022 (266 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.2% from 340.
Alhebayeb (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,639 runs since 2018 (160 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11.5% from 253.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,249 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 407 · newest first

The latest 50 of 407 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 February 2014 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Aug 26 York Hanney Boy (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · to 12 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Miss Evanna McCutcheon's strike rate?
Miss Evanna McCutcheon has won 10 of 407 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Miss Evanna McCutcheon do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 2 wins from 33 runners (6.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Miss Evanna McCutcheon?
Seamie Heffernan, with 51 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 0 (0%).
Is Miss Evanna McCutcheon in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Miss Evanna McCutcheon's Fair A/E?
0.53, from 407 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).