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Trainer profile

Mrs C O'Leary

260 runners in the lifetime window · 53 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
18–260
Wins / Runs
6.9%
Strike rate
n=260
49 (19%)
Placed
1.13
Fair A/E
n=260 · 0.89 incl. margin
−54.17
£1 level stake
n=260 at SP · −20.8%
£382k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13).

Deterministic profile computed from 260 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.6%
The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.42). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (11.5%, n=78) and off a 31-60-day break (10.2%, n=59). The record reads poorly in Chase races — 2.2% over 45 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.66 across 82 runners (3.7% strike, −37.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Otterstown Lady (IRE) — 6 wins from 24 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.6%+0.7
n=66 · A/E 1.60 · £1 −20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
2.6%−4.3
n=38 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −34.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.9
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.9
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
8.3%
n=12 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −8.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.7%−0.2
n=105 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −22.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 11.5% vs 6.9% · n=78
In Chase races 2.2% vs 6.9% · n=45
With horses switching code 3.1% vs 6.9% · n=64
With new recruits 2.6% vs 6.9% · n=38
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 3.7% vs 6.9% · n=82
Off a 31-60-day break 10.2% vs 6.9% · n=59
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 109 9 8.3% +11.00
Flat 95 8 8.4% −12.67
Chase 45 1 2.2% −41.50
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 84 5 6% +9.00
Good 81 4 4.9% −51.00
Heavy 41 4 9.8% +9.50
Good to Soft 27 1 3.7% −17.00
Standard (AW) 15 4 26.7% +7.33
Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Navan 22 1 4.5% −18.50
Fairyhouse 22 2 9.1% +3.00
Leopardstown 18 1 5.6% −8.00
Punchestown 18 2 11.1% −2.00
Roscommon 16 1 6.3% −3.00
Cork 16 1 6.3% +3.00
Galway 14 0 0% −14.00
Dundalk (AW) 13 3 23.1% +5.33
Down Royal 13 1 7.7% −2.00
Naas 10 1 10% +7.00
Gowran Park 9 0 0% −9.00
Kilbeggan 8 0 0% −8.00
Curragh 8 0 0% −8.00
Bellewstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Listowel 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 6 2 33.3% +32.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 2 11.8% 0.57 −8.00
2nd–3rd fav 30 6 20% 1.54 +8.83
4th–6th fav 51 5 9.8% 1.31 +1.00
7th+ in betting 162 5 3.1% 1.07 −56.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Conright Boy (IRE) 40 5 14 13 Mar 21
Otterstown Lady (IRE) 23 6 8 19 Jun 11
Different Strokes (IRE)from Gerard Kelleher 16 0 2 26 Dec 22
Jo Go (IRE) 16 3 4 2 Dec 16
Our Secret Pearl (GB)then Anthony McCann 12 0 1 15 Aug 21
Princess Soricha (IRE) 10 0 0 26 May 11
Gertoni (IRE) 8 0 0 7 Nov 17
Siberion (GER)from A J Martin 8 0 1 5 Sep 11
Road To Rio (IRE) 7 0 0 28 Mar 09
Munroh (GB)from A Fabre · then A J Martin 5 0 0 30 Oct 24
Orandi (FR)from A J Martin · then A J Martin 5 0 5 20 Oct 24
Nibiru (IRE)from A J Martin · then Jack Jones 5 1 1 18 Oct 24
All 53 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 53 horses listed, 38 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A J Martin (26) and Gerard Keane (4); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for A J Martin (19) and Gavin Cromwell (2); 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1168205120336814
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDonagh Meyler
12% of all rides
3.3% SR · A/E 0.56
RiderRWSR£1
Donagh Meyler 30 1 3.3% −26.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
18
Archived wins
£384k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Alphonse Le Grande (IRE) — Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · Oct 2024 · Class 2
£90,195
Otterstown Lady (IRE) — Bewleys Hotels & EBF National Hunt Fillies Bumper Punchestown · Apr 2008
£49,000
Alphonse Le Grande (IRE) — JenningsBet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race For The Northumberland Plate) Newcastle (AW) · Jun 2024 · Class 2
£38,655
Notable horses
Otterstown Lady (IRE) Conright Boy (IRE) Jo Go (IRE) Alphonse Le Grande (IRE) Nibiru (IRE) En Or (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Chevalier (IRE) 12.5% · 5–40
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,683 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.9% from 417.
Indian Danehill (IRE) 25% · 6–24
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,742 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.9% from 143.
Old Vic (GB) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,025 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Pearl Secret (GB) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.8% of 898 runs since 2020 (73 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13% from 131. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.6% from 308. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.6% from 337.
Fascinating Rock (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,123 runs since 2020 (101 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 294 · newest first

The latest 50 of 294 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 May 2005 to 30 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 24 Dundalk (AW) Belles Feuilles (FR)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Dundalk Stadium Optional Claiming Race8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 25/1
30 Oct 24 Dundalk (AW) Munroh (GB)J: Darragh O'Sullivan Dundalk Stadium Optional Claiming Race8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 33/1
23 Oct 24 Navan Young Lucy (IRE)J: James Ryan Navan Racing Festival Real Deal Package On Sale Now Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)14f · Yielding · 20 ran 5th 16/1
23 Oct 24 Navan Movie King (IRE)J: Ben Coen Navan Racing Festival Real Deal Package On Sale Now Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)14f · Yielding · 19 ran 18th 28/1
21 Oct 24 Gowran Park Secret Rock (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Racing Again November 9th Handicap12f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 7th 40/1
20 Oct 24 Sedgefield Good Time Jonny (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan bet365 Durham National Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 29f · Good · 7 ran 4th 6/5F
20 Oct 24 Leopardstown Munroh (GB)J: Robbie Colgan Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap (50-80)10f · Heavy · 20 ran 20th 66/1
20 Oct 24 Leopardstown Belles Feuilles (FR)J: Seamie Heffernan Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap (50-80)10f · Heavy · 20 ran 15th 40/1
20 Oct 24 Leopardstown Orandi (FR)J: Sam Coen Foxrock Cup Handicap8f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 4/1
18 Oct 24 Dundalk (AW) Jackie Brown (IRE)J: Ben Coen William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 12/1
18 Oct 24 Dundalk (AW) Firstman (FR)J: Sam Coen Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 13/2
18 Oct 24 Dundalk (AW) Nibiru (IRE)J: James Ryan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 10/3
16 Oct 24 Punchestown Read To Return (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Morell Suite At Punchestown (Q.R.) Handicap Chase23f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 4th 4/1J
14 Oct 24 Roscommon Palo Duro (IRE)J: Colin Keane On-Course Vets Handicap (50-80)12f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 5/2F
13 Oct 24 Naas Pralognan (FR)J: Sam Coen TRM - From Ireland To The World Apprentice Handicap (47-75)10.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 5th 17/2
12 Oct 24 Naas Orandi (FR)J: Shane Foley Oktoberfest Weekend Handicap7f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 13/2
12 Oct 24 Newmarket Alphonse Le Grande (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 18f · Soft · 24 ran 1st 33/1
12 Oct 24 Fairyhouse Fairytale New York (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle (80-95)18.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 22/1
10 Oct 24 Tramore Aurea Fortuna (IRE)J: Daniel King Waterford Greenway Beginners Chase20.5f · Yielding · 10 ran 4th 16/1
09 Oct 24 Navan Jackie Brown (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Apprentice Handicap (47-65)6f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 2nd 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs C O'Leary's strike rate?
Mrs C O'Leary has won 18 of 260 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs C O'Leary's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 260 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).