Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). In Group and Graded company the record reads 16% (63 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 417 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceFired Mar–Apr52.2% when favouriteDavid Cottin: 22.5% from 80Group/Graded: 15.9%Sent off the favourite in 11% of races
The read
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (3.8% over 53 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 15.9% (n=63, Fair A/E 1.03), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 7.3% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.30). David Cottin rode 19% of the entries and beats the yard's average (22.5% vs 12.7%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly on Heavy going — 6.8% over 74 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grande Course de Haies d'Auteuil at Auteuil (FR) (Jun 2014, £138,750). The stable star of the record was Gemix (FR) — 12 wins from 29 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Mar–Apr.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.6%−2.1
n=123 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −46.40
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.3%−5.4
n=41 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −26.30
Debutants · first career start
8%−4.7
n=87 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −32.10
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.5%−8.2
n=22 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−12.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
52.2%
n=46 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +61.40
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.3%−4.4
n=36 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −2.10
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
15.9%+3.2
n=63 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −7.60
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners28% vs 12.7% · n=50
With C&D winners25.4% vs 12.7% · n=67
With David Cottin22.5% vs 12.7% · n=80
At Deauville (FR)3.8% vs 12.7% · n=53
At Chantilly (FR)5% vs 12.7% · n=40
On Heavy going6.8% vs 12.7% · n=74
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat205209.8%−2.60
Hurdle1582515.8%−46.40
Chase54814.8%−12.60
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft1773117.5%+25.90
Heavy7456.8%−41.10
Standard (AW)7456.8%−24.00
Good5347.5%−24.00
Good to Soft38718.4%−8.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)1221713.9%−39.20
Enghien (FR)64914.1%−20.50
Deauville (FR)5323.8%−25.80
Chantilly (FR)4025%−25.90
Saint-Cloud (FR)3438.8%−15.80
Longchamp (FR)2926.9%+10.70
Maisons-Laffitte (FR)20210%−3.20
Lyon Parilly17847.1%+21.90
Compiegne5240%+9.80
Lyon-La Soie5360%+35.80
Cagnes-Sur-Mer300%−2.00
Fontainebleau300%−3.00
Salon-de-Provence200%—
Nancy200%−2.00
Moulins200%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1631015.9%−7.60
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite472451.1%1.35+60.40
2nd–3rd fav671014.9%0.94−8.00
4th–6th fav118108.5%1.08−9.50
7th+ in betting15221.3%0.39−104.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f1632515.3%−43.50
1m2f – 1m4f871011.5%+22.20
1m5f – 2m58610.3%−28.00
1m – 1m1f49510.2%−12.50
6f – 7f3339.1%+1.50
2m5f – 3m2428.3%−11.30
Over 3m22100%+11.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20089222.2%−2.00
20098225%—
201039820.5%+3.20
201155814.5%+1.30
201250612%−8.60
2013961212.5%+21.60
20148078.8%−34.50
20155048%−30.40
201629413.8%−11.20
2018100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps123118.9%−46.20
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners11443.5%−80.20
11-13 runners901011.1%−30.90
8-10 runners76911.8%+7.40
17+ runners5359.4%−10.40
2-4 runners451431.1%+14.30
5-7 runners35720%−0.80
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 128 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Y Durepaire (2); 46 had their first archived run for this yard.
24 have since run for another yard, most often for P Nador (3) and David Pipe (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
140181611181101381113
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
60
Archived wins
10
Pattern / graded wins
£2.28m
Prize money
2013
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Gemix (FR) — Grande Course de Haies d'Auteuil (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2014 · Grade 1
£138,750
Gemix (FR) — Grande Course de Haies d'Auteuil (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2013 · Grade 1
£135,366
Gemix (FR) — Prix Leon Rambaud (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2013 · Grade 2
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,032 runs since 2010 (114 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 15% from 160. Weakest on Good going: 6.7% from 270.
Enrique (GB)10.8% · 4–37
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,601 runs since 2008 (289 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.9% from 370. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.8% from 462. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.6% from 347.
Lando (GER)9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 10.6% of 1,772 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.2% from 431. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 168.
Martaline (GB)0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,350 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Progeny have won 10% of 3,489 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE)21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 439 · newest first
The latest 50 of 439 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 July 2005 to 23 November 2018.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is N Bertran De Balanda's strike rate?
N Bertran De Balanda has won 53 of 417 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does N Bertran De Balanda do best at?
Enghien (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 64 runners (14.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for N Bertran De Balanda?
David Cottin, with 80 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (22.5%).
What is N Bertran De Balanda's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 352 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
N Bertran De Balanda·SR 12.7%·A/E 1.00
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