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Trainer profile

N Stokes

159 runners in the lifetime window · 36 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 14 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–159
Wins / Runs
5%
Strike rate
n=159
38 (24%)
Placed
0.83
n=159 · 0.65 incl. margin
−79.57
£1 level stake
n=159 at SP · −50.0%
£131k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83).

Deterministic profile computed from 159 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026
The read

The yard also reads well in Flat races (8.9%, n=56). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 41 runners, 5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.40 across 53 runners (1.9% strike, −36.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Curraheen Princess (IRE) — 5 wins from 23 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.9%+1.9
n=29 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.0
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.0
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
33.3%+28.3
n=3 · A/E 5.30 · £1 +23.00
When favourite
12.5%
n=8 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −5.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.3%−1.7
n=60 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 5% · n=41
With a new jockey booking 1.3% vs 5% · n=75
In Flat races 8.9% vs 5% · n=56
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.9% vs 5% · n=53
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.5% vs 5% · n=40
With claiming riders up 3.3% vs 5% · n=60 · A/E 0.66
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 86 3 3.5% −36.50
Flat 56 5 8.9% −26.07
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 62 3 4.8% −40.67
Soft 45 3 6.7% −19.40
Heavy 24 0 0% −24.00
Good to Soft 15 1 6.7% +11.00
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Firm 6 1 16.7% +0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 20 1 5% −13.50
Wexford 14 1 7.1% +3.00
Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00
Curragh 11 0 0% −11.00
Navan 11 3 27.3% +9.83
Tramore 10 0 0% −10.00
Clonmel 9 0 0% −9.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Dundalk (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00
Killarney 5 0 0% −5.00
Limerick 5 1 20% +21.00
Punchestown 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 1 12.5% 0.53 −5.90
2nd–3rd fav 19 2 10.5% 0.86 −8.17
4th–6th fav 47 4 8.5% 1.23 −6.50
7th+ in betting 85 1 1.2% 0.46 −59.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Curraheen Princess (IRE)from D Donovan 23 5 12 8 Dec 23
Mother's Best (IRE) 13 0 3 4 Jul 19
Artists Daughter (IRE) 10 0 4 8 Oct 16
Miss Maxfort (IRE)then D Donovan 9 1 2 15 Aug 25
Arguidos (IRE)then Eoin Doyle 9 1 3 21 Oct 10
Glamorous Gold (IRE)then Lucy Normile 8 0 1 29 Oct 18
Mister Victor (IRE) 7 0 1 27 Sep 14
Donbeg Reel (IRE) 6 0 0 1 Jun 23
Red Sea Girl (IRE) 5 0 3 23 Jul 26
Vadsa Queen (IRE)from W P Mullins 5 0 2 20 Oct 24
Olivine Queen (IRE) 5 0 1 16 Aug 24
Coulrophobia (IRE) 5 0 0 21 Mar 24
All 36 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 36 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00001265061500
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Daniel King 22 0 0% −22.00
Ben Dalton 13 0 0% −13.00
Joe Doyle 12 3 25% +8.83
Phillip Enright 8 0 0% −8.00
Ms J I Stokes 7 1 14.3% +19.00
Alan Crowe 6 0 0% −6.00
Mr D Doyle 6 1 16.7% +11.00
Andrew Slattery 6 2 33.3% +3.10
Wayne Lordan 5 0 0% −5.00
Patrick Corbett 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr R O Harding 5 0 0% −5.00
Seamie Heffernan 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
8
Archived wins
£131k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 3 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Curraheen Princess (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Down Royal · Jun 2023
£13,865
Curraheen Princess (IRE) — P.F. 'Mutt' Conlon Memorial Handicap Navan · Sep 2022
£12,980
Curraheen Princess (IRE) — Indaver Ireland Handicap Bellewstown · Jul 2023
£10,620

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 21.7% · 5–23
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,381 runs since 2020 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
Marienbard (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 6.7% of 549 runs since 2013 (54 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3% from 100.
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,846 runs since 2009 (942 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Order Of St George (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,166 runs since 2023 (200 horses).
Winged Love (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Gold Well (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 172 · newest first

The latest 50 of 172 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 February 2006 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is N Stokes's strike rate?
N Stokes has won 8 of 159 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is N Stokes's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 159 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).