What is N. W. Alexander's strike rate?

N. W. Alexander has won 343 of 3,134 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does N. W. Alexander do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 96 wins from 720 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for N. W. Alexander?

Lucy Alexander, with 889 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 95 (10.7%).

Is N. W. Alexander in form?

In the last 14 days: 18 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 11.1%. That is in line with the baseline of 10.9% since 2008.

What is N. W. Alexander's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 3,126 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

N. W. Alexander

3,134 runners in the lifetime window · 250 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 7.0% of 244 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 8 Nov 2026.

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

343–3,134

Wins / Runs

10.9%

Strike rate

n=3,134

861 (28%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=3,126 · 0.91 incl. margin

−502.08

£1 level stake

n=3,134 at SP · −16.0%

£3.31m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). In Group and Graded company the record reads 13% (39 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,134 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 38.5% when favourite Lucy Alexander: 10.7% from 889 Claiming riders: 11.4% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

It is weakest at Perth (6.4% over 421 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 3.1% (n=127, Fair A/E 0.53). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 7.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −70.75 to a £1 stake over 124 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Lucy Alexander rides 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.7%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the BetVictor Rehearsal Handicap Chase at Newcastle (Dec 2018, £39,865). The stable star of the record: Clan Legend (GB) — 11 wins from 44 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.7%−2.2

n=804 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −91.59

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.2%−2.7

n=122 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −33.30

Debutants · first career start

3.1%−7.8

n=127 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −75.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.3%−3.6

n=124 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −70.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.5%−2.4

n=117 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −49.17

When favourite

38.5%

n=221 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +19.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.4%+0.5

n=1,329 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −162.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.8%+1.9

n=39 · A/E 1.77 · £1 +9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 3.1% vs 10.9% · n=127

On last-time-out winners 16.8% vs 10.9% · n=346

With Brian Hughes 17.7% vs 10.9% · n=79

With C&D winners 15.5% vs 10.9% · n=491

At Perth 6.4% vs 10.9% · n=421

With Sean Quinlan 16.7% vs 10.9% · n=108

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 20.5% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,833 185 10.1% −353.09

Chase 1,074 145 13.5% −37.64

NH Flat 215 13 6% −99.35

Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 1,078 129 12% +10.94

Good to Soft 814 78 9.6% −217.10

Good 645 60 9.3% −169.37

Heavy 562 76 13.5% −91.55

Good to Firm 27 0 0% −27.00

Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 720 96 13.3% −46.61

Kelso 650 75 11.5% −21.60

Perth 421 27 6.4% −57.75

Newcastle 310 36 11.6% −98.74

Musselburgh 283 30 10.6% −111.25

Carlisle 232 21 9.1% −67.06

Hexham 216 26 12% −29.08

Haydock 84 9 10.7% −12.07

Wetherby 62 5 8.1% −28.84

Sedgefield 37 2 5.4% −31.00

Cartmel 24 3 12.5% −11.75

Aintree 23 5 21.7% +35.00

Doncaster 22 4 18.2% +9.50

Catterick 19 2 10.5% −13.33

Cheltenham 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,450 156 10.8% −224.05

Class 5 904 98 10.8% −159.93

Class 3 465 63 13.5% −55.81

Class 2 157 12 7.6% −65.49

Class 6 111 9 8.1% +2.20

Class 1 47 5 10.6% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 268 97 36.2% 1.22 +24.20

2nd–3rd fav 735 128 17.4% 1.00 −77.78

4th–6th fav 1,147 93 8.1% 1.02 −196.50

7th+ in betting 984 25 2.5% 0.79 −252.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m5f – 3m 1,113 127 11.4% −82.58

2m1f – 2m4f 952 117 12.3% −203.42

1m5f – 2m 873 76 8.7% −253.58

Over 3m 191 23 12% +42.50

1m2f – 1m4f 3 0 0% −3.00

1m – 1m1f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 45 2 4.4% −35.12

2009 25 1 4% −10.00

2010 45 3 6.7% +9.50

2011 89 7 7.9% −18.75

2012 141 20 14.2% −7.35

2013 168 21 12.5% +9.75

2014 175 19 10.9% −7.20

2015 225 21 9.3% −70.92

2016 218 24 11% −121.53

2017 174 17 9.8% −34.25

2018 202 19 9.4% −59.46

2019 198 23 11.6% −78.98

2020 149 21 14.1% +20.96

2021 239 26 10.9% +19.77

2022 185 26 14.1% −27.67

2023 230 30 13% −17.67

2024 225 27 12% −34.70

2025 238 21 8.8% +20.84

2026 163 15 9.2% −59.30

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,191 271 12.4% −207.13

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,189 116 9.8% −253.08

5-7 runners 782 121 15.5% −58.22

11-13 runners 715 55 7.7% −50.60

14-16 runners 284 15 5.3% −135.42

2-4 runners 118 31 26.3% −4.76

17+ runners 46 5 10.9% +0.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.9% completed · 2,907 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,074 76.5% 45 42 162 0 3

Hurdle 1,833 83.5% 34 25 237 3 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jet Master (IRE)from Sue Bradburne 49 8 17 28 Mar 19

Calivigny (IRE) 48 8 17 21 Dec 21

Landecker (IRE) 47 6 15 19 Feb 21

Clan Legend (GB) 44 11 17 1 Feb 23

Another Mattie (IRE)from Eoin Christopher McCarthy 44 3 15 15 May 19

Dubai Days (IRE)from Eugene M O'Sullivan 42 10 18 15 Oct 26

Mcginty's Dream (IRE) 41 5 9 12 Jun 21

Elvis Mail (FR) 39 10 15 13 Feb 26

Little Glenshee (IRE) 37 6 16 16 Jan 17

Ned Tanner (IRE) 36 6 11 7 Nov 26

Benny's Secret (IRE) 36 7 12 22 Apr 21

Isla Pearl Fisher (GB)from Lucinda Russell 36 8 11 20 Aug 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 250 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 18 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sue Bradburne (4); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 57 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 18 11.1% · +0.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days11.1%

Lifetime base10.9%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

91113101013608111113

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLucy Alexander

28% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 1.06

RiderRWSR£1

Lucy Alexander 889 95 10.7% −148.98

Bruce Lynn 657 77 11.7% +30.72

Mr Kit Alexander 272 29 10.7% −56.67

Grant Cockburn 194 19 9.8% +44.75

Stephen Mulqueen 126 12 9.5% −79.83

Danny McMenamin 115 19 16.5% −8.57

Conor O'Farrell 112 14 12.5% −36.35

Sean Quinlan 108 18 16.7% +10.45

Brian Hughes 79 14 17.7% −13.08

Peter Buchanan 66 6 9.1% −31.12

Brian Harding 62 5 8.1% −32.55

Henry Brooke 56 4 7.1% −34.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

349

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.36m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 30 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lake View Lad (IRE) — BetVictor Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Listed) Newcastle · Dec 2018 · Listed

£39,865

Wakool (FR) — Betfred Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Haydock · Feb 2023 · Grade 2

£34,170

Lake View Lad (IRE) — William Hill Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Aintree · Dec 2020 · Grade 2

£28,135

Notable horses

Clan Legend (GB) Dubai Days (IRE) Elvis Mail (FR) Lake View Lad (IRE) Jet Master (IRE) Calivigny (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 12.8% · 18–141

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,883 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Gold Well (GB) 19.8% · 21–106

Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 10.8% · 10–93

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,290 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Craigsteel (GB) 7.8% · 6–77

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.

Oscar (IRE) 17.1% · 13–76

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Zagreb (USA) 6.6% · 5–76

Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,455 runs since 2008 (150 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,237 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,237 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Kelso Eloi Du Puy (FR)J: Bruce Lynn luckytiger.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed The Night Before Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 9th 40/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Ned Tanner (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan luckytiger.co.uk Bet 20 Win 20 Wishing Well Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 4th 2/1F

07 Nov 26 Kelso Jirko (FR)J: Sean Quinlan Fifty Shades Of Earl Grey Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 6/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Burning It Up (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Fifty Shades Of Earl Grey Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 9/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Lester Mail (FR)J: Bruce Lynn Graeme Todd Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 7/2F

07 Nov 26 Kelso Old Comrades (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Graeme Todd Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 10th 9/2

07 Nov 26 Kelso Whiskey On Ice (IRE)J: Dominic Hislop Jumps Look Better On Racing TV Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 3/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Ozzy Cosmo (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Equine Products National Hunt Trainers League Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 22/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Orkney Blue (GB)J: Kevin Brogan Pricedup Boosts And Bog Cumberland Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 26f · Good · 8 ran 6th 9/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Better Be Definite (GB)J: Bruce Lynn Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 10/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Anamanda (FR)J: Dominic Hislop Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 15/2

31 Oct 26 Ayr Platin Moon (FR)J: Bruce Lynn Bet With On Course Bookmakers Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 11/2

31 Oct 26 Ayr Ginger Mail (FR)J: Bruce Lynn '3b Crane Hire Trick Or Trot' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 5/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Cavalier Du Luy (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 7/2

31 Oct 26 Ayr My Kiwi Girl (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 33/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr The G Wizard (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn United Council Of Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 6/4F

31 Oct 26 Ayr Jirko (FR)J: Bruce Lynn Bsb Structural Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran UR 6/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Jackson Court (IRE)J: Dominic Hislop Ben Arthur's Bothy Of Arrochar Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran UR 9/1

24 Oct 26 Kelso Maillot Blanc (GB)J: Dominic Hislop Racingtv/freetrial Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Race (go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 13/2

24 Oct 26 Kelso Ballyfort (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Myles Mcnulty You'Re Never Sixty Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 15 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is N. W. Alexander's strike rate?: N. W. Alexander has won 343 of 3,134 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does N. W. Alexander do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 96 wins from 720 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for N. W. Alexander?: Lucy Alexander, with 889 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 95 (10.7%).
Is N. W. Alexander in form?: In the last 14 days: 18 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 11.1%. That is in line with the baseline of 10.9% since 2008.
What is N. W. Alexander's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 3,126 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.