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Trainer profile

Michael David Murphy

147 runners in the lifetime window · 25 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2009
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
8–147
Wins / Runs
5.4%
Strike rate
n=147
33 (22%)
Placed
0.83
Fair A/E
n=147 · 0.61 incl. margin
−80.80
£1 level stake
n=147 at SP · −55.0%
£155k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83).

Deterministic profile computed from 147 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well over 2m1f – 2m4f (11.1%, n=45). The record read poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 30 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Profile Systems Holdings October Handicap at Naas (IRE) (Oct 2007, £35,805). The stable star of the record was Jubilant Note (IRE) — 8 wins from 39 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.4
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.4
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.4
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
14.3%+8.9
n=7 · A/E 2.01 · £1 −4.25
When favourite
30%
n=10 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −2.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.2%−3.2
n=45 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −37.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 11.1% vs 5.4% · n=45
With Ken Whelan 0% vs 5.4% · n=31
On Heavy going 0% vs 5.4% · n=30
In Flat races 2.2% vs 5.4% · n=45
With claiming riders up 2.2% vs 5.4% · n=45
With horses switching code 7.7% vs 5.4% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 80 4 5% −41.80
Flat 45 1 2.2% −37.00
Chase 15 3 20% +5.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 42 2 4.8% −13.80
Soft 31 2 6.5% −20.75
Heavy 30 0 0% −30.00
Good to Soft 23 1 4.3% −17.00
Good to Firm 11 3 27.3% +10.75
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 17 0 0% −17.00
Cork 16 2 12.5% +3.00
Killarney 11 1 9.1% −5.00
Tipperary 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Roscommon 8 1 12.5% −5.25
Gowran Park 8 0 0% −8.00
Clonmel 7 0 0% −7.00
Navan 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Curragh 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Dundalk (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 4 4 1 25% −1.80
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 3 30% 1.14 −2.80
2nd–3rd fav 19 2 10.5% 0.83 −7.00
4th–6th fav 25 1 4% 0.60 −19.00
7th+ in betting 93 2 2.2% 0.67 −52.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jubilant Note (IRE)from D K Weld · then Gordon Elliott 16 4 10 10 Aug 09
Eight Up (IRE)from Edward P Harty · then Mrs Maureen Danagher 14 0 1 3 Jul 09
Margarets Girl (IRE)then Andrew Slattery 12 0 1 29 Dec 09
Arcadia Boy (IRE)from Declan Gillespie · then Donald McCain 11 0 2 15 Jul 09
Sivota (IRE)from Tom Tate · then W P Mullins 10 0 4 27 Dec 09
Qassas (GB)from Kevin Prendergast 10 0 1 18 Oct 09
Tetouan (GB)from Roger Charlton · then Gordon Elliott 9 1 2 29 Sep 08
Ballochroy (IRE)from B W Hills · then D T Hughes 8 0 0 27 Dec 09
Menwaal (FR)from Kevin Prendergast · then P J Rothwell 8 1 2 1 Apr 09
Mozamjer (GB)from D T Hughes 7 0 0 15 Jul 09
Hintsnallegations (IRE)from P J Colville 6 2 4 4 Oct 09
Apt To Run (USA)from Ed Dunlop · then Gordon Elliott 6 0 1 3 Aug 09
All 25 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 25 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Kevin Prendergast (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Gordon Elliott (3); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00005140117700
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKen Whelan
21% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Ken Whelan 31 0 0% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
22
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£390k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Menwaal (FR) — Profile Systems Holdings October Handicap (Premier Handicap) Naas (IRE) · Oct 2007
£35,805
Jubilant Note (IRE) — Listowel Supporters Club Lartigue Handicap Hurdle Listowel · Sep 2006 · Grade C
£35,805
Menwaal (FR) — Naas October Handicap Naas · Oct 2008
£32,550
Notable horses
Jubilant Note (IRE) Apt To Run (USA) Cellar Door (IRE) Menwaal (FR) Hintsnallegations (IRE) Qassas (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sadler's Wells (USA) 25% · 4–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.
Old Vic (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Sea Raven (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8% of 414 runs since 2008 (49 horses).
King's Theatre (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Nashwan (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.2% of 292 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Sakhee (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,981 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 611. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.2% from 139.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 256 · newest first

The latest 50 of 256 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 29 December 2009.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Dec 09 Limerick Margarets Girl (IRE)J: M P Butler Limerickraces.ie Handicap Chase (0-102)22f · Heavy · 14 ran F 14/1
27 Dec 09 Limerick Ballochroy (IRE)J: Ken Whelan Roches Feeds Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Heavy · 17 ran PU 12/1
27 Dec 09 Limerick Sivota (IRE)J: Ken Whelan Ggl Security Hurdle19f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 16/1
17 Dec 09 Clonmel Margarets Girl (IRE)J: Ken Whelan Irish Racing Yearbook Handicap Chase (0-109)20f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 20/1
15 Dec 09 Cork Ballochroy (IRE)J: Ken Whelan Fermoy Maiden Hurdle19f · Heavy · 16 ran 9th 33/1
13 Dec 09 Cork Margarets Girl (IRE)J: Ken Whelan Newmarket Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Soft To Heavy · 24 ran 22nd 25/1
05 Dec 09 Navan Ballochroy (IRE)J: Ken Whelan Kells Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 29 ran 19th 33/1
30 Nov 09 Fairyhouse (IRE) Ballochroy (IRE)J: Ken Whelan Fairyhouse Membership 2010 Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 16 ran 7th 33/1
24 Nov 09 Gowran Park Sivota (IRE)J: Ken Whelan Porters Saddlery Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Heavy · 11 ran F 7/1
05 Nov 09 Leopardstown Sivota (IRE)J: D J Moran Leopardstown November (Premier Handicap)16f · Heavy · 21 ran 20th 33/1
31 Oct 09 Naas Ballochroy (IRE)J: Ken Whelan Naas Annual Membership Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 22 ran 10th 33/1
26 Oct 09 Galway Sivota (IRE)J: Mr P A King Www.swordsecurity.com (q.r.) Race14f · Soft · 18 ran 14th 25/1
18 Oct 09 Cork Margarets Girl (IRE)J: Ken Whelan Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Novice Chase20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 66/1
18 Oct 09 Cork Qassas (GB)J: Ken Whelan Newmarket Handicap Hurdle (81-102)16f · Good · 22 ran 20th 16/1
11 Oct 09 Curragh Ballochroy (IRE)J: Michael Hussey Mongey Communictaions Handicap (60-90)14f · Soft · 20 ran 17th 25/1
06 Oct 09 Tipperary Margarets Girl (IRE)J: Ken Whelan Bally-k Beginners Chase20f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 8th 33/1
04 Oct 09 Tipperary Hintsnallegations (IRE)J: Tom Doyle Woodlands Hotel Adare Handicap Hurdle (81-123)20f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 4th 8/1
17 Sep 09 Listowel Ballochroy (IRE)J: Michael Hussey T.P. Walsh Memorial Handicap (60-90)12f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 14th 20/1
12 Sep 09 Curragh Ballochroy (IRE)J: Michael Hussey Ladbrokes.com Handicap10f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 20/1
09 Sep 09 Uttoxeter Margarets Girl (IRE)J: Brian Toomey Jo Evans Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 10th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael David Murphy's strike rate?
Michael David Murphy has won 8 of 147 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael David Murphy's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 147 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).