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Trainer profile

P M Cloke

217 runners in the lifetime window · 35 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2024 93% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
9–217
Wins / Runs
4.1%
Strike rate
n=217
28 (13%)
Placed
0.75
n=216 · 0.61 incl. margin
−115.50
£1 level stake
n=217 at SP · −53.2%
£122k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.75).

Deterministic profile computed from 217 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
The read

The record is strongest at Tramore (7.9%, n=38), clear of the yard's 4.1% baseline. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (9.1%, n=44) and over 2m5f – 3m (7.4%, n=54). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 0% over 68 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Bellgrove (IRE) — 5 wins from 79 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.9%−1.2
n=35 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −24.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.1
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.9%−0.2
n=76 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −34.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With J J Slevin 10.3% vs 4.1% · n=39
On Heavy going 9.1% vs 4.1% · n=44
In Hurdle races 0% vs 4.1% · n=68
In Chase races 7% vs 4.1% · n=129
At Tramore 7.9% vs 4.1% · n=38
Over 2m5f – 3m 7.4% vs 4.1% · n=54
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 129 9 7% −27.50
Hurdle 68 0 0% −68.00
Flat 15 0 0% −15.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 76 4 5.3% −42.50
Soft 66 1 1.5% −49.00
Heavy 44 4 9.1% +7.00
Good to Soft 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tramore 38 3 7.9% −10.50
Punchestown 21 1 4.8% −4.00
Thurles 20 1 5% −7.00
Clonmel 17 1 5.9% −9.00
Tipperary 14 0 0% −14.00
Limerick 13 0 0% −13.00
Fairyhouse 12 0 0% −12.00
Kilbeggan 11 0 0% −11.00
Wexford 11 0 0% −11.00
Cork 9 0 0% −9.00
Galway 8 0 0% −8.00
Roscommon 7 0 0% −7.00
Downpatrick 5 0 0% −5.00
Down Royal 5 2 40% +16.00
Dundalk (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 31 2 6.5% 0.48 −21.50
4th–6th fav 52 2 3.8% 0.53 −33.00
7th+ in betting 129 5 3.9% 1.49 −56.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
90.4% completed · 197 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 129 90.7% 0 1 11 0 0
Hurdle 68 89.7% 1 0 5 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bellgrove (IRE)from Ian Semple 79 5 20 12 Aug 22
Flynsini (IRE) 45 4 8 29 Jan 22
Our Lucas (IRE) 12 0 0 6 May 21
Katies Joy (IRE)from Ian Semple 8 0 0 11 Dec 15
Poets Touch (GB)from Andrew Slattery 6 0 0 22 Jul 21
I Am The Sea (GB)from William Haggas 5 0 0 16 Sep 23
Toursoun (IRE)from D K Weld 5 0 0 1 Aug 18
Swift Accordian (IRE)from C A Murphy · then Denis Paul Murphy 5 0 0 29 Aug 11
Wilton Star (IRE) 4 0 0 9 Apr 17
Generous Bond (IRE)then Thomas James 4 0 0 10 Apr 15
Coppola (IRE)then C A McBratney 3 0 0 5 Aug 24
Trongate (IRE)from Iain Jardine · then Daragh Bourke 3 0 0 12 Oct 19
All 35 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 35 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C A Murphy (3) and Ian Semple (3); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Daragh Bourke (2) and Linda Perratt (2); 24 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
5013509040570
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJ J Slevin
18% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 1.76
RiderRWSR£1
J J Slevin 39 4 10.3% +14.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
9
Archived wins
£123k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bellgrove (IRE) — Tramore Racecourse Directors Handicap Chase (0-109) Tramore · Jun 2019
£9,240
Flynsini (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109) Clonmel · Mar 2017
£8,624
Bellgrove (IRE) — Heinz Pollmeier Memorial Handicap Chase (0-109) Tramore · Aug 2018
£8,008

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gold Well (GB) 6.1% · 5–82
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).
Dr Massini (IRE) 8.9% · 4–45
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Jeremy (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,980 runs since 2013 (1,118 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 457. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Art Connoisseur (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7% of 1,171 runs since 2013 (75 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 212. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.2% from 169.
Poet's Voice (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10% of 6,046 runs since 2015 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 494. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 222 · newest first

The latest 50 of 222 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 February 2007 to 5 August 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Aug 24 Cork Coppola (IRE)J: J J Slevin Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 15th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P M Cloke's strike rate?
P M Cloke has won 9 of 217 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P M Cloke do best at?
Tramore by strike rate: 3 wins from 38 runners (7.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is P M Cloke's Fair A/E?
0.75, from 216 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).