What is Peter Niven's strike rate?

Peter Niven has won 153 of 1,712 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Peter Niven do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 14 wins from 106 runners (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Peter Niven?

Brian Hughes, with 231 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (9.5%).

Is Peter Niven in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Peter Niven's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 1,706 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Peter Niven

1,712 runners in the lifetime window · 174 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

153–1,712

Wins / Runs

8.9%

Strike rate

n=1,712

446 (26%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=1,706 · 0.88 incl. margin

−477.71

£1 level stake

n=1,712 at SP · −27.9%

£1.42m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). In Group and Graded company the record reads 15% (34 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,712 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 29.1% when favourite Brian Hughes: 9.5% from 231 Claiming riders: 9.7% Group/Graded: 14.7% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (26.7%, n=30), clear of the yard's 8.9% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 14.7% (n=34, Fair A/E 1.13), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.5% (n=57, Fair A/E 0.62). Brian Hughes rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.5%, A/E 0.95). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 37 runners, 8.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.51 across 377 runners (3.7% strike, −308.46 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betway Yorkshire Cup at York (May 2016, £90,736). The stable star of the record: Hurstwood (GB) — 11 wins from 81 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.7%−3.2

n=299 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −88.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.6%−5.3

n=55 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −26.00

Debutants · first career start

10.7%+1.8

n=103 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −12.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.5%−5.4

n=57 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −48.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.6%−4.3

n=65 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −30.50

When favourite

29.1%

n=103 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −9.53

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.7%+0.8

n=351 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +24.28

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.7%+5.8

n=34 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −11.63

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ayr 26.7% vs 8.9% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 8.9% · n=148

With Graham Lee 18.8% vs 8.9% · n=64

On Heavy going 0% vs 8.9% · n=37

In Class 4 3.7% vs 8.9% · n=377

With horses switching code 3.9% vs 8.9% · n=228

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 954 92 9.6% −154.28

Hurdle 424 23 5.4% −262.42

Chase 174 22 12.6% −9.99

NH Flat 160 16 10% −51.02

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 548 50 9.1% −125.07

Standard (AW) 405 39 9.6% −55.77

Good to Soft 291 22 7.6% −132.50

Good to Firm 233 22 9.4% −58.01

Soft 196 20 10.2% −67.36

Heavy 37 0 0% −37.00

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 178 15 8.4% −40.74

Market Rasen 142 13 9.2% −66.07

Catterick 126 11 8.7% −22.17

Wolverhampton (AW) 109 12 11% +13.25

Southwell (AW) 106 11 10.4% −17.90

Musselburgh 106 14 13.2% −14.50

Sedgefield 94 4 4.3% −70.50

Wetherby 92 7 7.6% −27.09

Redcar 78 10 12.8% +27.66

Newcastle 75 4 5.3% −50.90

Thirsk 70 4 5.7% −11.00

Ripon 61 6 9.8% −16.00

Beverley 51 4 7.8% −15.50

Doncaster 49 4 8.2% −20.00

Southwell 36 3 8.3% −11.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 581 74 12.7% +43.95

Class 5 577 42 7.3% −225.17

Class 4 377 14 3.7% −308.46

Class 3 76 10 13.2% +17.10

Class 2 48 5 10.4% −5.50

Class 1 39 6 15.4% −7.63

Class 7 13 2 15.4% +9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 127 33 26% 1.02 −21.95

2nd–3rd fav 336 58 17.3% 1.06 −13.26

4th–6th fav 543 39 7.2% 0.94 −142.50

7th+ in betting 706 23 3.3% 1.03 −300.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 526 54 10.3% −142.00

2m1f – 2m4f 283 15 5.3% −200.18

6f – 7f 280 31 11.1% +38.93

1m2f – 1m4f 254 25 9.8% −46.67

1m – 1m1f 185 13 7% −54.25

2m5f – 3m 88 4 4.5% −53.87

Under 6f 51 7 13.7% −19.67

Over 3m 45 4 8.9% +0.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 129 11 8.5% −26.00

2009 103 6 5.8% −55.50

2010 80 10 12.5% −27.25

2011 124 11 8.9% −33.92

2012 97 7 7.2% −5.75

2013 89 6 6.7% −54.00

2014 99 13 13.1% +11.37

2015 93 8 8.6% −57.14

2016 101 11 10.9% −36.87

2017 106 8 7.5% −37.37

2018 81 5 6.2% −45.25

2019 50 3 6% −25.00

2020 50 3 6% −19.99

2021 70 3 4.3% −35.75

2022 76 11 14.5% −10.29

2023 86 6 7% −28.00

2024 94 7 7.4% −41.30

2025 114 17 14.9% +36.80

2026 70 7 10% +13.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,192 120 10.1% −147.95

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 593 62 10.5% −131.84

11-13 runners 580 44 7.6% −131.57

5-7 runners 252 31 12.3% −76.96

14-16 runners 221 11 5% −98.00

17+ runners 51 1 2% −43.00

2-4 runners 15 4 26.7% +3.66

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hurstwood (GB)from Paul Midgley 81 11 22 26 Oct 26

Golden Future (GB)from Michael David Murphy 67 7 25 30 Sep 14

Beat The Shower (GB) 57 7 17 3 Jun 15

Sugar Baby (GB) 53 10 20 30 Oct 26

Clever Cookie (GB) 42 11 17 7 Sep 19

Barton Bounty (GB) 42 6 13 11 Apr 14

Malystic (GB) 41 9 17 1 Jan 26

Brian Boranha (IRE) 41 5 14 19 Jun 22

Celtic Step (GB)from Mark Johnston 32 2 13 26 Aug 13

Prospect House (IRE)from Jamie Albert Sloan 31 5 15 10 Oct 26

Misty Mani (GB) 29 3 10 7 Jun 24

Pinotage (GB)from Richard Whitaker · then Gordon Elliott 29 2 10 2 Mar 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 174 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G M Lyons (3) and Richard Hannon (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Roger Fell (2); 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1111799119128679

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBrian Hughes

13% of all rides
9.5% SR · A/E 0.95

RiderRWSR£1

Brian Hughes 231 22 9.5% −113.25

Tom Eaves 88 7 8% −33.67

James Sullivan 73 4 5.5% −57.37

Wilson Renwick 71 6 8.5% −15.88

Graham Lee 64 12 18.8% +5.63

Henry Brooke 61 4 6.6% −30.00

Paul Mulrennan 52 5 9.6% −2.25

Andrew Mullen 44 6 13.6% +12.75

Callum Bewley 44 2 4.5% −23.00

Cam Hardie 40 1 2.5% −23.00

Paul Hanagan 31 5 16.1% +0.50

Jamie Hamilton 31 2 6.5% −14.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

180

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.55m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 17 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Clever Cookie (GB) — Betway Yorkshire Cup (Group 2) (British Champions Series) York · May 2016 · Group 2

£90,736

Clever Cookie (GB) — Boodles Diamond Ormonde Stakes (25K Field Size Bonus Race) (Group 3) Chester · May 2015 · Group 3

£56,710

Malystic (GB) — Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Doncaster · Jan 2023 · Class 2

£26,405

Notable horses

Hurstwood (GB) Clever Cookie (GB) Sugar Baby (GB) Malystic (GB) Golden Future (GB) Beat The Shower (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 13.6% · 11–81

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,921 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 14.7% · 10–68

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,981 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Muhtarram (USA) 10.4% · 7–67

Progeny have won 12.3% of 837 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Good going: 17.8% from 270. Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 156.

Beat Hollow (GB) 12.3% · 7–57

Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,031 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Primo Valentino (IRE) 23.5% · 12–51

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,160 runs since 2008 (78 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 132. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.2% from 181. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 3.3% from 183.

Sulamani (IRE) 6.1% · 3–49

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,245 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,075 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,075 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Sugar Baby (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 22/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Nether Clova (IRE)J: Oisin McSweeney All-weather Championship Is Back Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 100/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Little Beck Annie (GB)J: Mark Winn AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 18/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Hurstwood (GB)J: Jake Dickson Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 18/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Jam Lass (GB)J: Mr Joshua Brown Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 7th 9/2

16 Oct 26 Redcar Sugar Baby (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 9th 7/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Hurstwood (GB)J: Jake Dickson Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 7th 10/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Little Beck Annie (GB)J: Mark Winn Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 22/1

10 Oct 26 Hexham Prospect House (IRE)J: William Maggs Blaydon Races Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 15.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 11/4J

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Popalot (GB)J: Brian Hughes Mowden Park Rfc Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 6th 18/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) West Sleekburn Lad (GB)J: Mr Eireann Cagney bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 11/2

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Prospect House (IRE)J: William Maggs F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 1st 14/1

26 Sep 26 Ripon Hurstwood (GB)J: Mark Winn Michael Raby Memorial Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 4th 7/2

24 Sep 26 Pontefract Jam Lass (GB)J: Cam Hardie Pontefract Prince Of Wales Hospice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good · 8 ran 4th 10/1

19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) West Sleekburn Lad (GB)J: Billy Garritty Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 13/2

15 Sep 26 Redcar Sugar Baby (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 12th 20/1

14 Sep 26 Thirsk Clova Royale (GB)J: Alex Jary Constant Security Services Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 10th 66/1

09 Sep 26 Redcar Hurstwood (GB)J: Mark Winn Visit Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 1st 6/1

09 Sep 26 Carlisle Little Beck Annie (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Quickstep Supporting Andersons Autumn Flooring Offers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

03 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Little Beck Annie (GB)J: Mark Winn Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 16 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · to 16 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Peter Niven's strike rate?: Peter Niven has won 153 of 1,712 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Peter Niven do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 14 wins from 106 runners (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Peter Niven?: Brian Hughes, with 231 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (9.5%).
Is Peter Niven in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Peter Niven's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 1,706 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.