What is Richard Spencer's strike rate?

Richard Spencer has won 260 of 2,364 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Richard Spencer do best at?

Windsor by strike rate: 11 wins from 56 runners (19.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Richard Spencer?

George Wood, with 232 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (13.8%).

Is Richard Spencer in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Richard Spencer's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 2,354 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Richard Spencer

2,364 runners in the lifetime window · 219 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.0% of 274 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 2 Nov 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 93% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

260–2,364

Wins / Runs

11%

Strike rate

n=2,364

713 (30%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=2,354 · 0.82 incl. margin

−658.80

£1 level stake

n=2,364 at SP · −27.9%

£4.51m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 13% off breaks of two months or more (362 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,364 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Apr Fresh horses: 13.3% 31.5% when favourite George Wood: 13.8% from 232 Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newmarket (0.8% over 122 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.6% (n=154, Fair A/E 0.56). Debutants are the standout value angle: 12.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.54 and +88.33 to a £1 stake over 194 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −0.42 to a £1 stake over 149 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. George Wood rides 10% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13.8% vs 11%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (22%, n=127) and in Class 6 (20.1%, n=338). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2.6% over 155 runners, 8.4pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes at Newbury (Jul 2026, £143,009). The stable star of the record: Bernardo O'Reilly (GB) — 8 wins from 56 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.3%+2.3

n=362 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −26.46

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−11.0

n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00

Debutants · first career start

12.4%+1.4

n=194 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +88.33

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.7%−4.3

n=149 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −0.42

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.6%+0.6

n=69 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −23.30

When favourite

31.5%

n=251 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −59.06

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9%−2.0

n=355 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −96.18

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.6%−8.4

n=154 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −111.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 22% vs 11% · n=127

In Class 6 20.1% vs 11% · n=338

At Newmarket 0.8% vs 11% · n=122

In Class 1 2.6% vs 11% · n=155

In Group / Graded races 2.6% vs 11% · n=154

With Saffie Osborne 19.7% vs 11% · n=127

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,208 242 11% −602.70

Hurdle 98 12 12.2% −27.85

Chase 39 4 10.3% −20.25

NH Flat 19 2 10.5% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 935 108 11.6% −291.43

Good to Firm 494 53 10.7% −187.29

Good 436 43 9.9% −94.93

Good to Soft 236 24 10.2% −35.17

Soft 197 25 12.7% −18.27

Heavy 59 7 11.9% −24.71

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chelmsford City (AW) 195 12 6.2% −81.97

Lingfield (AW) 183 26 14.2% −35.16

Kempton (AW) 177 18 10.2% −63.63

Wolverhampton (AW) 170 18 10.6% −71.66

Newmarket 133 13 9.8% −60.75

Southwell (AW) 123 19 15.4% −11.13

Newmarket 122 1 0.8% −110.00

Yarmouth 121 23 19% +2.56

Ascot 103 5 4.9% −43.00

Doncaster 95 6 6.3% −25.75

Newcastle (AW) 83 15 18.1% −23.88

Newbury 74 11 14.9% +61.25

York 64 3 4.7% −37.67

Goodwood 57 3 5.3% −37.50

Windsor 56 11 19.6% +21.45

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 705 79 11.2% −213.65

Class 4 576 61 10.6% −140.53

Class 2 360 21 5.8% −199.58

Class 6 338 68 20.1% +22.05

Class 3 226 27 11.9% −10.59

Class 1 155 4 2.6% −112.50

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 301 92 30.6% 0.96 −60.11

2nd–3rd fav 528 88 16.7% 1.01 −75.69

4th–6th fav 791 61 7.7% 0.97 −124.00

7th+ in betting 744 19 2.6% 0.79 −399.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Revich (IRE)then Adrian Wintle 59 7 23 28 Oct 24

Bernardo O'Reilly (GB) 56 8 17 18 May 24

Keyser Soze (IRE) 52 7 14 21 Jan 24

Waiting All Night (GB) 42 4 13 23 Oct 25

Champagne Supanova (IRE) 37 3 10 11 Jan 25

Rebel Surge (IRE)from Dave Morris 37 2 10 16 Dec 18

Lucky Man (IRE)then Jennie Candlish 35 5 14 24 Jan 25

Run Boy Run (GB) 33 5 17 19 Sep 26

Two Tribes (GB) 31 3 15 3 Oct 26

Shallow (GB) 30 5 17 5 Sep 26

Dandy Maestro (GB) 29 3 7 11 Oct 23

Stay Classy (IRE) 28 4 11 1 Feb 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 219 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dave Morris (2); 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Tony Carroll (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

131415129101212981312

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGeorge Wood

10% of all rides
13.8% SR · A/E 1.11

RiderRWSR£1

George Wood 232 32 13.8% −32.79

Hollie Doyle 144 19 13.2% −33.14

Angus Villiers 128 9 7% −26.30

Saffie Osborne 127 25 19.7% +8.13

Tom Queally 122 12 9.8% −25.70

Kieran Shoemark 103 7 6.8% −26.67

Stevie Donohoe 81 7 8.6% −19.42

Hayley Turner 76 11 14.5% −3.25

Adam Kirby 75 8 10.7% −28.08

Neil Callan 64 10 15.6% −14.68

James Bowen 54 8 14.8% −22.35

Jason Hart 47 5 10.6% −21.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

260

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.51m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 35 wins

Zigazig Ah (GB) — Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · Jul 2026 · Class 2

£143,009

Two Tribes (GB) — Coral Stewards' Cup (Heritage Handicap) Goodwood · Aug 2025 · Class 2

£128,850

Run Boy Run (GB) — Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Ayr · Sep 2025 · Class 2

£92,772

Notable horses

Bernardo O'Reilly (GB) Revich (IRE) Keyser Soze (IRE) Lucky Man (IRE) Run Boy Run (GB) Shallow (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Rajasinghe (IRE) 13.7% · 45–328

Progeny have won 12.7% of 763 runs since 2022 (60 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.9% from 328. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 9.3% from 140.

Camacho (GB) 7.2% · 8–111

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,324 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 6.1% · 6–99

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,582 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Dark Angel (IRE) 7.4% · 7–95

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,921 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Arcano (IRE) 11.4% · 9–79

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,647 runs since 2014 (262 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 147.

Requinto (IRE) 11.1% · 8–72

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,459 runs since 2016 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 223.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,364 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,364 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 April 2016 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Newmarket You Sexy Thing (IRE)J: George Wood Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 14th 10/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Born Slippy (GB)J: George Wood Oakenson Ltd Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 16/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster You Sexy Thing (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 18 ran 5th 11/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Righthere Rightnow (FR)J: George Wood Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 10/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Atmosphere (GB)J: Jack Callan CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 100/30F

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Kimbara (GB)J: Saffie Osborne CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 11/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Ice Cube (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 3/1J

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Yazoo (GB)J: George Wood bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 5/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Heart of Glass (GB)J: Finley Marsh Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 25/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Edge of Desire (GB)J: George Wood Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Speed of Sound (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Qatar Racing British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 9th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Ice Cube (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 2/1F

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Cuff It (FR)J: Saffie Osborne Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 25/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Clarice Starling (GB)J: George Wood British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 9/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Atmosphere (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 3/1F

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Starburster (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 3/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Great Balls O'Fire (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 6/5F

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Kimbara (GB)J: George Wood First Furnishings Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 6/1

10 Oct 26 Newmarket Motown Filly (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Dubai Racing Club Nursery Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 9/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Edge of Desire (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Free Bets On Attheraces.com Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Richard Spencer's strike rate?: Richard Spencer has won 260 of 2,364 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Spencer do best at?: Windsor by strike rate: 11 wins from 56 runners (19.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Richard Spencer?: George Wood, with 232 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (13.8%).
Is Richard Spencer in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Richard Spencer's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 2,354 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.