What is Sarah Hollinshead's strike rate?

Sarah Hollinshead has won 44 of 1,007 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sarah Hollinshead do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 3 wins from 38 runners (7.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Sarah Hollinshead in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Sarah Hollinshead's Fair A/E?

0.74, from 1,005 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Sarah Hollinshead

1,007 runners in the lifetime window · 82 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 10 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

44–1,007

Wins / Runs

4.4%

Strike rate

n=1,007

190 (19%)

Placed

0.74

Fair A/E

n=1,005 · 0.63 incl. margin

−542.90

£1 level stake

n=1,007 at SP · −53.9%

£376k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 9% (33 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,007 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Oct Headgear returns: 9.1%

The read

It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (0% over 50 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 9.1% (n=33, Fair A/E 1.46), but debutants struggle at 0% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.47 and −129.00 to a £1 stake over 208 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (9.8%, n=41). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 70 runners, 4.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Castlerea Tess (GB) — 6 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

1.9%−2.5

n=208 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −129.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

2%−2.4

n=50 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −46.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.4

n=33 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −33.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3%−1.4

n=33 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −28.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.1%+4.7

n=33 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +0.20

When favourite

26.1%

n=23 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −5.40

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.4%−1.0

n=388 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −204.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 9.8% vs 4.4% · n=41

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 4.4% · n=70

At Southwell (AW) 0% vs 4.4% · n=50

With headgear back on 9.1% vs 4.4% · n=33

With Kieran O'Neill 0% vs 4.4% · n=39

With C&D winners 7.3% vs 4.4% · n=218

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 765 34 4.4% −421.05

Hurdle 211 10 4.7% −90.85

NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00

Chase 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 542 21 3.9% −346.00

Good 211 9 4.3% −50.35

Good to Soft 96 5 5.2% −66.00

Good to Firm 77 6 7.8% −17.25

Soft 66 3 4.5% −48.30

Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 436 19 4.4% −265.00

Southwell (AW) 50 0 0% −50.00

Uttoxeter 42 1 2.4% −32.00

Chepstow 38 3 7.9% −1.50

Bangor-on-Dee 37 1 2.7% −33.25

Market Rasen 36 2 5.6% −19.25

Nottingham 35 1 2.9% −24.00

Bath 29 1 3.4% −25.75

Huntingdon 21 1 4.8% −13.50

Haydock 21 2 9.5% +10.20

Leicester 20 0 0% −20.00

Kempton (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00

Stratford 19 2 10.5% +35.75

Lingfield (AW) 19 2 10.5% +6.00

Ludlow 17 1 5.9% −15.60

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 558 29 5.2% −266.75

Class 5 255 7 2.7% −176.30

Class 4 159 8 5% −64.85

Class 3 19 0 0% −19.00

Class 7 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 29 8 27.6% 1.04 −2.65

2nd–3rd fav 105 19 18.1% 1.25 +18.25

4th–6th fav 299 9 3% 0.43 −181.50

7th+ in betting 574 8 1.4% 0.51 −377.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Castlerea Tess (GB) 50 6 9 18 Aug 22

Jenny Ren (GB) 47 4 11 8 Jul 24

Sinndarella (IRE) 47 2 16 25 May 24

Final Attack (IRE)from Andrew Hollinshead 47 4 17 14 Sep 21

Zenafire (GB)from Andrew Hollinshead 41 5 11 22 Aug 20

Snooze Lane (IRE) 37 4 16 3 Nov 26

Uncle Bernie (IRE)from Andrew Hollinshead 37 4 8 27 Apr 22

Gms Prince (GB) 30 1 7 19 Jun 26

Balmy Breese (GB) 29 0 3 12 May 25

Handsome Dan (IRE)from Andrew Hollinshead 29 1 6 8 Nov 18

Right Madam (IRE)from Andrew Hollinshead · then Andrew Hollinshead 29 0 6 9 Jan 17

Diamond Jill (IRE) 26 2 9 17 Feb 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 82 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 35 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Hollinshead (18) and Ed McMahon (2); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

425575256633

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Dunne

5% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 1.73

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Dunne 48 4 8.3% +3.50

Chris Ward 48 2 4.2% +8.00

Gina Mangan 46 2 4.3% −29.00

Rob Hornby 41 1 2.4% −15.00

Kieran O'Neill 39 0 0% −39.00

Gabriele Malune 35 2 5.7% −9.00

James Sullivan 33 2 6.1% −4.00

Tabitha Worsley 31 0 0% −31.00

William Cox 31 0 0% −31.00

Jack Duern 30 2 6.7% +10.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

Archived wins

£376k

Prize money

2017

Best season · 9 wins

Zenafire (GB) — Coca Cola Zero Sugar Handicap Chester · Jul 2017 · Class 4

£6,225

La Vish (FR) — Feldon Dunsmore Proudly Employee-Owned Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Warwick · Mar 2026 · Class 4

£5,446

Lookforarainbow (GB) — Every Race Live On Racing Tv Handicap Hurdle Stratford · Jun 2019 · Class 4

£5,133

Notable horses

Castlerea Tess (GB) Zenafire (GB) Jenny Ren (GB) Final Attack (IRE) Snooze Lane (IRE) Uncle Bernie (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 8.8% · 6–68

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Fast Company (IRE) 3.2% · 2–62

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,603 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.

Cape Cross (IRE) 8.5% · 4–47

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Multiplex (GB) 8.5% · 4–47

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2011 (291 horses).

Firebreak (GB) 12.2% · 5–41

Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,474 runs since 2009 (150 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 2.6% · 1–39

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,769 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,007 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,007 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 February 2015 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Snooze Lane (IRE)J: David Egan AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 14/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Snooze Lane (IRE)J: William Pyle Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 4/1

18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Snooze Lane (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 22/1

08 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Pretty Darn Quick (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 300/1

19 Jun 26 Market Rasen Gms Prince (GB)J: Robert Dunne ABP Ports Of Hull & Goole Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran F 14/1

13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Pretty Darn Quick (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley For Soldiers For Life Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran PU 250/1

20 May 26 Warwick La Vish (FR)J: Sean Bowen Logic Defying Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 5th 5/1

16 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Pretty Darn Quick (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Family Fun Day 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 250/1

02 May 26 Uttoxeter Pretty Darn Quick (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Support The Stoke City Foundation 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 7th 250/1

23 Apr 26 Perth La Vish (FR)J: Paul O'Brien Download The Free Racing TV App Now Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 18/1

05 Apr 26 Market Rasen Gms Prince (GB)J: Robert Dunne Mariner Packaging Sing When We're Fishing Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 13/2

31 Mar 26 Bangor-on-Dee Seekingrainbows (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 125/1

26 Mar 26 Warwick La Vish (FR)J: Robert Dunne Feldon Dunsmore Proudly Employee-Owned Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 3 ran 1st 20/1

15 Mar 26 Market Rasen Gms Prince (GB)J: Robert Dunne CopyBet Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 10/3

10 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Slicker (FR)J: Joe Leavy Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 20/1

04 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Slicker (FR)J: Tyler Heard Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 18/1

25 Feb 26 Bangor-on-Dee Seekingrainbows (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Wynnstay Mares' 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 300/1

24 Feb 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Slicker (FR)J: Joe Leavy Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 40/1

20 Feb 26 Warwick La Vish (FR)J: Robert Dunne Aston Villa Foundation EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 4 ran 3rd 50/1

13 Feb 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Bondi Man (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Classified StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 13 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 13 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Sarah Hollinshead's strike rate?: Sarah Hollinshead has won 44 of 1,007 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sarah Hollinshead do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 3 wins from 38 runners (7.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Sarah Hollinshead in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Sarah Hollinshead's Fair A/E?: 0.74, from 1,005 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.