Stuart Coltherd
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 11% (56 runs, true-first definition).
A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 1.9% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.23). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −76.38 to a £1 stake over 104 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Sam Coltherd rides 49% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.8%, A/E 0.94). The yard also reads well in Chase races (13.4%, n=1,017). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 36 runners, 9.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Suprise Vendor (IRE) — 13 wins from 76 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,373 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,373 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 24 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Stuart Coltherd's strike rate?
- Stuart Coltherd has won 195 of 2,149 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Stuart Coltherd do best at?
- Wetherby by strike rate: 9 wins from 69 runners (13%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Stuart Coltherd?
- Sam Coltherd, with 1,047 runners since 2008 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 103 (9.8%).
- Is Stuart Coltherd in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Stuart Coltherd's Fair A/E?
- 0.97, from 2,145 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.