5:07 Roscommon
A 19-runner Flat contest over 1m4f46y at Roscommon (5:07), on Soft going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
No one obviously wants the lead — likely a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Acanto KTB Selection55/100
Limited performer who has shown only modest form in five starts and failed to land a blow at this trip on both attempts. First-time headgear is now fitted in a bid to spark improvement from a wide draw. Trainer Noel Meade has a solid 18% strike rate here from a big sample while jockey Adam Caffrey records a respectable 12% strike rate at the track.
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2Vervain52/100
Limited performer who has been consistent enough to place four times from 17 starts but lacks real spark at this level. Has won over today's trip yet has failed to place in two runs on soft ground and makes his first visit to Roscommon. Trainer and jockey both hold modest records here with strike rates of 9% and 11% respectively.
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3Calamint50/100
Calamint is a limited performer who has shown consistency here without winning, finishing placed in two of three runs at Roscommon. He has handled soft ground competitively in the past and is dropping back in trip from 2m to a distance where he has placed once from three starts. The yard's 8% strike rate from 51 runs at the track offers no strong pointers either way.
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4Deluca Chop49/100
Limited performer who has run well at this track in the past, finishing second here on his penultimate start. Consistent enough this year with three wins from his last ten runs but looks vulnerable from stall 14 on soft ground where his record is modest. Trainer has yet to strike at Roscommon from 21 attempts.
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5Among The Pines48/100
Limited performer who has shown a bit more spark lately with a placed effort over this trip on his most recent start. He has a stiff draw in stall 15 to overcome and his trainer has no recorded runners at Roscommon. Jockey Rory Mulligan operates at a 6% strike rate here from 16 rides.
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6Ballaghkeen48/100
Limited sort who has shown little in six starts this year and was well beaten when winning a modest maiden at Gowran last time.
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7Inver Bay48/100
Inver Bay won on his only previous visit to Roscommon but has shown very little since, finishing tailed off in all three starts last season.
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8Royal Belief45/100
Limited performer who showed a bit more spark when second on return at this track last month.
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9Duleek Street42/100
Limited performer who has been out of form for some time and showed little spark in two runs this year.
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10Rio Doce42/100
Limited performer who has shown very little in seven starts and was well beaten on his only previous run here.
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11Burlington House41/100
Burlington House is a limited performer who has failed to place in three runs at this track and looks no better on his most recent return.
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12Anightaway40/100
Limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and looks vulnerable from a low strike-rate yard.
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13Queen Of Astolat40/100
Limited performer who has been on the go for a while and has not won in 11 starts.
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14Walls Cross40/100
Limited performer who has shown very little in five starts to date.
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15Zesty Belle37/100
Limited performer who has shown very little in five starts and looks up against it again from stall four.
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16Autocrat36/100
Autocrat has a limited level of ability and his recent form is mixed at best.
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17Thegooseiscooked34/100
Limited performer who has been out of the frame on his last four starts and looks up against it from a wide draw.
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18James Henry32/100
Limited horse who has been out of form for some time and showed little when eighth of 12 over 7f here on his only previous visit.
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19Piatra Neamt29/100
Limited performer who has shown very little in 11 runs and was beaten 14 lengths when fifth of nine over this course and distance on his only previous visit.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Acanto on a Fit Score of 55/100. On our numbers the main dangers are Vervain and Calamint.
KTB Selection Acanto
This is the narrative read of the 5:07 Roscommon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Roscommon racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Roscommon results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Roscommon racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 5:07 at Roscommon?
Acanto tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 55/100.
How many runners are in this race?
19 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 5:07 at Roscommon?
The going is described as Soft.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 1m4f46y.
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