What is Jamie Spencer's strike rate?

Jamie Spencer has won 1,395 of 9,305 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 15% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jamie Spencer do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 129 wins from 650 rides (19.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jamie Spencer ride most for?

David Simcock, with 1,167 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 212 (18.2%).

What is Jamie Spencer's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 9,268 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jamie Spencer

9,305 rides in the lifetime window · 5,034 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 50 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,395–9,305

Wins / Runs

15%

Strike rate

n=9,305

3,428 (37%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=9,268 · 0.85 incl. margin

−1,757.76

£1 level stake

n=9,305 at SP · −18.9%

£30.5m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 490 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 15% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (1,410 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 9,305 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Mar 34.5% when favourite David Simcock: 18.2% from 1,167 LTO winners: 17.7% Rides the favourite in 19% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (27%, n=159) and Redcar (28.6%, n=49) — all clear of the rider's 15% baseline. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.1% (n=1,796, Fair A/E 1.01). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 9.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −243.13 to a £1 stake over 1,460 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. David Simcock supplies 13% of the rides and edges the rider's average (18.2% vs 15%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Firm going (27.4%, n=62). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 5.1% over 79 rides, 9.9pts below the baseline. 193 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2023, £567,100). The standout partner of the record: Boz (GB) — 8 wins from 15 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

13.9%−1.1

n=4,865 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −902.15

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.7%+2.7

n=1,410 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −304.86

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

14.2%−0.8

n=1,637 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −318.87

When favourite

34.5%

n=1,754 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −185.71

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.1%−6.9

n=1,796 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −114.23

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.2%−5.8

n=1,460 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −243.13

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Southwell (AW) 27% vs 15% · n=159

At Redcar 28.6% vs 15% · n=49

On Firm going 27.4% vs 15% · n=62

With David O'Meara 4.9% vs 15% · n=82

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 5.1% vs 15% · n=79

In Group / Graded races 9.2% vs 15% · n=1,460

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 9,302 1395 15% −1,754.76

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,785 525 18.9% −532.75

Good to Firm 2,461 348 14.1% −401.01

Good 1,984 241 12.1% −372.33

Good to Soft 1,051 133 12.7% −263.06

Soft 832 110 13.2% −222.65

Heavy 130 21 16.2% +18.24

Firm 62 17 27.4% +15.80

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 835 134 16% −128.90

Lingfield (AW) 688 131 19% −81.14

Ascot 654 66 10.1% +146.29

Wolverhampton (AW) 650 129 19.8% −180.18

Newmarket 580 49 8.4% −167.14

Yarmouth 537 101 18.8% −26.95

Doncaster 495 82 16.6% +42.54

Newbury 421 44 10.5% −118.99

Newmarket 415 45 10.8% −134.12

York 380 39 10.3% −100.03

Goodwood 351 40 11.4% −61.64

Windsor 334 50 15% −74.81

Chelmsford (AW) 326 61 18.7% −113.51

Haydock 315 46 14.6% −88.39

Sandown 253 29 11.5% −92.21

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 2,364 451 19.1% −527.60

Class 4 2,035 289 14.2% −580.92

Class 1 1,459 135 9.3% −242.13

Class 2 1,387 151 10.9% −169.93

Class 6 1,013 198 19.5% −219.71

Class 3 970 163 16.8% +16.03

Class 7 28 6 21.4% +2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2,029 675 33.3% 1.04 −173.92

2nd–3rd fav 2,827 458 16.2% 0.96 −514.04

4th–6th fav 2,672 193 7.2% 0.85 −843.80

7th+ in betting 1,777 69 3.9% 0.98 −226.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 3,331 471 14.1% −564.51

1m2f – 1m4f 2,242 338 15.1% −449.37

1m – 1m1f 2,213 326 14.7% −466.66

Under 6f 845 161 19.1% −80.61

1m5f – 2m 586 93 15.9% −157.24

2m1f – 2m4f 79 4 5.1% −47.87

2m5f – 3m 9 2 22.2% +8.50

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 872 155 17.8% −212.96

2009 713 132 18.5% −121.65

2010 709 108 15.2% −81.63

2011 733 127 17.3% −99.93

2012 704 106 15.1% −95.51

2013 687 110 16% −187.58

2014 595 75 12.6% −241.15

2015 641 86 13.4% −163.84

2016 610 96 15.7% −84.70

2017 577 92 15.9% −117.37

2018 535 75 14% −143.11

2019 356 51 14.3% −88.29

2020 121 23 19% −4.72

2021 337 37 11% −92.30

2022 295 28 9.5% −120.23

2023 253 34 13.4% +119.59

2024 212 22 10.4% −58.97

2025 200 20 10% +95.63

2026 155 18 11.6% −59.04

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 5,075 741 14.6% −712.03

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 2,974 492 16.5% −403.19

11-13 runners 2,333 275 11.8% −794.61

5-7 runners 1,990 405 20.4% −434.92

14-16 runners 1,054 102 9.7% −119.81

17+ runners 742 44 5.9% +5.58

2-4 runners 212 77 36.3% −10.81

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bless Him (IRE) 26 6 9 23 Oct 24

Glory Awaits (IRE) 18 1 4 3 Aug 18

Wigmore Hall (IRE) 18 3 7 29 Jul 14

Masamah (IRE) 15 2 9 7 May 14

Horsted Keynes (FR) 14 2 8 25 Jul 18

Arisaig (GB) 13 1 3 25 Sep 26

Cash (IRE) 13 1 5 13 Jun 26

Dragon Mall (USA) 13 2 5 16 Feb 18

Buckstay (IRE) 13 3 5 15 Jul 17

Gramercy (IRE) 13 2 4 25 Aug 14

Parisian Pyramid (IRE) 13 0 5 8 Feb 14

Jakajaro (IRE) 12 2 5 22 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 5,034 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

221922141512161613111821

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDavid Simcock

13% of all rides
18.2% SR · A/E 1.09

TrainerRWSR£1

David Simcock 1,167 212 18.2% −160.41

Michael Bell 907 143 15.8% −229.67

Kevin Ryan 621 92 14.8% −103.69

Luca Cumani 298 60 20.1% −12.47

Charles Hills 246 27 11% +46.11

Brian Meehan 241 30 12.4% −119.75

Paul Cole 171 23 13.5% −56.01

Ian Williams 170 35 20.6% +0.86

Peter Chapple-Hyam 161 26 16.1% +1.09

Richard Fahey 161 26 16.1% +191.14

James Fanshawe 154 24 15.6% −39.08

Jamie Osborne 144 30 20.8% −5.23

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,953

Archived wins

193

Pattern / graded wins

£40.0m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 208 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Khaadem (IRE) — Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2023 · Group 1

£567,100

Powerful Glory (IRE) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2025 · Group 1

£318,994

Sariska (GB) — Darley Irish Oaks (group 1) Curragh · Jul 2009 · Group 1

£280,500

Notable horses

Boz (GB) Red Evie (IRE) Bless Him (IRE) Hoh Mike (IRE) Zidane (GB) Cesare (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 18.4% · 34–185

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,040 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Oasis Dream (GB) 15.3% · 28–183

Progeny have won 11.7% of 18,052 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 15.3% · 27–176

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Galileo (IRE) 10% · 16–160

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Pivotal (GB) 21.3% · 33–155

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,790 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 20% · 28–140

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 12,466 · newest first

The latest 50 of 12,466 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 February 2005 to 25 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Sep 26 Newmarket Arisaig (GB)T: Charlie Johnston Betway British Ebf Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 7th 3/1F

23 Sep 26 Goodwood Robert Anstruther (GB)T: Henry Candy Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 13th 13/2

23 Sep 26 Goodwood Quebella (GB)T: Owen Burrows Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 100/30

22 Sep 26 Beverley Jakajaro (IRE)T: Robert Cowell Eddie And Violet Smith Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 11/8F

19 Sep 26 Newbury Aura Champagne (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 3 ran 3rd 4/1

19 Sep 26 Newbury Witch Hunter (FR)T: Richard Hannon Conundrum Consulting Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 14th 11/1

19 Sep 26 Newbury Coloniser (IRE)T: Brian Meehan Pump Technology Metro Rod Partnership Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 3/1

19 Sep 26 Newbury Stem (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Dubai Duty Free Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 2 · 10f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 5th 11/2

19 Sep 26 Newbury Cut A Dash (GB)T: Richard Hannon Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) (In Honour Of Ian Balding)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 28/1

13 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Jakajaro (IRE)T: Robert Cowell BAR 1 Betting Flying Five Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 5f · Yielding · 17 ran 8th 28/1

10 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Midak (FR)T: Ian Williams Prix GladiateurClass 1 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 100/30

02 Sep 26 Bath Quebella (GB)T: Owen Burrows British EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 2/1F

29 Aug 26 Sandown Kodiac City (IRE)T: Richard Hughes Betmgm Solario Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 22/1

29 Aug 26 Sandown Cap Santa Lucia (FR)T: Brian Meehan Betmgm Atalanta Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 80/1

29 Aug 26 Sandown Tall Trees (GB)T: Brian Meehan Tattersalls £40,000 Ebf Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 1st 6/4J

22 Aug 26 York Have Secret (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Sky Bet Dav Reid Finale Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 20th 66/1

22 Aug 26 York Circus Of Rome (GB)T: Richard Hughes Sky Bet Ebor Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBplus Race)Class 2 · 14f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 16th 50/1

22 Aug 26 York Powerful Glory (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 40/1

22 Aug 26 York Point Lynas (IRE)T: Edward Bethell Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 9f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 28/1

21 Aug 26 York Sharpen (IRE)T: George Boughey Sky Bet EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jamie Spencer's strike rate?: Jamie Spencer has won 1,395 of 9,305 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 15% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jamie Spencer do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 129 wins from 650 rides (19.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jamie Spencer ride most for?: David Simcock, with 1,167 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 212 (18.2%).
What is Jamie Spencer's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 9,268 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.