1:51 Redcar
This Class 6 handicap over seven furlongs at Redcar on good ground features a field of 18 modest performers, many of whom have shown only patchy form this season. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Black Rock Beauty, The Childe Of Hale and Luminous Warrior all rated in the low 60s, indicating a competitive race where course experience, draw and ability to handle a strong pace will be key. Several runners have won at this track or trip before, but consistency remains elusive for most.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with at least two habitual front-runners present, including Hatamoto and Finn Ironside, while Uncertainty is also inclined to race prominently and Gwen's Girl tends to race handily. This shape is likely to test those on the speed and could lead to a late collapse, favouring the numerous hold-up performers in the field. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate terms or if the race will be won from off the pace as the leaders tire in the closing stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Black Rock Beauty KTB Selection63/100
Black Rock Beauty is a modest performer who has already won here over this trip on good ground from her only previous visit. Recent form has been patchy but she did land a similar race in July and her figures still stack up in this grade. The Richard and Peter Fahey yard posts a 19% strike rate at Redcar with an A/E of 1.35 from 21 runs, while Warren Fentiman is 16% from 37 rides at the track with an A/E of 1.19. She is held up, usually producing her effort late, which looks ideal given the expected strong pace. The trainer and jockey both have solid records at the track, and she is the KTB Selection.
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2The Childe Of Hale62/100
The Childe Of Hale is a modest performer with a win at this trip from five attempts but has struggled for consistency lately with form of 06-905. He is dropping in class and is held up, usually producing his effort late, which should suit the anticipated strong pace. Ivan Furtado has a 9% strike rate at Redcar from 95 runs with an A/E of 0.9, though Hector Crouch fares better with a 31% strike rate from 16 rides here and an A/E of 1.27. This is his first appearance at the track and he is 0-3 on good ground. His late-run style could see him capitalise if the front-runners pay for their efforts.
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3Luminous Warrior61/100
Luminous Warrior is a modest performer who has been in decent form of late with two wins from his last four starts. He has run just once at Redcar when finishing sixth and his record on good ground shows two places from four starts without a win. Christopher Kellett has an 8% strike rate at Redcar from 24 runs with an A/E of 1.46, while Jason Hart is 14% from 514 rides here with an A/E of 1.04. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is well suited to the expected strong pace shape. The trip looks about right having placed once from eight attempts.
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4Rousham59/100
Rousham is a modest performer who has already won over this trip and landed a race here from one visit. He is dropping in class and steps up from 6f today which asks a fresh question but the pedigree and prior success at the distance suggest it should cope. Nigel Tinkler has a 7% strike rate at Redcar from 914 runs with an A/E of 0.87, though Alex Jary is stronger with a 13% strike rate from 77 rides and an A/E of 1.76. Usually held up, though with medium confidence in that assessment, his course win adds interest in a race where late closers are favoured.
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5Cavallo Pazzo52/100
Cavallo Pazzo is a limited performer who has struggled since returning from a long absence and now drops back to 7f. He has shown a bit of ability at this trip in the past and his sole run here produced a respectable fourth. Daragh Bourke holds a solid 20% strike rate at Redcar from five runs with an A/E of 1.87, while Shane Gray is 8% from 271 rides here with an A/E of 0.83. Usually held up with medium confidence, the going looks fine on the limited evidence available. His experience at the track could prove useful if the leaders fold.
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6Travis52/100
Travis is a modest performer who has won once from three starts at this track. Recent form is patchy but he has dropped back to a trip he has won at twice before, and he acts on good ground with three wins from 11 starts. Geoffrey Harker has a 9% strike rate at Redcar from 224 runs with an A/E of 0.86, and he is held up.
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7Emery Down52/100
Emery Down is a modest performer who has been in and out of form this year and showed his best side when winning over this trip at Yarmouth in June. He has placed once from five runs on good ground and is drawn in stall one which could be handy. John Ryan is 0-9 at Redcar while Pat Cosgrave is 14% from 85 rides here with an A/E of 1.02, and he is held up.
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8Finn Ironside51/100
Finn Ironside is a modest performer who has been in and out of form this year but showed his best side when winning over this trip last time. Placed twice from five starts on good ground so the surface is no problem and he stays the distance well enough. Ivan Furtado has a 9% strike rate from 95 runs here while Elle-May Croot is 0-7 at the track, and he tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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9Camera Shy51/100
Camera Shy is a modest performer who has been largely consistent this year without winning since last summer. She steps up from 6f to a trip she has won over before, with a solid record on good ground including one win from three starts. Michael Dods has a 9% strike rate at Redcar from 1007 runs with an A/E of 0.85, and she is held up.
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10Hatamoto51/100
Hatamoto is a modest performer who has been busy this year and showed his best form when winning twice on good ground. He drops back to 7f today having been placed at the trip earlier in the season, though he has looked equally effective over a mile. Tim Easterby has an 8% strike rate at Redcar from 2341 runs with an A/E of 0.78, and he tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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11Mayo County49/100
Mayo County is a modest performer who has won twice here from six runs and knows this trip well with two wins from 16 attempts. Recent form is mixed with a win and a placed effort among the last six starts but he has failed to build on those since. Julie Camacho records a modest 8% strike rate at Redcar from 312 runs with an A/E of 0.78, and he is held up.
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12Bleep Test49/100
Bleep Test is a modest performer who has won once in three runs at Redcar but has been well held in four starts this year. He steps up to 7f for the first time today having looked stretched at 6f last time, while the first-time headgear is another unknown. Tim Easterby has an 8% strike rate from 2341 runs at the track, and he is held up.
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13Sailor Batt47/100
Sailor Batt is a modest performer who has been consistent in recent runs without winning. He is placed on his only start here and drops back to 7f having been placed at the trip before, though he is unproven on good ground. David and Nicola Barron have a modest 8% strike rate at Redcar from 91 runs with an A/E of 0.68, and he is held up.
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14Uncertainty42/100
Uncertainty is a modest performer who has been on the go for a while now and has failed to trouble the judge in six starts this year. Simon Whitaker has a poor 2% strike-rate at Redcar from 49 runs with an A/E of 0.33, and he tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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15Sun Of Dolly42/100
Sun Of Dolly is a limited performer who has shown bits of ability on her better days but remains winless after eight starts. She has placed once at this trip and acts on good ground though her sole run on it brought no reward. John Gallagher has a modest 4% strike-rate here with an A/E of 0.56, and she is held up.
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16Head For Freedom39/100
Head For Freedom is a limited performer who has failed to place in five runs this year and finished a remote 13th on his only visit to Redcar. Michael and David Easterby have a modest 5% strike-rate here with an A/E of 0.57, and he steps up to 7f for the first time today while being held up.
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17Secret Testimony38/100
Secret Testimony is a limited horse who has shown only modest form in ten runs this year and has failed to place in three attempts here. He drops back to 7f having won at the trip earlier in his career though his last two starts were over much further. Declan Carroll has a 9% strike rate at Redcar from 342 runs with an A/E of 0.94, and he is held up.
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18Gwen's Girl32/100
Gwen's Girl is a limited performer on the evidence of her six runs and recent form figures of 04-766. She showed a bit when fourth on her only visit to Redcar but has been well held in three starts since. Mark Walford has a 5% strike rate from 104 runs here with an A/E of 0.55, and she tends to race handily while dropping back in trip.
KTB verdict
Black Rock Beauty is the KTB Selection. She has already won here over this trip on good ground from her only previous visit, landed a similar race in July, and her figures still stack up in this grade. The Fahey yard and Fentiman combination both have solid records at Redcar, and her held-up run style is well suited to the strong pace that is likely to unfold. The main dangers are The Childe Of Hale, who is dropping in class and shares that hold-up profile, and Luminous Warrior, who has been in decent form of late with two recent wins.
KTB Selection Black Rock Beauty
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:07 UTC, 9 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Black Rock Beauty | 25/1 | 7Bet |
| The Childe Of Hale | 15/2 | 7Bet |
| Luminous Warrior | 6/1 | Bet365 |
| Rousham | 10/1 | 7Bet |
| Cavallo Pazzo | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Travis | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Emery Down | 6/1 | Bet365 |
| Finn Ironside | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| Camera Shy | 9/1 | 7Bet |
| Hatamoto | 5/1 | Bet365 |
| Mayo County | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Bleep Test | 40/1 | 7Bet |
| Sailor Batt | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Uncertainty | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Sun Of Dolly | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Head For Freedom | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Secret Testimony | 25/1 | 7Bet |
| Gwen's Girl | 30/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 1:51 Redcar. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Redcar racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Redcar results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course-and-distance winning form at Redcar?
Black Rock Beauty has won here over this trip on good ground from her only previous visit, while Rousham has won here over this trip.
How does the expected strong pace shape influence the race?
The strong pace, created by two or more habitual front-runners, could collapse late and favour hold-up horses.
Which runners are dropping in class?
The Childe Of Hale, Rousham, Travis, Finn Ironside, Bleep Test and Sun Of Dolly are all dropping in class.
Who are the main front-runners in the field?
Finn Ironside tends to make the running or race on the pace, as does Hatamoto, while Uncertainty is also inclined to race prominently and Gwen's Girl tends to race handily.
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Bleep Test is wearing first-time headgear.
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