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Racecourse statistics

Chepstow racecourse statistics

Every runner at Chepstow in our archive in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025): who wins here, how favourites fare, the biggest-priced winners, the draw and the angles that have paid at SP.

Figures as at 21 Oct 2026, 09:48 · last meeting in our archive 11 Oct 2026

Covers 1 October 2025 – 22 October 2026

227races · 32 meetings
1,918runners · 1,484 horses
36.4%favourites won · 90 of 247
33/1biggest-priced winner · Whistling Dave (IRE)

In brief

as at 21 Oct 2026

Chepstow has staged 227 races over 32 meetings in our archive in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025), with 1,918 runners.

Favourites have won 36.4% of their runs here (90 from 247), a level-stakes P/L of −30.38 points to a £1 stake at SP.

Dan Skelton has the most winners here (12 from 85 runners, 14.1%). Among yards with 30 or more runners, Tony Carroll has the best win rate: 20.0% (7 from 35).

Harry Skelton has the most winners here (10 from 41 rides, 24.4%). Among riders with 30 or more rides, Sam Twiston-Davies has the best win rate: 26.5% (9 from 34).

No trip here shows the lowest and highest thirds of the stalls more than 3 points apart on 100 or more runs each.

2 angles here made a level-stakes profit at SP in both periods we test, on 100 or more runs.

Favourites and the market

by starting-price rank

Favourites have won 36.4% of their runs here (90 from 247), a level-stakes P/L of −30.38 points to a £1 stake at SP.

Position in the bettingRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
FavouriteRuns 247Won 90Win 36.4%£1 −30.38A/E 1.07
2nd–3rd in the bettingRuns 456Won 72Win 15.8%£1 −93.05A/E 0.90
4th–6th in the bettingRuns 619Won 50Win 8.1%£1 −54.50A/E 1.07
7th or biggerRuns 596Won 16Win 2.7%£1 −298.50A/E 0.96

Favourites by race type

RacesRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
FlatRuns 109Won 33Win 30.3%£1 −21.19A/E 0.89
HurdleRuns 87Won 33Win 37.9%£1 −15.26A/E 1.13
ChaseRuns 40Won 18Win 45.0%£1 +3.92A/E 1.30
NH FlatRuns 11Won 6Win 54.5%£1 +2.15A/E 1.52

Favourites by going

GoingRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Good to FirmRuns 72Won 24Win 33.3%£1 −13.35A/E 0.92
GoodRuns 29Won 13Win 44.8%£1 +3.38A/E 1.32
Good to SoftRuns 97Won 34Win 35.1%£1 −14.41A/E 1.06
SoftRuns 49Won 19Win 38.8%£1 −6.00A/E 1.21

Favourites include joint favourites. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 runs. Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation at SP. Favourite-heavy samples naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". £1 P/L is level stakes at SP.

Trainers

last 12 months

Dan Skelton has the most winners here (12 from 85 runners, 14.1%). Among yards with 30 or more runners, Tony Carroll has the best win rate: 20.0% (7 from 35).

Most winners

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Dan SkeltonRuns 85Won 12Win 14.1%£1 +1.10A/E 1.06
Grace HarrisRuns 74Won 11Win 14.9%£1 −8.42A/E 1.28
Tony CarrollRuns 35Won 7Win 20.0%£1 −5.00A/E 1.30
Rebecca CurtisRuns 39Won 7Win 17.9%£1 −14.10A/E 1.03
David EvansRuns 25Won 6Win 24.0%£1 +25.63A/E 1.67
Nigel & Willy Twiston-DaviesRuns 32Won 6Win 18.8%£1 −13.72A/E 1.19
Sam ThomasRuns 15Won 5Win 33.3%£1 +10.83A/E 1.96
Joe TizzardRuns 33Won 5Win 15.2%£1 −8.00A/E 1.35
Olly MurphyRuns 21Won 4Win 19.0%£1 +9.83A/E 1.83
Philip Hobbs & Johnson WhiteRuns 22Won 4Win 18.2%£1 −2.88A/E 1.31

Ordered by winners here; a tie goes to the fewer runners.

Best win %

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Tony CarrollRuns 35Won 7Win 20.0%£1 −5.00A/E 1.30
Nigel & Willy Twiston-DaviesRuns 32Won 6Win 18.8%£1 −13.72A/E 1.19
Rebecca CurtisRuns 39Won 7Win 17.9%£1 −14.10A/E 1.03
Joe TizzardRuns 33Won 5Win 15.2%£1 −8.00A/E 1.35
Grace HarrisRuns 74Won 11Win 14.9%£1 −8.42A/E 1.28
Dan SkeltonRuns 85Won 12Win 14.1%£1 +1.10A/E 1.06
John & Rhys FlintRuns 33Won 4Win 12.1%£1 −6.80A/E 1.51
Jeremy ScottRuns 33Won 3Win 9.1%£1 −4.50A/E 1.05
Neil MulhollandRuns 31Won 2Win 6.5%£1 −17.60A/E 0.57
Evan WilliamsRuns 46Won 2Win 4.3%£1 −40.05A/E 0.45

Ordered by win rate, among those with 30 or more runners here; a tie goes to the bigger sample.

Beat the market

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Grace HarrisRuns 74Won 11Win 14.9%£1 −8.42A/E 1.28
Dan SkeltonRuns 85Won 12Win 14.1%£1 +1.10A/E 1.06

Ordered by fair A/E, among those with 50 or more runners at a fair price here: above 1.00, their winners came at bigger prices than the margin-free market expected.

£1 P/L is level stakes at SP. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 runners.

Jockeys

last 12 months

Harry Skelton has the most winners here (10 from 41 rides, 24.4%). Among riders with 30 or more rides, Sam Twiston-Davies has the best win rate: 26.5% (9 from 34).

Most winners

JockeyRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Harry SkeltonRuns 41Won 10Win 24.4%£1 +8.35A/E 1.21
Sean BowenRuns 44Won 10Win 22.7%£1 +10.70A/E 1.81
Sam Twiston-DaviesRuns 34Won 9Win 26.5%£1 +3.71A/E 1.53
Ciaran GethingsRuns 32Won 7Win 21.9%£1 +8.48A/E 1.48
Ashley LewisRuns 34Won 7Win 20.6%£1 +9.38A/E 1.55
Gina ManganRuns 17Won 5Win 29.4%£1 +2.88A/E 2.27
Rossa RyanRuns 26Won 5Win 19.2%£1 −2.63A/E 0.79
Joe AndersonRuns 11Won 4Win 36.4%£1 +15.50A/E 3.53
Jack DoughtyRuns 15Won 4Win 26.7%£1 +5.32A/E 1.61
Ben JonesRuns 23Won 4Win 17.4%£1 −14.15A/E 1.05

Ordered by winners here; a tie goes to the fewer rides.

Best win %

JockeyRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Sam Twiston-DaviesRuns 34Won 9Win 26.5%£1 +3.71A/E 1.53
Harry SkeltonRuns 41Won 10Win 24.4%£1 +8.35A/E 1.21
Sean BowenRuns 44Won 10Win 22.7%£1 +10.70A/E 1.81
Ciaran GethingsRuns 32Won 7Win 21.9%£1 +8.48A/E 1.48
Ashley LewisRuns 34Won 7Win 20.6%£1 +9.38A/E 1.55
Paul O'BrienRuns 31Won 4Win 12.9%£1 −19.62A/E 0.87
Joe LeavyRuns 33Won 4Win 12.1%£1 +2.07A/E 0.94
Brendan PowellRuns 39Won 4Win 10.3%£1 −18.50A/E 0.99
Lorcan WilliamsRuns 37Won 3Win 8.1%£1 −16.00A/E 0.89

Ordered by win rate, among those with 30 or more rides here; a tie goes to the bigger sample.

£1 P/L is level stakes at SP. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 rides.

Course specialists

3+ wins here

Inion Tiogair (IRE) has won here 3 times from 3 runs, more than any other horse in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025).

Biggest-priced winners

at starting price

The biggest-priced winner here in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025) was Whistling Dave (IRE) at 33/1 on 10 October 2026.

The draw

Flat, 8+ runners

No trip here shows the lowest and highest thirds of the stalls more than 3 points apart on 100 or more runs each.

Under 6f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 15Won 1Win 6.7%Place 20.0%A/E 0.57
Middle thirdRuns 18Won 2Win 11.1%Place 38.9%A/E 1.07
High thirdRuns 18Won 3Win 16.7%Place 44.4%A/E 1.26

6f – 7f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 46Won 2Win 4.3%Place 28.3%A/E 0.44
Middle thirdRuns 56Won 7Win 12.5%Place 26.8%A/E 1.41
High thirdRuns 69Won 8Win 11.6%Place 34.8%A/E 1.06

1m – 1m1f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 24Won 2Win 8.3%Place 20.8%A/E 0.94
Middle thirdRuns 29Won 3Win 10.3%Place 37.9%A/E 1.09
High thirdRuns 38Won 4Win 10.5%Place 31.6%A/E 0.97

1m2f – 1m4f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 19Won 5Win 26.3%Place 52.6%A/E 1.92
Middle thirdRuns 25Won 1Win 4.0%Place 32.0%A/E 0.44
High thirdRuns 26Won 2Win 7.7%Place 23.1%A/E 0.64

Stall number as a share of the field: low is the lowest third of the stalls. Flat races with 8 or more runners. Fair A/E near 1.00 means the market had already priced the draw in.

Angles that have paid

at SP, two periods

Past results at starting price, not a forecast. Each angle made a £1 level-stakes profit in both periods (Jan 2005 – Sep 2021, and since Oct 2021), with at least 100 SP-priced runs and 10 winners in all, and is still in profit with its single biggest winner taken out. The same on every view of this page.

  • Runners by Flemensfirth (USA) (sire)+24.2% ROI · +114.59 pts from 473 runs · 74 winners (15.6%)Jan 2005 – Sep 2021: +12.7% on 362 · Since Oct 2021: +62.0% on 111 · without the biggest winner (50/1): +63.59 pts
  • Runners trained by Eve Johnson Houghton+21.9% ROI · +49.88 pts from 228 runs · 42 winners (18.4%)Jan 2005 – Sep 2021: +13.8% on 156 · Since Oct 2021: +39.4% on 72 · without the biggest winner (25/1): +23.88 pts

Quick answers

How do favourites do at Chepstow?

Favourites (joint favourites included) have won 90 of 247 runs at Chepstow in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025) — 36.4%, a £1 level-stakes P/L of −30.38 points at SP (as at 21 Oct 2026).

Which trainer has the most winners at Chepstow?

Dan Skelton, with 12 winners from 85 runners (14.1%) in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025).

Which jockey has ridden the most winners at Chepstow?

Harry Skelton, with 10 winners from 41 rides (24.4%) in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025).

Which trainer has the best strike rate at Chepstow?

Among yards with 30 or more runners here in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025), Tony Carroll has the best win rate: 20.0% (7 from 35).

Which jockey has the best strike rate at Chepstow?

Among riders with 30 or more rides here in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025), Sam Twiston-Davies has the best win rate: 26.5% (9 from 34).

Which horses have won most at Chepstow?

The leading course winners in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025): Inion Tiogair (IRE) (3 from 3), Aravalli (IRE) (3 from 3), Too Much Trevor (GB) (3 from 10).

What is the biggest-priced winner at Chepstow?

Whistling Dave (IRE) at 33/1 on 10 October 2026 in the Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race) — the biggest starting price among Chepstow winners in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025).

Is there a draw bias at Chepstow?

No trip at Chepstow shows the lowest and highest thirds of the stalls more than 3 points apart on samples of 100 or more runs each, in Flat races of 8 or more runners in the last 12 months (since 1 October 2025).

About Chepstow

checked October 2026

Layout and key facts

  • Where: Chepstow, Monmouthshire, beside the Severn crossing — Flat and jumps, turf.
  • Shape: Left-handed, galloping and undulating, about 2m round, with a straight mile and a long home straight that rises to the line.
  • Jumps: Fair, well-sighted fences; the hurdles and chases run from 2m to about 3m6f.

Going and the seasons

  • Winter: Soft or heavy ground is frequent from December to February.
  • October: The season-opening jumps fixture is often run on good to soft ground.
  • Summer: The Flat fixtures usually race on good or good to firm ground.

Signature races and fixtures

  • Welsh Grand National (27 December): The Welsh Grand National (about 3m6f handicap chase) and the Finale Juvenile Hurdle (2m) on the same card.
  • October: The Persian War Novices' Hurdle (about 2m4f) and the Silver Trophy handicap hurdle.

Practical notes

  • Getting there: Close to the M48 (junction 2) with parking on site; by rail to Chepstow and a taxi or shuttle on big days.
  • Viewing: The long straight is in full view from the stands; the far side is on the big screens.

These notes are written and checked by KTB (last checked October 2026); the statistics above are computed from our results archive. Check the course's own site for fixtures, going and travel before you go.