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Racecourse statistics

Chepstow racecourse statistics

Every runner at Chepstow in our archive in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021): who wins here, how favourites fare, the biggest-priced winners, the draw and the angles that have paid at SP.

Figures as at 19 Oct 2026, 17:38 · last meeting in our archive 11 Oct 2026

Covers 1 October 2021 – 20 October 2026

1,054races · 150 meetings
9,120runners · 5,823 horses
35.4%favourites won · 399 of 1,126Last 12 months: 36.4% (90 of 247)
80/1biggest-priced winner · Captain Bentley (GB)

In brief

as at 19 Oct 2026

Chepstow has staged 1,054 races over 150 meetings in our archive in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021), with 9,120 runners.

Favourites have won 35.4% of their runs here (399 from 1,126), a level-stakes P/L of −94.93 points to a £1 stake at SP.

Paul Nicholls has the most winners here (47 from 221 runners, 21.3%). Among yards with 30 or more runners, Andrew Balding has the best win rate: 25.0% (11 from 44).

Harry Cobden has the most winners here (41 from 174 rides, 23.6%). Among riders with 30 or more rides, Hollie Doyle has the best win rate: 30.2% (26 from 86).

At trips under 6f in Flat races of 8 or more runners, the lowest third of the stalls has won 8.9% of its runs (101) and the highest third 13.1% (145).

2 angles here made a level-stakes profit at SP in both periods we test, on 100 or more runs.

Favourites and the market

by starting-price rank

Favourites have won 35.4% of their runs here (399 from 1,126), a level-stakes P/L of −94.93 points to a £1 stake at SP.

Position in the bettingRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
FavouriteRuns 1,126Won 399Win 35.4%£1 −94.93A/E 1.08
2nd–3rd in the bettingRuns 2,133Won 365Win 17.1%£1 −309.85A/E 0.98
4th–6th in the bettingRuns 2,933Won 225Win 7.7%£1 −654.17A/E 0.98
7th or biggerRuns 2,928Won 67Win 2.3%£1 −1,457.50A/E 0.81

Favourites by race type

RacesRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
FlatRuns 512Won 170Win 33.2%£1 −50.87A/E 1.02
HurdleRuns 340Won 132Win 38.8%£1 −34.55A/E 1.12
ChaseRuns 214Won 74Win 34.6%£1 −3.05A/E 1.15
NH FlatRuns 60Won 23Win 38.3%£1 −6.46A/E 1.14

Favourites by going

GoingRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Good to FirmRuns 197Won 82Win 41.6%£1 +15.36A/E 1.19
GoodRuns 314Won 99Win 31.5%£1 −61.63A/E 0.95
Good to SoftRuns 321Won 114Win 35.5%£1 −16.78A/E 1.16
SoftRuns 216Won 77Win 35.6%£1 −22.24A/E 1.09
HeavyRuns 78Won 27Win 34.6%£1 −9.64A/E 1.00

Favourites include joint favourites. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 runs. Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation at SP. Favourite-heavy samples naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". £1 P/L is level stakes at SP.

Trainers

last 5 years

Paul Nicholls has the most winners here (47 from 221 runners, 21.3%). Among yards with 30 or more runners, Andrew Balding has the best win rate: 25.0% (11 from 44).

Most winners

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Paul NichollsRuns 221Won 47Win 21.3%£1 −85.43A/E 0.99
Dan SkeltonRuns 231Won 27Win 11.7%£1 −72.99A/E 0.87
Grace HarrisRuns 261Won 27Win 10.3%£1 −93.30A/E 0.92
Evan WilliamsRuns 279Won 27Win 9.7%£1 −59.18A/E 0.92
Rebecca CurtisRuns 108Won 19Win 17.6%£1 +21.66A/E 1.08
Fergal O'BrienRuns 141Won 19Win 13.5%£1 −35.18A/E 1.01
John O'SheaRuns 160Won 19Win 11.9%£1 −39.75A/E 1.07
Sam ThomasRuns 84Won 18Win 21.4%£1 +13.68A/E 1.16
Archie WatsonRuns 76Won 17Win 22.4%£1 +11.74A/E 1.44
David EvansRuns 107Won 17Win 15.9%£1 +28.38A/E 1.33

Ordered by winners here; a tie goes to the fewer runners.

Best win %

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Andrew BaldingRuns 44Won 11Win 25.0%£1 +9.49A/E 1.21
Jamie OsborneRuns 32Won 8Win 25.0%£1 +7.25A/E 1.83
Jamie SnowdenRuns 55Won 13Win 23.6%£1 −7.46A/E 1.29
Ralph BeckettRuns 30Won 7Win 23.3%£1 −7.14A/E 0.99
Archie WatsonRuns 76Won 17Win 22.4%£1 +11.74A/E 1.44
Sam ThomasRuns 84Won 18Win 21.4%£1 +13.68A/E 1.16
Paul NichollsRuns 221Won 47Win 21.3%£1 −85.43A/E 0.99
Christopher MasonRuns 77Won 16Win 20.8%£1 +3.89A/E 1.58
David BraceRuns 34Won 7Win 20.6%£1 +11.75A/E 1.92
Harry DerhamRuns 44Won 9Win 20.5%£1 −13.14A/E 1.20

Ordered by win rate, among those with 30 or more runners here; a tie goes to the bigger sample.

Beat the market

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Alexandra DunnRuns 55Won 8Win 14.5%£1 +5.50A/E 2.13
John & Rhys FlintRuns 77Won 12Win 15.6%£1 +53.33A/E 1.70
Christopher MasonRuns 77Won 16Win 20.8%£1 +3.89A/E 1.58
Archie WatsonRuns 76Won 17Win 22.4%£1 +11.74A/E 1.44
Alastair RalphRuns 55Won 7Win 12.7%£1 +10.02A/E 1.35
David EvansRuns 107Won 17Win 15.9%£1 +28.38A/E 1.33
Jamie SnowdenRuns 55Won 13Win 23.6%£1 −7.46A/E 1.29
Olly MurphyRuns 81Won 14Win 17.3%£1 −14.93A/E 1.28
Anthony HoneyballRuns 57Won 10Win 17.5%£1 −16.37A/E 1.24
Nigel HawkeRuns 61Won 5Win 8.2%£1 −33.25A/E 1.22

Ordered by fair A/E, among those with 50 or more runners at a fair price here: above 1.00, their winners came at bigger prices than the margin-free market expected.

£1 P/L is level stakes at SP. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 runners.

Jockeys

last 5 years

Harry Cobden has the most winners here (41 from 174 rides, 23.6%). Among riders with 30 or more rides, Hollie Doyle has the best win rate: 30.2% (26 from 86).

Most winners

JockeyRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Harry CobdenRuns 174Won 41Win 23.6%£1 −50.43A/E 1.06
Hollie DoyleRuns 86Won 26Win 30.2%£1 +16.93A/E 1.54
Gina ManganRuns 160Won 26Win 16.3%£1 +1.46A/E 1.45
Ben JonesRuns 122Won 25Win 20.5%£1 +50.41A/E 1.37
Sam Twiston-DaviesRuns 142Won 24Win 16.9%£1 −32.30A/E 1.06
Harry SkeltonRuns 131Won 20Win 15.3%£1 −41.74A/E 0.85
Gavin SheehanRuns 90Won 19Win 21.1%£1 +11.23A/E 1.43
Sean BowenRuns 134Won 19Win 14.2%£1 −39.49A/E 1.06
Adam WedgeRuns 171Won 19Win 11.1%£1 −40.03A/E 1.03
Jonjo O'Neill JrRuns 118Won 17Win 14.4%£1 −36.69A/E 1.02

Ordered by winners here; a tie goes to the fewer rides.

Best win %

JockeyRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Hollie DoyleRuns 86Won 26Win 30.2%£1 +16.93A/E 1.54
Hector CrouchRuns 36Won 10Win 27.8%£1 +40.41A/E 1.52
Edward GreatrexRuns 38Won 10Win 26.3%£1 +14.26A/E 1.61
Paddy BrennanRuns 44Won 11Win 25.0%£1 +3.97A/E 1.43
Saffie OsborneRuns 66Won 16Win 24.2%£1 +13.69A/E 1.47
Harry CobdenRuns 174Won 41Win 23.6%£1 −50.43A/E 1.06
Richard KingscoteRuns 30Won 7Win 23.3%£1 −11.30A/E 1.03
Tom CannonRuns 30Won 7Win 23.3%£1 +2.53A/E 1.70
Dylan JohnstonRuns 32Won 7Win 21.9%£1 +6.71A/E 1.17
Joe AndersonRuns 42Won 9Win 21.4%£1 +16.25A/E 2.10

Ordered by win rate, among those with 30 or more rides here; a tie goes to the bigger sample.

Beat the market

JockeyRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Georgia DobieRuns 71Won 10Win 14.1%£1 +50.00A/E 1.72
Hollie DoyleRuns 86Won 26Win 30.2%£1 +16.93A/E 1.54
Saffie OsborneRuns 66Won 16Win 24.2%£1 +13.69A/E 1.47
Gina ManganRuns 160Won 26Win 16.3%£1 +1.46A/E 1.45
Callum HutchinsonRuns 85Won 14Win 16.5%£1 +33.46A/E 1.43
Gavin SheehanRuns 90Won 19Win 21.1%£1 +11.23A/E 1.43
Ciaran GethingsRuns 77Won 11Win 14.3%£1 −11.02A/E 1.39
Ben JonesRuns 122Won 25Win 20.5%£1 +50.41A/E 1.37
Lorcan WilliamsRuns 110Won 16Win 14.5%£1 −44.97A/E 1.34
William CoxRuns 102Won 10Win 9.8%£1 +39.88A/E 1.30

Ordered by fair A/E, among those with 50 or more rides at a fair price here: above 1.00, their winners came at bigger prices than the margin-free market expected.

£1 P/L is level stakes at SP. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 rides.

Course specialists

3+ wins here

Connie's Rose (GB) has won here 7 times from 37 runs, more than any other horse in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021).

Biggest-priced winners

at starting price

The biggest-priced winner here in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021) was Captain Bentley (GB) at 80/1 on 2 July 2025.

The draw

Flat, 8+ runners

At trips under 6f in Flat races of 8 or more runners, the lowest third of the stalls has won 8.9% of its runs (101) and the highest third 13.1% (145).

Under 6f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 101Won 9Win 8.9%Place 26.7%A/E 0.80
Middle thirdRuns 122Won 13Win 10.7%Place 36.1%A/E 0.98
High thirdRuns 145Won 19Win 13.1%Place 36.6%A/E 1.15

6f – 7f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 322Won 29Win 9.0%Place 32.0%A/E 1.01
Middle thirdRuns 376Won 42Win 11.2%Place 30.3%A/E 1.12
High thirdRuns 461Won 42Win 9.1%Place 26.9%A/E 0.90

1m – 1m1f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 124Won 13Win 10.5%Place 22.6%A/E 1.12
Middle thirdRuns 155Won 18Win 11.6%Place 37.4%A/E 1.14
High thirdRuns 192Won 15Win 7.8%Place 27.6%A/E 0.81

1m2f – 1m4f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 109Won 15Win 13.8%Place 35.8%A/E 1.26
Middle thirdRuns 134Won 9Win 6.7%Place 27.6%A/E 0.65
High thirdRuns 156Won 19Win 12.2%Place 34.0%A/E 1.10

1m5f – 2m

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 7Won 1Win 14.3%Place 42.9%A/E 1.23
Middle thirdRuns 7Won 0Win 0.0%Place 0.0%A/E 0.00
High thirdRuns 8Won 1Win 12.5%Place 37.5%A/E 1.23

Stall number as a share of the field: low is the lowest third of the stalls. Flat races with 8 or more runners. Fair A/E near 1.00 means the market had already priced the draw in.

Angles that have paid

at SP, two periods

Past results at starting price, not a forecast. Each angle made a £1 level-stakes profit in both periods (Jan 2005 – Sep 2021, and since Oct 2021), with at least 100 SP-priced runs and 10 winners in all, and is still in profit with its single biggest winner taken out. The same on every view of this page.

  • Runners by Flemensfirth (USA) (sire)+24.2% ROI · +114.59 pts from 473 runs · 74 winners (15.6%)Jan 2005 – Sep 2021: +12.7% on 362 · Since Oct 2021: +62.0% on 111 · without the biggest winner (50/1): +63.59 pts
  • Runners trained by Eve Johnson Houghton+21.9% ROI · +49.88 pts from 228 runs · 42 winners (18.4%)Jan 2005 – Sep 2021: +13.8% on 156 · Since Oct 2021: +39.4% on 72 · without the biggest winner (25/1): +23.88 pts

Quick answers

How do favourites do at Chepstow?

Favourites (joint favourites included) have won 399 of 1,126 runs at Chepstow in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021) — 35.4%, a £1 level-stakes P/L of −94.93 points at SP (as at 19 Oct 2026).

Which trainer has the most winners at Chepstow?

Paul Nicholls, with 47 winners from 221 runners (21.3%) in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021).

Which jockey has ridden the most winners at Chepstow?

Harry Cobden, with 41 winners from 174 rides (23.6%) in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021).

Which trainer has the best strike rate at Chepstow?

Among yards with 30 or more runners here in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021), Andrew Balding has the best win rate: 25.0% (11 from 44).

Which jockey has the best strike rate at Chepstow?

Among riders with 30 or more rides here in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021), Hollie Doyle has the best win rate: 30.2% (26 from 86).

Which horses have won most at Chepstow?

The leading course winners in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021): Connie's Rose (GB) (7 from 37), Gats And Co (GB) (4 from 9), On Edge (GB) (4 from 9).

What is the biggest-priced winner at Chepstow?

Captain Bentley (GB) at 80/1 on 2 July 2025 in the Bath Racecourse Thanks NetBet Classified Stakes — the biggest starting price among Chepstow winners in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021).

Is there a draw bias at Chepstow?

At trips under 6f in Flat races of 8 or more runners in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021), runners drawn in the lowest third of the stalls have won 9 of 101 runs (8.9%) and those in the highest third 19 of 145 (13.1%). Fair A/E 0.80 low against 1.15 high says how much of that the market had already priced.

About Chepstow

checked October 2026

Layout and key facts

  • Where: Chepstow, Monmouthshire, beside the Severn crossing — Flat and jumps, turf.
  • Shape: Left-handed, galloping and undulating, about 2m round, with a straight mile and a long home straight that rises to the line.
  • Jumps: Fair, well-sighted fences; the hurdles and chases run from 2m to about 3m6f.

Going and the seasons

  • Winter: Soft or heavy ground is frequent from December to February.
  • October: The season-opening jumps fixture is often run on good to soft ground.
  • Summer: The Flat fixtures usually race on good or good to firm ground.

Signature races and fixtures

  • Welsh Grand National (27 December): The Welsh Grand National (about 3m6f handicap chase) and the Finale Juvenile Hurdle (2m) on the same card.
  • October: The Persian War Novices' Hurdle (about 2m4f) and the Silver Trophy handicap hurdle.

Practical notes

  • Getting there: Close to the M48 (junction 2) with parking on site; by rail to Chepstow and a taxi or shuttle on big days.
  • Viewing: The long straight is in full view from the stands; the far side is on the big screens.

These notes are written and checked by KTB (last checked October 2026); the statistics above are computed from our results archive. Check the course's own site for fixtures, going and travel before you go.