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Racecourse statistics

Chepstow racecourse statistics

Every runner at Chepstow in our archive since January 2005: who wins here, how favourites fare, the biggest-priced winners, the draw and the angles that have paid at SP.

Figures as at 20 Oct 2026, 13:48 · last meeting in our archive 11 Oct 2026

Covers 21 January 2005 – 20 October 2026

4,171races · 599 meetings
39,838runners · 23,639 horses
32.6%favourites won · 1,480 of 4,542Last 12 months: 36.4% (90 of 247)
200/1biggest-priced winner · Arctic Blue (GB)

In brief

as at 20 Oct 2026

Chepstow has staged 4,171 races over 599 meetings in our archive since January 2005, with 39,838 runners.

Favourites have won 32.6% of their runs here (1,480 from 4,542), a level-stakes P/L of −356.56 points to a £1 stake at SP.

Paul Nicholls has the most winners here (187 from 854 runners, 21.9%). Among yards with 30 or more runners, John Gosden has the best win rate: 44.1% (15 from 34).

Richard Johnson has the most winners here (102 from 531 rides, 19.2%). Among riders with 30 or more rides, Silvestre De Sousa has the best win rate: 31.4% (11 from 35).

Over 1m5f – 2m in Flat races of 8 or more runners, the lowest third of the stalls has won 12.0% of its runs (166) and the highest third 8.2% (269).

2 angles here made a level-stakes profit at SP in both periods we test, on 100 or more runs.

Favourites and the market

by starting-price rank

Favourites have won 32.6% of their runs here (1,480 from 4,542), a level-stakes P/L of −356.56 points to a £1 stake at SP.

Position in the bettingRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
FavouriteRuns 4,542Won 1,480Win 32.6%£1 −356.56A/E 1.08
2nd–3rd in the bettingRuns 8,521Won 1,434Win 16.8%£1 −1,054.34A/E 1.02
4th–6th in the bettingRuns 11,970Won 906Win 7.6%£1 −2,685.67A/E 0.97
7th or biggerRuns 14,805Won 360Win 2.4%£1 −6,413.00A/E 0.80

Favourites by race type

RacesRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
FlatRuns 2,209Won 694Win 31.4%£1 −192.86A/E 1.05
HurdleRuns 1,213Won 432Win 35.6%£1 −92.40A/E 1.11
ChaseRuns 909Won 281Win 30.9%£1 −44.66A/E 1.10
NH FlatRuns 211Won 73Win 34.6%£1 −26.64A/E 1.07

Favourites by going

GoingRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
FirmRuns 19Won 5Win 26.3%£1 −3.65A/E 0.83
Good to FirmRuns 768Won 272Win 35.4%£1 −2.01A/E 1.14
GoodRuns 1,277Won 392Win 30.7%£1 −169.81A/E 1.01
Good to SoftRuns 956Won 303Win 31.7%£1 −104.41A/E 1.09
SoftRuns 980Won 312Win 31.8%£1 −92.29A/E 1.06
HeavyRuns 542Won 196Win 36.2%£1 +15.61A/E 1.16

Favourites include joint favourites. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 runs. Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation at SP. Favourite-heavy samples naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". £1 P/L is level stakes at SP.

Trainers

since 2005

Paul Nicholls has the most winners here (187 from 854 runners, 21.9%). Among yards with 30 or more runners, John Gosden has the best win rate: 44.1% (15 from 34).

Most winners

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Paul NichollsRuns 854Won 187Win 21.9%£1 −205.27A/E 0.99
Philip HobbsRuns 583Won 100Win 17.2%£1 −32.37A/E 1.15
Evan WilliamsRuns 891Won 96Win 10.8%£1 −111.04A/E 1.05
David EvansRuns 821Won 91Win 11.1%£1 −121.51A/E 1.10
David PipeRuns 453Won 74Win 16.3%£1 −27.89A/E 1.23
Colin TizzardRuns 519Won 63Win 12.1%£1 −152.62A/E 0.98
Bernard LlewellynRuns 617Won 63Win 10.2%£1 −58.06A/E 1.08
Tony CarrollRuns 738Won 62Win 8.4%£1 −241.84A/E 0.93
Alan KingRuns 382Won 61Win 16.0%£1 −90.00A/E 1.11
Nigel Twiston-DaviesRuns 465Won 61Win 13.1%£1 −95.56A/E 1.04

Ordered by winners here; a tie goes to the fewer runners.

Best win %

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
John GosdenRuns 34Won 15Win 44.1%£1 +5.19A/E 1.61
William HaggasRuns 90Won 27Win 30.0%£1 −0.48A/E 1.11
Sir Mark Prescott BtRuns 82Won 22Win 26.8%£1 +5.84A/E 1.25
Ralph BeckettRuns 230Won 59Win 25.7%£1 +61.29A/E 1.35
George BougheyRuns 33Won 8Win 24.2%£1 −6.49A/E 1.12
Roger CharltonRuns 47Won 11Win 23.4%£1 −9.81A/E 1.21
Paul NichollsRuns 854Won 187Win 21.9%£1 −205.27A/E 0.99
Jane WilliamsRuns 68Won 14Win 20.6%£1 +5.55A/E 1.25
Marcus TregoningRuns 73Won 15Win 20.5%£1 −16.65A/E 1.39
Harry DerhamRuns 44Won 9Win 20.5%£1 −13.14A/E 1.20

Ordered by win rate, among those with 30 or more runners here; a tie goes to the bigger sample.

Beat the market

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
John SpearingRuns 128Won 26Win 20.3%£1 +19.96A/E 1.81
Alexandra DunnRuns 137Won 18Win 13.1%£1 +10.43A/E 1.75
Debra HamerRuns 94Won 10Win 10.6%£1 +28.98A/E 1.75
Paul HendersonRuns 62Won 8Win 12.9%£1 −16.72A/E 1.72
John & Rhys FlintRuns 77Won 12Win 15.6%£1 +53.33A/E 1.70
Stuart HoweRuns 53Won 5Win 9.4%£1 −16.00A/E 1.70
Phillip DandoRuns 60Won 6Win 10.0%£1 −16.75A/E 1.70
Keith GoldsworthyRuns 59Won 8Win 13.6%£1 +10.13A/E 1.67
Alan JonesRuns 50Won 5Win 10.0%£1 +6.25A/E 1.65
Alastair RalphRuns 73Won 11Win 15.1%£1 +24.27A/E 1.63

Ordered by fair A/E, among those with 50 or more runners at a fair price here: above 1.00, their winners came at bigger prices than the margin-free market expected.

£1 P/L is level stakes at SP. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 runners.

Jockeys

since 2005

Richard Johnson has the most winners here (102 from 531 rides, 19.2%). Among riders with 30 or more rides, Silvestre De Sousa has the best win rate: 31.4% (11 from 35).

Most winners

JockeyRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Richard JohnsonRuns 531Won 102Win 19.2%£1 +51.37A/E 1.20
David ProbertRuns 569Won 76Win 13.4%£1 −130.36A/E 1.06
Harry CobdenRuns 321Won 72Win 22.4%£1 −74.62A/E 1.10
Sam Twiston-DaviesRuns 376Won 60Win 16.0%£1 −127.03A/E 0.99
Tom ScudamoreRuns 399Won 57Win 14.3%£1 −116.26A/E 1.09
Sean BowenRuns 306Won 53Win 17.3%£1 +5.47A/E 1.34
Tom O'BrienRuns 340Won 51Win 15.0%£1 +4.84A/E 1.28
Luke MorrisRuns 485Won 50Win 10.3%£1 −129.73A/E 0.95
Adam WedgeRuns 403Won 49Win 12.2%£1 −36.49A/E 1.12
Rossa RyanRuns 216Won 44Win 20.4%£1 +29.70A/E 1.26

Ordered by winners here; a tie goes to the fewer rides.

Best win %

JockeyRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Silvestre De SousaRuns 35Won 11Win 31.4%£1 +8.67A/E 1.31
Ryan MooreRuns 34Won 10Win 29.4%£1 −6.29A/E 1.43
R WalshRuns 147Won 43Win 29.3%£1 −9.42A/E 1.05
Jamie SpencerRuns 42Won 11Win 26.2%£1 −6.70A/E 1.13
Harry CobdenRuns 321Won 72Win 22.4%£1 −74.62A/E 1.10
Hollie DoyleRuns 160Won 35Win 21.9%£1 −9.44A/E 1.24
Dylan JohnstonRuns 32Won 7Win 21.9%£1 +6.71A/E 1.17
A P McCoyRuns 150Won 32Win 21.3%£1 −2.29A/E 1.08
Jimmy FortuneRuns 58Won 12Win 20.7%£1 −7.56A/E 1.17
Robbie PowerRuns 44Won 9Win 20.5%£1 −17.78A/E 1.05

Ordered by win rate, among those with 30 or more rides here; a tie goes to the bigger sample.

Beat the market

JockeyRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Kirsty MilczarekRuns 54Won 8Win 14.8%£1 +21.00A/E 2.16
Charlie PriceRuns 71Won 10Win 14.1%£1 +10.38A/E 1.96
Tom McLaughlinRuns 111Won 17Win 15.3%£1 +61.37A/E 1.85
Charlie HammondRuns 56Won 7Win 12.5%£1 +31.00A/E 1.76
Francis FerrisRuns 77Won 9Win 11.7%£1 +177.00A/E 1.75
David DennisRuns 67Won 6Win 9.0%£1 +11.50A/E 1.58
Eoin WalshRuns 61Won 8Win 13.1%£1 −6.42A/E 1.54
Jack DoyleRuns 72Won 13Win 18.1%£1 +38.62A/E 1.54
Cathy GannonRuns 262Won 33Win 12.6%£1 +30.13A/E 1.45
Lee EdwardsRuns 119Won 12Win 10.1%£1 −5.25A/E 1.44

Ordered by fair A/E, among those with 50 or more rides at a fair price here: above 1.00, their winners came at bigger prices than the margin-free market expected.

£1 P/L is level stakes at SP. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 rides.

Course specialists

3+ wins here

Connie's Rose (GB) has won here 7 times from 37 runs, more than any other horse since January 2005.

Biggest-priced winners

at starting price

The biggest-priced winner here since January 2005 was Arctic Blue (GB) at 200/1 on 23 March 2005.

The draw

Flat, 8+ runners

Over 1m5f – 2m in Flat races of 8 or more runners, the lowest third of the stalls has won 12.0% of its runs (166) and the highest third 8.2% (269).

Under 6f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 457Won 51Win 11.2%Place 31.5%A/E 1.10
Middle thirdRuns 514Won 52Win 10.1%Place 30.0%A/E 1.04
High thirdRuns 671Won 62Win 9.2%Place 30.0%A/E 0.90

6f – 7f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 1,634Won 133Win 8.1%Place 27.2%A/E 1.00
Middle thirdRuns 1,858Won 162Win 8.7%Place 26.4%A/E 0.94
High thirdRuns 2,452Won 245Win 10.0%Place 29.1%A/E 1.05

1m – 1m1f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 802Won 76Win 9.5%Place 26.8%A/E 1.06
Middle thirdRuns 932Won 83Win 8.9%Place 27.4%A/E 0.99
High thirdRuns 1,219Won 104Win 8.5%Place 27.6%A/E 0.97

1m2f – 1m4f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 841Won 82Win 9.8%Place 28.9%A/E 1.05
Middle thirdRuns 922Won 73Win 7.9%Place 27.3%A/E 0.88
High thirdRuns 1,339Won 137Win 10.2%Place 29.4%A/E 1.06

1m5f – 2m

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 166Won 20Win 12.0%Place 33.1%A/E 1.18
Middle thirdRuns 177Won 19Win 10.7%Place 28.2%A/E 1.02
High thirdRuns 269Won 22Win 8.2%Place 29.0%A/E 0.86

2m1f – 2m4f

StallsRunsWonWin %Place %Fair A/E
Low thirdRuns 39Won 3Win 7.7%Place 25.6%A/E 0.94
Middle thirdRuns 37Won 4Win 10.8%Place 35.1%A/E 0.96
High thirdRuns 56Won 5Win 8.9%Place 23.2%A/E 1.07

Stall number as a share of the field: low is the lowest third of the stalls. Flat races with 8 or more runners. Fair A/E near 1.00 means the market had already priced the draw in.

Angles that have paid

at SP, two periods

Past results at starting price, not a forecast. Each angle made a £1 level-stakes profit in both periods (Jan 2005 – Sep 2021, and since Oct 2021), with at least 100 SP-priced runs and 10 winners in all, and is still in profit with its single biggest winner taken out. The same on every view of this page.

  • Runners by Flemensfirth (USA) (sire)+24.2% ROI · +114.59 pts from 473 runs · 74 winners (15.6%)Jan 2005 – Sep 2021: +12.7% on 362 · Since Oct 2021: +62.0% on 111 · without the biggest winner (50/1): +63.59 pts
  • Runners trained by Eve Johnson Houghton+21.9% ROI · +49.88 pts from 228 runs · 42 winners (18.4%)Jan 2005 – Sep 2021: +13.8% on 156 · Since Oct 2021: +39.4% on 72 · without the biggest winner (25/1): +23.88 pts

Quick answers

How do favourites do at Chepstow?

Favourites (joint favourites included) have won 1,480 of 4,542 runs at Chepstow since January 2005 — 32.6%, a £1 level-stakes P/L of −356.56 points at SP (as at 20 Oct 2026).

Which trainer has the most winners at Chepstow?

Paul Nicholls, with 187 winners from 854 runners (21.9%) since January 2005.

Which jockey has ridden the most winners at Chepstow?

Richard Johnson, with 102 winners from 531 rides (19.2%) since January 2005.

Which trainer has the best strike rate at Chepstow?

Among yards with 30 or more runners here since January 2005, John Gosden has the best win rate: 44.1% (15 from 34).

Which jockey has the best strike rate at Chepstow?

Among riders with 30 or more rides here since January 2005, Silvestre De Sousa has the best win rate: 31.4% (11 from 35).

Which horses have won most at Chepstow?

The leading course winners since January 2005: Connie's Rose (GB) (7 from 37), Peak Storm (GB) (7 from 42), Quantum Dot (IRE) (6 from 15).

What is the biggest-priced winner at Chepstow?

Arctic Blue (GB) at 200/1 on 23 March 2005 in the Novices' Hurdle — the biggest starting price among Chepstow winners since January 2005.

Is there a draw bias at Chepstow?

Over 1m5f – 2m in Flat races of 8 or more runners since January 2005, runners drawn in the lowest third of the stalls have won 20 of 166 runs (12.0%) and those in the highest third 22 of 269 (8.2%). Fair A/E 1.18 low against 0.86 high says how much of that the market had already priced.

About Chepstow

checked October 2026

Layout and key facts

  • Where: Chepstow, Monmouthshire, beside the Severn crossing — Flat and jumps, turf.
  • Shape: Left-handed, galloping and undulating, about 2m round, with a straight mile and a long home straight that rises to the line.
  • Jumps: Fair, well-sighted fences; the hurdles and chases run from 2m to about 3m6f.

Going and the seasons

  • Winter: Soft or heavy ground is frequent from December to February.
  • October: The season-opening jumps fixture is often run on good to soft ground.
  • Summer: The Flat fixtures usually race on good or good to firm ground.

Signature races and fixtures

  • Welsh Grand National (27 December): The Welsh Grand National (about 3m6f handicap chase) and the Finale Juvenile Hurdle (2m) on the same card.
  • October: The Persian War Novices' Hurdle (about 2m4f) and the Silver Trophy handicap hurdle.

Practical notes

  • Getting there: Close to the M48 (junction 2) with parking on site; by rail to Chepstow and a taxi or shuttle on big days.
  • Viewing: The long straight is in full view from the stands; the far side is on the big screens.

These notes are written and checked by KTB (last checked October 2026); the statistics above are computed from our results archive. Check the course's own site for fixtures, going and travel before you go.