What is Alex Hales's strike rate?

Alex Hales has won 268 of 2,891 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alex Hales do best at?

Worcester by strike rate: 17 wins from 104 runners (16.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Alex Hales?

Kielan Woods, with 711 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 77 (10.8%).

Is Alex Hales in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Alex Hales's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 2,878 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alex Hales

2,891 runners in the lifetime window · 322 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

268–2,891

Wins / Runs

9.3%

Strike rate

n=2,891

809 (28%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=2,878 · 0.81 incl. margin

−736.16

£1 level stake

n=2,888 at SP · −25.5%

£2.59m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,891 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 28.8% when favourite Kielan Woods: 10.8% from 711 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Catterick (21.1%, n=38), clear of the yard's 9.3% baseline. It is weakest at Sandown (0% over 35 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=87, Fair A/E 0.41). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 5.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −37.62 to a £1 stake over 118 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Kielan Woods rides 25% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.8%, A/E 0.92). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 61 runners, 9.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.51 across 325 runners (3.4% strike, −156.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the SSS Super Alloys Manifesto Novices' Chase at Aintree (Apr 2022, £68,721). The stable star of the record: Hiconic (GB) — 7 wins from 41 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.6%−0.7

n=713 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −34.57

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.9%−3.4

n=170 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −86.88

Debutants · first career start

5.5%−3.8

n=127 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −61.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.1%−4.2

n=118 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −37.62

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.4%−5.9

n=87 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −59.50

When favourite

28.8%

n=191 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −42.67

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.5%−1.8

n=509 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −199.84

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.8%−1.5

n=77 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Catterick 21.1% vs 9.3% · n=38

Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 9.3% · n=61

With Bryan Carver 16.5% vs 9.3% · n=133

On Standard (AW) going 3.4% vs 9.3% · n=325

At Sandown 0% vs 9.3% · n=35

At Kempton (AW) 2.1% vs 9.3% · n=96

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 49.5% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,586 160 10.1% −285.77

Chase 641 74 11.5% −155.05

Flat 477 25 5.2% −186.84

NH Flat 187 9 4.8% −108.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,017 111 10.9% −226.69

Good to Soft 644 63 9.8% −108.84

Soft 555 41 7.4% −225.73

Standard (AW) 325 11 3.4% −156.00

Heavy 194 29 14.9% +30.69

Good to Firm 144 13 9% −40.59

Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Market Rasen 227 25 11% −69.27

Southwell 197 17 8.6% −9.87

Huntingdon 187 16 8.6% −59.07

Uttoxeter 174 14 8% +16.00

Warwick 157 11 7% −71.75

Fakenham 131 21 16% −7.26

Stratford 115 11 9.6% −72.90

Worcester 104 17 16.3% +60.20

Plumpton 98 11 11.2% −44.75

Kempton (AW) 96 2 2.1% +11.00

Lingfield (AW) 91 5 5.5% −50.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 87 4 4.6% −66.00

Towcester 74 7 9.5% −18.75

Doncaster 72 8 11.1% −20.38

Ludlow 70 4 5.7% −39.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,173 123 10.5% −292.14

Class 5 923 84 9.1% −59.10

Class 3 323 35 10.8% −134.55

Class 6 269 10 3.7% −200.75

Class 2 102 10 9.8% −46.62

Class 1 85 6 7.1% +10.00

Class 7 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 230 62 27% 0.91 −56.92

2nd–3rd fav 622 107 17.2% 1.00 −48.74

4th–6th fav 1,022 72 7% 0.90 −332.50

7th+ in betting 1,014 27 2.7% 0.83 −298.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 967 84 8.7% −362.90

2m1f – 2m4f 808 82 10.1% −109.81

2m5f – 3m 561 64 11.4% −83.78

1m2f – 1m4f 161 13 8.1% +32.41

Over 3m 147 14 9.5% −41.83

6f – 7f 116 6 5.2% −66.25

Under 6f 70 5 7.1% −43.00

1m – 1m1f 61 0 0% −61.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 195 12 6.2% −134.87

2009 186 9 4.8% −106.00

2010 158 17 10.8% +3.88

2011 127 6 4.7% −71.00

2012 84 9 10.7% +15.25

2013 106 8 7.5% +3.50

2014 108 7 6.5% −52.40

2015 147 14 9.5% −67.77

2016 132 13 9.8% −5.09

2017 144 21 14.6% +61.50

2018 166 14 8.4% −85.05

2019 176 25 14.2% −40.01

2020 142 16 11.3% +12.38

2021 188 19 10.1% −75.23

2022 222 21 9.5% −43.08

2023 161 11 6.8% −105.12

2024 176 17 9.7% −5.84

2025 168 13 7.7% −37.05

2026 105 16 15.2% −4.16

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,974 198 10% −374.59

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 971 79 8.1% −407.51

11-13 runners 764 55 7.2% −63.50

5-7 runners 621 94 15.1% −39.30

14-16 runners 358 22 6.1% −125.12

17+ runners 95 0 0% −95.00

2-4 runners 82 18 22% −5.73

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.7% completed · 2,227 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 641 73% 31 21 119 0 2

Hurdle 1,586 88% 30 12 145 2 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gone In Sixty (GB) 45 2 22 3 Nov 26

Methag (FR) 42 3 12 22 May 22

Hiconic (GB)from Mick Channon 41 7 16 16 Jun 26

Running Wolf (IRE)from Michael Dods 38 4 14 17 Oct 20

Take Two (GB)from John O'Shea 38 7 18 31 Mar 19

Royaume Bleu (FR) 38 2 11 6 Jul 15

Roseneath (IRE) 38 5 10 15 Jun 15

Crafty Roberto (GB)from Noel Quinlan 37 2 14 1 Jun 18

Ultimatum Du Roy (FR)from G Cherel 36 7 12 14 Mar 20

Salut Honore (FR) 36 4 10 11 Dec 16

Dandilion (IRE) 34 4 15 19 Dec 19

Ez Tiger (IRE)from Aidan Fitzgerald 32 6 13 5 Nov 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 322 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive; 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 55 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 12

Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

999111013121081268

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKielan Woods

25% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 0.92

RiderRWSR£1

Kielan Woods 711 77 10.8% −141.24

Harry Bannister 362 39 10.8% −104.55

William Kennedy 237 17 7.2% −115.77

Bryan Carver 133 22 16.5% +9.33

Killian Moore 96 9 9.4% +23.75

Luke Morris 49 3 6.1% +62.00

Paul Moloney 38 6 15.8% +3.50

Harriet Tucker 36 1 2.8% −13.00

Jamie Brace 36 4 11.1% −14.17

Paddy Brennan 35 6 17.1% +6.13

James Banks 32 2 6.3% −12.00

Tom O'Brien 31 1 3.2% −16.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

305

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.79m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Millers Bank (GB) — SSS Super Alloys Manifesto Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2022 · Grade 1

£68,721

Smooth Stepper (GB) — Unibet Grand National Trial Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Haydock · Feb 2020 · Grade 3

£56,950

Big Jim (GB) — Waitrose Novices' Handicap Chase Ascot · Apr 2016 · Class 2

£25,024

Notable horses

Hiconic (GB) Take Two (GB) Ultimatum Du Roy (FR) Ez Tiger (IRE) Shinooki (IRE) Millers Bank (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Midnight Legend (GB) 10.2% · 11–108

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Passing Glance (GB) 14.7% · 14–95

Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,573 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.

Sixties Icon (GB) 10.5% · 9–86

Progeny have won 10% of 5,685 runs since 2012 (338 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,338.

Oscar (IRE) 8.3% · 5–60

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Brier Creek (USA) 13.6% · 8–59

Progeny have won 14.1% of 553 runs since 2008 (38 horses).

Blueprint (IRE) 16.7% · 9–54

Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,670 runs since 2008 (137 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,322 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,322 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Vinne (GB)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell Download The Matchbook App Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 11th 100/1

05 Nov 26 Plumpton Ez Tiger (IRE)J: Kielan Woods starsportsbet.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 5/4F

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Gone In Sixty (GB)J: Bryan Carver attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 6/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Away For The Night (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/2J

03 Nov 26 Warwick Crown Of India (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Alder Demain & Akers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 12/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Music Maker (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 5th 14/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Hiero Sport (FR)J: Bryan Carver Southern Contract Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 4th 100/30

01 Nov 26 Worcester Warrioress (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 16/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Happy And Fine (FR)J: Bryan Carver Copybet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran UR 28/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Looking As You Are (GB)J: Kielan Woods Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 8th 15/2

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon All Good To Go (GB)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell Advertise At Huntingdon Racecourse Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 40/1

27 Oct 26 Newcastle North Of Richmond (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Dogs Welcome At The Border Minstrel Pub Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 1st 9/4

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Spanish Darling (FR)J: Kielan Woods Oddschecker Novices' Hurdle Race(grade 2) (registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle Race) (gbb Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 20/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Chatty Girl (IRE)J: Bryan Carver BETTING.BET New Betting Sites Handicap Steeple Chase (Fontwell Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 18f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 2/1F

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Ez Tiger (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Trottenden Farm Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 2/1F

17 Oct 26 Stratford Crown Of India (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Value With Oncourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 15/2

17 Oct 26 Stratford Gone In Sixty (GB)J: Kielan Woods Roy G. T. Clark 100th Birthday Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 2/1F

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Lord Of The Glance (GB)J: Bryan Carver tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 4/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Best Women (IRE)J: Kielan Woods FBC Manby Bowdler Mares' Handicap Steeple Chase (Challenger Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 14/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Away For The Night (IRE)J: Bryan Carver CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 15/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 1) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Alex Hales's strike rate?: Alex Hales has won 268 of 2,891 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alex Hales do best at?: Worcester by strike rate: 17 wins from 104 runners (16.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alex Hales?: Kielan Woods, with 711 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 77 (10.8%).
Is Alex Hales in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alex Hales's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 2,878 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.