What is Anthony John Black's strike rate?

Anthony John Black has won 7 of 146 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Is Anthony John Black in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Anthony John Black's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 146 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Anthony John Black

146 runners in the lifetime window · 40 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

7–146

Wins / Runs

4.8%

Strike rate

n=146

18 (12%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=146 · 0.83 incl. margin

−80.37

£1 level stake

n=146 at SP · −55.0%

£73,998

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

22.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 146 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

The read

The yard also reads well on Good going (12.5%, n=40) and over 1m5f – 2m (8%, n=50). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 39 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.9%−1.9

n=34 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −23.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.3%+3.5

n=12 · A/E 2.48 · £1 −1.00

Debutants · first career start

3.7%−1.1

n=27 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −21.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.3%+3.5

n=12 · A/E 2.38 · £1 −1.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−4.8

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

100%

n=1 · A/E 2.62 · £1 +1.38

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.3%−1.5

n=91 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −68.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.8

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good going 12.5% vs 4.8% · n=40

In NH Flat races 0% vs 4.8% · n=39

Over 1m5f – 2m 8% vs 4.8% · n=50

On Soft going 2.6% vs 4.8% · n=39

With claiming riders up 3.3% vs 4.8% · n=91 · A/E 0.83

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 86 5 5.8% −29.62

NH Flat 39 0 0% −39.00

Chase 19 2 10.5% −9.75

Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 40 5 12.5% +17.75

Soft 39 1 2.6% −36.62

Heavy 25 0 0% −25.00

Good to Soft 21 1 4.8% −15.50

Good to Firm 17 0 0% −17.00

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Downpatrick 20 0 0% −20.00

Gowran Park 15 1 6.7% −4.00

Tramore 14 2 14.3% +0.75

Wexford 12 0 0% −12.00

Limerick 11 0 0% −11.00

Punchestown 7 1 14.3% +10.00

Thurles 7 0 0% −7.00

Cork 7 1 14.3% −1.50

Wexford 6 0 0% −6.00

Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00

Clonmel 5 0 0% −5.00

Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00

Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00

Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00

Navan 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2 1 50% 1.75 +0.38

2nd–3rd fav 9 2 22.2% 1.40 +0.25

4th–6th fav 36 4 11.1% 1.81 +18.00

7th+ in betting 99 0 0% 0.00 −99.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81% completed · 105 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 19 68.4% 1 0 5 0 0

Hurdle 86 83.7% 0 3 10 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Havana Dancer (IRE)then Colin Bowe 18 1 3 2 Oct 15

Done En Dusted (IRE) 11 0 1 26 Sep 12

Speisialta (IRE) 9 2 3 3 Nov 26

Up To Old Trix (IRE) 9 0 1 9 Nov 09

Gibbet Hill (IRE) 8 0 1 1 Oct 22

Teqany (IRE)from G M Lyons · then Fergal O'Brien 6 3 4 18 Oct 18

Full Of Trix (IRE)from Sean Osborne 6 0 1 22 Sep 10

High Web (IRE) 5 0 0 28 Feb 16

Victors Girl (IRE) 5 0 0 6 Mar 13

Garraheen Chief (IRE) 5 0 0 26 Jul 12

Bleuvito (IRE)then S Turner 5 0 0 19 Jun 09

N'arrete Jamais (IRE) 4 0 0 17 Oct 19

All 40 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 40 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sean Osborne (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Colin Bowe (3); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

000100501202000

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Mr B O'Neill 9 0 0% −9.00

Brian Hayes 9 0 0% −9.00

Shane Jackson 8 0 0% −8.00

J J Slevin 8 0 0% −8.00

Andrew P Thornton 7 0 0% −7.00

Danny Mullins 6 3 50% +19.75

Brian O'Connell 6 0 0% −6.00

Shane Butler 6 0 0% −6.00

Eoin Staples 4 2 50% +13.38

Andrew Ring 4 0 0% −4.00

Mr R James 4 0 0% −4.00

Mr D P Howard 3 0 0% −3.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£99,931

Prize money

2018

Best season · 3 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Havana Dancer (IRE) — Panoramic Restaurant Mares Maiden Hurdle Punchestown · Jun 2015

£8,280

Teqany (IRE) — Thomastown Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Gowran Park · Oct 2018

£7,392

Speisialta (IRE) — Martin Reilly Hyundai Mares Maiden Hurdle Sligo (IRE) · Aug 2026

£7,200

Notable horses

Teqany (IRE) Speisialta (IRE) Havana Dancer (IRE) Amber Trix (IRE) Casey Jem (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Flemensfirth (USA) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Heron Island (IRE) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since 2008 (317 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162.

Sandmason (GB) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 11.4% of 493 runs since 2010 (66 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.3% from 131.

Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,956 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 22.2% · 2–9

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,040 runs since 2011 (707 horses).

Norwich (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,601 runs since 2008 (176 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 209 · newest first

The latest 50 of 209 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 January 2005 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Speisialta (IRE)J: Eoin Staples Group Discounts For Winter Festival General Admission Rated Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 3rd 3/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Speisialta (IRE)J: Eoin Staples Abbey Haven Care Centre & Nursing Home Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 5 ran 1st 11/8F

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Speisialta (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Pat Walsh Memorial Mares Hurdle16.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 13/2

20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Speisialta (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 12th 15/2

26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Speisialta (IRE)J: Eoin Staples PANDA Mares Hurdle17f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 25/1

06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Speisialta (IRE)J: Eoin Staples Martin Reilly Hyundai Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 13 ran 1st 14/1

23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Speisialta (IRE)J: Mr A P Kennedy Save The Date Ladies Day At Wexford Races Friday 7th August Flat Race16.5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 9/1

03 Jul 26 Wexford Speisialta (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Racing Again 22nd July Flat Race17f · Good · 11 ran RR 9/2

12 Jan 26 Punchestown Speisialta (IRE)J: Mr R W Barron Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 4th 15/2

27 Jun 25 Cartmel Banprionsa (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Krol Corlett Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 25.5f · Soft · 5 ran PU 18/1

30 Oct 22 Wexford Bhean I Dubh (IRE)J: Shane Fenelon Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 11 ran 11th 33/1

13 Oct 22 Tramore Mangan Sue (IRE)J: Cian Quirke Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 10/1

01 Oct 22 Gowran Park Gibbet Hill (IRE)J: J J Slevin Paulstown Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran UR 28/1

23 Sep 22 Listowel Gibbet Hill (IRE)J: J J Slevin Guinness Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)24f · Good · 17 ran PU 14/1

14 Aug 22 Tramore Little Nan (IRE)J: J J Slevin Comeragh Veterinary Kilmacthomas Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 40/1

07 Aug 22 Downpatrick Gibbet Hill (IRE)J: J J Slevin Balloo Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 25/1

07 Aug 22 Downpatrick Little Nan (IRE)J: J J Slevin Magners Irish Cider Maiden Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 8th 50/1

13 Jul 22 Downpatrick Gibbet Hill (IRE)J: J J Slevin Silk Plaster NI Handicap Hurdle (80-102)22f · Good · 12 ran 6th 50/1

08 Jul 22 Kilbeggan Little Nan (IRE)J: Conor Brassil Kilbegganraces.com Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 16 ran 8th 100/1

08 Jun 22 Wexford Mangan Sue (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Visitwexford.ie Maiden Hurdle24.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 23 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Anthony John Black's strike rate?: Anthony John Black has won 7 of 146 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Anthony John Black in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Anthony John Black's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 146 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.