Barbara Butterworth
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78).
The record is strongest at Catterick (12.8%, n=39), clear of the yard's 5.4% baseline. It is weakest at Sedgefield (2% over 49 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Sean Quinlan rides 42% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.7%, A/E 0.73). The market has also underrated the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 1.24 across 97 runners (8.2% strike, +9.50 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Chase races — 0% over 51 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Snowed In (IRE) — 6 wins from 73 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 332 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 332 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 October 2009 to 30 September 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Barbara Butterworth's strike rate?
- Barbara Butterworth has won 18 of 332 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Barbara Butterworth do best at?
- Catterick by strike rate: 5 wins from 39 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Barbara Butterworth?
- Sean Quinlan, with 141 runners since 2008 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.7%).
- What is Barbara Butterworth's Fair A/E?
- 0.78, from 331 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.