What is Bill Turner's strike rate?

Bill Turner has won 212 of 2,646 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Bill Turner do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 36 wins from 314 runners (11.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Bill Turner?

Ryan While, with 420 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (8.1%).

What is Bill Turner's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 2,628 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Bill Turner

2,646 runners in the lifetime window · 366 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Aug 2025

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

212–2,646

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=2,646

591 (22%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=2,628 · 0.91 incl. margin

−653.98

£1 level stake

n=2,646 at SP · −24.7%

£1.21m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,646 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 35.8% when favourite Ryan While: 8.1% from 420 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=425, Fair A/E 0.71). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −81.00 to a £1 stake over 270 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ryan While rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.1%, A/E 0.94). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (14.4%, n=202) and in Chase races (14%, n=178). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.4% over 206 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in NH Flat races: Fair A/E 0.65 across 122 runners (2.5% strike, −26.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Racing Post Mobile App Pavilion Stakes at Ascot (Apr 2014, £20,983). The stable star of the record: Little Boy Blue (GB) — 9 wins from 65 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.3%−4.7

n=425 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −228.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.1%−3.9

n=74 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −42.50

Debutants · first career start

3.7%−4.3

n=270 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −81.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.6%−2.4

n=143 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −43.58

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.3%−2.7

n=94 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −25.50

When favourite

35.8%

n=109 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −3.89

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.9%−0.1

n=1,941 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −548.31

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.1%+1.1

n=11 · A/E 2.13 · £1 +6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.7% vs 8% · n=203

With Kieren Fox 18.6% vs 8% · n=97

Off a 0-7-day break 14.4% vs 8% · n=202

In Chase races 14% vs 8% · n=178

Off a break of 180+ days 2.4% vs 8% · n=206

In NH Flat races 2.5% vs 8% · n=122

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,896 159 8.4% −532.96

Hurdle 450 25 5.6% −138.55

Chase 178 25 14% +44.03

NH Flat 122 3 2.5% −26.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 901 76 8.4% −295.05

Good 588 32 5.4% −249.51

Good to Firm 447 45 10.1% +63.59

Good to Soft 297 26 8.8% −6.72

Soft 247 19 7.7% −87.47

Firm 85 8 9.4% −28.77

Heavy 81 6 7.4% −50.05

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 314 36 11.5% +0.77

Lingfield (AW) 303 25 8.3% −122.62

Bath 172 7 4.1% −101.50

Kempton (AW) 142 6 4.2% −97.25

Brighton 140 13 9.3% −39.17

Newton Abbot 102 9 8.8% +22.50

Chepstow 100 6 6% −48.50

Southwell (AW) 96 6 6.3% −43.50

Ludlow 95 5 5.3% −47.25

Leicester 84 4 4.8% −38.50

Windsor 70 3 4.3% −5.00

Fontwell 68 3 4.4% −39.00

Lingfield 59 5 8.5% −3.50

Taunton 56 4 7.1% −8.50

Salisbury 50 2 4% −24.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,085 101 9.3% −192.24

Class 5 841 51 6.1% −352.93

Class 4 563 43 7.6% −106.48

Class 3 94 13 13.8% +22.17

Class 2 29 0 0% −29.00

Class 7 22 3 13.6% −0.50

Class 1 11 1 9.1% +6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 147 53 36.1% 1.19 +8.49

2nd–3rd fav 413 61 14.8% 0.94 −82.47

4th–6th fav 907 75 8.3% 1.24 +30.00

7th+ in betting 1,179 23 2% 0.74 −610.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 815 65 8% −220.80

Under 6f 617 58 9.4% −169.99

1m5f – 2m 394 26 6.6% −98.39

2m1f – 2m4f 275 21 7.6% −0.25

1m – 1m1f 203 14 6.9% −86.65

1m2f – 1m4f 173 9 5.2% −62.60

2m5f – 3m 111 15 13.5% +14.25

Over 3m 58 4 6.9% −29.55

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 238 21 8.8% −55.65

2009 196 12 6.1% −57.03

2010 190 18 9.5% +36.38

2011 244 25 10.2% −75.90

2012 223 32 14.3% +33.70

2013 180 16 8.9% −76.41

2014 156 14 9% −24.76

2015 157 5 3.2% −92.50

2016 134 8 6% −50.87

2017 112 5 4.5% −67.05

2018 107 6 5.6% −65.50

2019 146 11 7.5% +6.00

2020 95 2 2.1% −73.00

2021 114 9 7.9% −38.05

2022 106 13 12.3% +0.58

2023 100 6 6% −44.12

2024 95 7 7.4% −0.80

2025 53 2 3.8% −9.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,165 95 8.2% −273.72

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 996 69 6.9% −275.73

11-13 runners 703 41 5.8% −270.68

5-7 runners 627 77 12.3% −22.80

14-16 runners 210 9 4.3% −64.00

2-4 runners 74 15 20.3% +7.23

17+ runners 36 1 2.8% −28.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Little Boy Blue (GB) 65 9 23 3 Aug 25

Bbob Alula (GB) 54 3 13 5 Jul 24

El Duque (GB) 49 4 14 14 Jun 16

Lord Deevert (GB) 47 4 13 3 Dec 12

Lucky Diva (GB)from Sylvester Kirk 46 4 12 14 Oct 16

Holdenhurst (GB)from Ali Stronge 44 6 11 14 Jan 23

Edlomond (IRE) 38 5 13 22 May 17

Marettimo (IRE)from Charles Hills 35 4 11 30 Dec 24

Six of Clubs (GB) 34 7 13 21 Apr 13

Major Gatsby (IRE) 33 5 11 21 Mar 24

Floral Spinner (GB) 32 4 18 3 Feb 16

Freckle Face (GB) 32 3 8 31 May 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 366 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ali Stronge (2); 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Kathy Turner (3) and Brett Johnson (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

891014710954577

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRyan While

16% of all rides
8.1% SR · A/E 0.94

RiderRWSR£1

Ryan While 420 34 8.1% −76.72

Jack Dean 257 22 8.6% −87.92

Jake Payne 159 13 8.2% −60.78

Harry Kimber 159 15 9.4% +17.20

Tom O'Connor 142 9 6.3% +21.75

William Carson 131 7 5.3% −79.00

Luke Morris 123 10 8.1% −37.00

Kieren Fox 97 18 18.6% +32.00

Peter Toole 40 4 10% +27.50

Eoin Walsh 40 4 10% +31.00

Mark Quinlan 36 1 2.8% −21.00

Sean Houlihan 34 2 5.9% −27.80

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

273

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.62m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 32 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Always Win (GB) — Racing Post Mobile App Pavilion Stakes (Listed) Ascot · Apr 2014 · Listed

£20,983

The Lord (GB) — Peters Plc Stakes (Listed) Goodwood · May 2006 · Listed

£17,034

Westbrook Blue (GB) — Bank Of Scotland Handicap Chester · May 2005 · Class 2

£13,447

Notable horses

Little Boy Blue (GB) Anjomarba (IRE) Six of Clubs (GB) A Little Bit Dusty (GB) Lord Deevert (GB) Looks The Business (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Hellvelyn (GB) 9.4% · 16–171

Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,952 runs since 2014 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.7% from 256.

Avonbridge (GB) 12.4% · 16–129

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,930 runs since 2009 (262 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 795.

Showcasing (GB) 9.1% · 8–88

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,640 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Bertolini (USA) 11.1% · 7–63

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Averti (IRE) 6.6% · 4–61

Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,137 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.6% from 110. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.6% from 140. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 5.6% from 162.

Ishiguru (USA) 10.3% · 6–58

Progeny have won 10.4% of 3,199 runs since 2008 (156 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.5% from 155.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,522 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,522 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 14 August 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Aug 25 Chepstow Red Snapper (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Richard And Louise Fox Wedding Anniversary NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 16/1

09 Aug 25 Lingfield Sueshine (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Poppy Ltd EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 33/1

03 Aug 25 Chester Little Boy Blue (GB)J: Laura Coughlan Oktoberfest Season Finale On 20th September Classified Claiming StakesClass 4 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 40/1

31 Jul 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Emaculate Soldier (GER)J: Laura Coughlan Racing League Race 10 Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 50/1

27 Jul 25 Uttoxeter The Dark Baron (IRE)J: Harry Kimber QuinnBet Daily Free Bet Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 100/1

27 Jul 25 Uttoxeter It's Life (GB)J: Jamie Brace QuinnBet Daily Free Bet Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 5th 22/1

25 Jul 25 Chepstow Red Snapper (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis 3As Caravans & Motorhome EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 5th 150/1

20 Jul 25 Newton Abbot It's Life (GB)J: Harry Kimber Zero To Exit Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 4th 28/1

16 Jul 25 Bath Spuddling (GB)J: Harry Kimber Harrow Inn At Wanborough HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Firm · 11 ran 4th 9/2

13 Jul 25 Stratford It's Life (GB)J: Harry Kimber 2025 Mary Cecilia Beddows Memorial Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 40/1

11 Jul 25 Chepstow Red Snapper (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis betwright.com Bet The Wright Way Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 100/1

01 Jul 25 Brighton Umming N' Ahing (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis starsports.bet HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 28/1

30 Jun 25 Wolverhampton (AW) It's Life (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Highbet Traders Treble Odds Boost HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 7th 12/1

24 Jun 25 Newton Abbot Bob The Bandit (GB)J: Harry Kimber Celebrate Racing Staff Week Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran PU 50/1

21 Jun 25 Lingfield Umming N' Ahing (GB)J: Harry Kimber Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 50/1

16 Jun 25 Windsor Spuddling (GB)J: Harry Kimber Call Fitzdares For Royal Ascot Classified StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 1st 40/1

16 Jun 25 Windsor The Boreham Bullet (IRE)J: Harry Kimber Fitzdares Taking Bets Since 1882 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th 250/1

15 Jun 25 Salisbury Little Boy Blue (GB)J: Harry Kimber Mercedes-Benz Of Salisbury HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 40/1

11 Jun 25 Lingfield It's Life (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Weekend Winners On Sky Sports Racing 'Confined' HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 17/2

09 Jun 25 Brighton Good Eye (IRE)J: Harry Kimber Download The Star Sports App Classified StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Bill Turner's strike rate?: Bill Turner has won 212 of 2,646 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bill Turner do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 36 wins from 314 runners (11.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Bill Turner?: Ryan While, with 420 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (8.1%).
What is Bill Turner's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 2,628 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.