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Trainer profile

Brian O'Rourke

118 runners in the lifetime window · 15 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2023 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–118
Wins / Runs
4.2%
Strike rate
n=118
29 (25%)
Placed
0.52
Fair A/E
n=118 · 0.44 incl. margin
+50.00
£1 level stake
n=118 at SP · +42.4%
£74,269
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.52).

Deterministic profile computed from 118 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.2
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.2
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.3%+4.1
n=12 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −9.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5%+0.8
n=20 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.2
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 6.9% vs 4.2% · n=58
On Standard (AW) going 1.8% vs 4.2% · n=56
In Class 6 2.2% vs 4.2% · n=46
With a new jockey booking 2.5% vs 4.2% · n=80 · A/E 0.32
Over 6f – 7f 3% vs 4.2% · n=67 · A/E 0.34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 56 1 1.8% −30.00
Good 19 1 5.3% −13.00
Soft 18 1 5.6% +108.00
Good to Firm 15 1 6.7% −12.50
Good to Soft 10 1 10% −2.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 24 1 4.2% +2.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Newbury 8 0 0% −8.00
Bath 8 1 12.5% −2.00
Lingfield (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Ffos Las 6 1 16.7% +1.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Windsor 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00
Chepstow 3 0 0% −3.00
Nottingham 3 0 0% −3.00
Brighton 3 0 0% −3.00
Salisbury 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 46 1 2.2% −20.00
Class 5 42 2 4.8% −28.50
Class 4 18 2 11.1% +110.50
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 21 2 9.5% 0.54 −12.50
4th–6th fav 39 1 2.6% 0.33 −31.50
7th+ in betting 53 2 3.8% 1.29 +99.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Magnificence (FR) 23 2 8 31 Dec 23
Delahoussaye (IRE) 17 0 5 22 Jul 22
Al Gaiya (FR)from Richard Hannon · then Joe Ponting 16 1 4 14 Apr 22
Frosted Angel (IRE) 10 0 2 3 Feb 22
Mellencamp (IRE) 8 0 1 11 Aug 22
Kokomo (GB) 7 0 2 18 Nov 23
Gulick (IRE) 7 0 0 29 Nov 22
Banshee (IRE) 6 1 3 8 Oct 21
High Handed (IRE) 4 0 1 1 Nov 23
Ancient Capital (GB)then Robert Stephens 4 0 0 16 Apr 22
Miss Messenger (GB) 4 0 1 4 Apr 22
Clancy (GB) 3 0 0 31 Dec 23
All 15 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 15 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
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A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Oisin Murphy 13 1 7.7% −5.50
Ray Dawson 10 1 10% −7.50
Kieran Shoemark 9 1 11.1% +117.00
David Probert 8 0 0% −8.00
Daniel Muscutt 7 0 0% −7.00
Robert Havlin 6 1 16.7% +20.00
Kieran O'Neill 4 0 0% −4.00
Richard Kingscote 4 0 0% −4.00
Billy Loughnane 4 1 25% +2.00
Callum Shepherd 4 0 0% −4.00
Jamie Spencer 3 0 0% −3.00
Saffie Osborne 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
5
Archived wins
£74,269
Prize money
2021
Best season · 3 wins
Magnificence (FR) — Racing TV Free For A Month Handicap Redcar · Nov 2021 · Class 4
£5,076
Banshee (IRE) — Cazoo Nursery Yarmouth · Aug 2021 · Class 4
£4,050
Magnificence (FR) — Big Stage Hire Handicap Bath · Aug 2023 · Class 5
£3,873
Notable horses
Magnificence (FR) Al Gaiya (FR) Banshee (IRE) Jump Jet (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kingman (GB) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,510 runs since 2008 (777 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 965. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 122.
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,802 runs since 2008 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Olympic Glory (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,064 runs since 2008 (264 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.7% from 149.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,921 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,970 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 259.
Dragon Pulse (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,267 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 570. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 118 · newest first

The latest 50 of 118 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 May 2021 to 31 December 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Dec 23 Lingfield (AW) Magnificence (FR)J: Billy Loughnane BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 12/1
31 Dec 23 Lingfield (AW) Clancy (GB)J: Ross Coakley BetMGM: It's Showtime / EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 150/1
13 Dec 23 Kempton (AW) Magnificence (FR)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet More Boosts In More Races Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 3rd 20/1
05 Dec 23 Lingfield (AW) Fianian (IRE)J: Liam Wright Build Your Acca With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 33/1
20 Nov 23 Kempton (AW) Clancy (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 13th 125/1
18 Nov 23 Lingfield (AW) Magnificence (FR)J: Daniel Muscutt BetUK Golden Rose Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 125/1
18 Nov 23 Lingfield (AW) Kokomo (GB)J: Richard Kingscote Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 33/1
16 Nov 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Fianian (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Little Leighs Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 9/2
01 Nov 23 Kempton (AW) High Handed (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year NurseryClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 2nd 14/1
27 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Fianian (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 7/2
18 Oct 23 Kempton (AW) Clancy (GB)J: Richard Kingscote Unibet More Extra Place Races Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 11th 80/1
10 Oct 23 Leicester Kokomo (GB)J: Rob Hornby Best Ticket Prices Online At leicester-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 22/1
05 Oct 23 Salisbury Jump Jet (USA)J: Oisin Murphy British EBF Radcliffe & Co Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 10/3
05 Oct 23 Salisbury High Handed (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Radcliffe & Co British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 18/1
02 Oct 23 Bath Magnificence (FR)J: Callum Shepherd Best Prices Guaranteed Daily At Vickers.Bet HandicapClass 4 · 5.5f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 11/4F
16 Sep 23 Bath Magnificence (FR)J: Liam Wright Thorn Baker Access Group Bath Summer Sprint Series Final HandicapClass 2 · 5.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 4th 8/1
13 Sep 23 Kempton (AW) High Handed (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Unibet More Extra Place Races EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 13th 10/3
01 Sep 23 Ffos Las Jump Jet (USA)J: Oisin Murphy Prostate Cymru 3A's Leisure Carmarthen Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 13/2
23 Aug 23 Kempton (AW) Kokomo (GB)J: Benoit De La Sayette Unibet Horserace Betting-Operator Of The Year HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 10th 28/1
19 Aug 23 Bath Magnificence (FR)J: Billy Loughnane Big Stage Hire HandicapClass 5 · 5.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brian O'Rourke's strike rate?
Brian O'Rourke has won 5 of 118 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Brian O'Rourke's Fair A/E?
0.52, from 118 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).